Katja Grace

Katja reads to you

Katja Grace reads other people's stuff out loud. This is not meant to be public. If you aren't friends with Katja, it probably isn't for you. 

Koniecznie odwiedź stronę podcastu i wesprzyj twórcę: www.buzzsprout.com

Autor

Katja Grace

Kategoria

Technology

Strona podcastu

www.buzzsprout.com

Ostatni odcinek

18 paź 2024

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Odcinki

Situational Awareness: 2. From AGI to Superintelligence: the Intelligence Explosion (Part B) 18.10.2024
Situational Awareness: 2. From AGI to Superintelligence: the Intelligence Explosion (Part A) 15.10.2024

AI progress won’t stop at human-level. Hundreds of millions of AGIs could automate AI research, compressing a decade of algorithmic progress (5+ OOMs) into ≤1 year. We would rapidly go from human-level to vastly superhuman AI systems. The power—and the peril—of superintelligence would be dramatic.

Situational Awareness: 1. From GPT-4 to AGI: Counting the OOMs (Part G): The next four years 15.10.2024
Situational Awareness: 1. From GPT-4 to AGI: Counting the OOMs (Part H): The next four years/It's this decade or bust 15.10.2024
Situational Awareness: 1. From GPT-4 to AGI: Counting the OOMs (Part F): Counting the OOMs / Unhobbling 11.10.2024
Situational Awareness: 1. From GPT-4 to AGI: Counting the OOMs (Part E): Counting the OOMs / Algorithmic Efficiencies 10.10.2024

Algorithms are getting way better, but we're going to hit a data wall or jump over it

Dubai Part I 08.10.2024
Situational Awareness: 1. From GPT-4 to AGI: Counting the OOMs (Part D): Counting the OOMs / Compute 02.10.2024

Compute

Situational Awareness: 1. From GPT-4 to AGI: Counting the OOMs1 (Part C) 01.10.2024

The trends in deep learning

Situational Awareness: 1. From GPT-4 to AGI: Counting the OOMs1 (Part A) 29.09.2024

AGI by 2027 is strikingly plausible. GPT-2 to GPT-4 took us from ~preschooler to ~smart high-schooler abilities in 4 years. Tracing trendlines in compute (~0.5 orders of magnitude or OOMs/year), algorithmic efficiencies (~0.5 OOMs/year), and “unhobbling” gains (from chatbot to agent), we should expect another preschooler-to-high-schooler-sized qualitative jump by 2027. 

Situational Awareness: 1. From GPT-4 to AGI: Counting the OOMs1 (Part B) 29.09.2024

"GPT-2 to GPT-4"

Situational Awareness: Introduction 28.09.2024

History is live in San Francisco.

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