Katja Grace
Katja reads to you
Katja Grace reads other people's stuff out loud. This is not meant to be public. If you aren't friends with Katja, it probably isn't for you.
Auteur
Katja Grace
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Site du podcast
Dernier épisode
18 oct. 2024
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Épisodes
Situational Awareness: 2. From AGI to Superintelligence: the Intelligence Explosion (Part A) 15.10.2024 47:21
AI progress won’t stop at human-level. Hundreds of millions of AGIs could automate AI research, compressing a decade of algorithmic progress (5+ OOMs) into ≤1 year. We would rapidly go from human-level to vastly superhuman AI systems. The power—and the peril—of superintelligence would be dramatic.
Situational Awareness: 1. From GPT-4 to AGI: Counting the OOMs (Part E): Counting the OOMs / Algorithmic Efficiencies 10.10.2024 25:12
Algorithms are getting way better, but we're going to hit a data wall or jump over it
Situational Awareness: 1. From GPT-4 to AGI: Counting the OOMs (Part D): Counting the OOMs / Compute 02.10.2024 14:42
Compute
Situational Awareness: 1. From GPT-4 to AGI: Counting the OOMs1 (Part C) 01.10.2024 12:53
The trends in deep learning
Situational Awareness: 1. From GPT-4 to AGI: Counting the OOMs1 (Part A) 29.09.2024 11:25
AGI by 2027 is strikingly plausible. GPT-2 to GPT-4 took us from ~preschooler to ~smart high-schooler abilities in 4 years. Tracing trendlines in compute (~0.5 orders of magnitude or OOMs/year), algorithmic efficiencies (~0.5 OOMs/year), and “unhobbling” gains (from chatbot to agent), we should expect another preschooler-to-high-schooler-sized qualitative jump by 2027.
Situational Awareness: 1. From GPT-4 to AGI: Counting the OOMs1 (Part B) 29.09.2024 15:35
"GPT-2 to GPT-4"
Situational Awareness: Introduction 28.09.2024 7:57
History is live in San Francisco.
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