Jim
Uncle Jim’s World of Bonds
There is nothing more fascinating than a fixed income instrument. Nothing. Listen to Jim transport you to a world of convexity, basis points, covenants and debt-to-gdp. For professional investors only. No advice here. No mention of funds or products. Personal thoughts, not that of any employer.
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Episodes
Uncle Jim’s 2022 Bond Market Outlook 16.12.2021 37:53
The Fed, inflation, policy errors, recession, credit, emerging markets, Bitcoin.
Francis Fukuyama and The End of History 07.12.2021 12:03
A look back at this really important and interesting book from 25 years ago.
Last US Employment Report of 2021: Something For Everyone? 03.12.2021 9:48
And what are inverting yield curves telling us?
Bad News on Vaccines: Risk Off Again. And BRICS. 30.11.2021 8:44
The Moderna CEO was pretty negative on the Omicron outlook today. Also, BRICS revisited.
Covid: Treasuries Rally & Credit Weak on New Variant. 26.11.2021 8:00
Emerging markets also lower on South African variant news.
Powell vs Brainard: Winner Announced Today? 22.11.2021 8:18
Biden will appoint the next Fed Chair before he goes on holiday tomorrow.
U.K. Furlough Ends, But Employment Grows 16.11.2021 8:56
Great news from the U.K. labour market. But it puts a Bank of England Rate hike back in play.
US Inflation: Highest for 30 Years 11.11.2021 10:58
6.2% rise in consumer prices surprised economists. And pretty much every component of inflation is running hot.
China’s 🇨🇳 High Yield Market Turmoil Accelerates. And Real Bond Yields Hit Record Lows. 09.11.2021 8:54
A Chinese property developer is downgraded to Junk, and the whole HY market falls, again. The HY index is down 30% since the summer.
COP26 - A Conversation With Climate Solutions Investor Randeep Somel. 05.11.2021 21:31
Carbon taxes, politics, greenflation and more.
Scenes on Threadneedle Street. 04.11.2021 8:25
No Bank of England rate hike. Big gilt rally even as the Fed announces the QE taper.
Australia & Italy - Central Banks Waving Goodbye? 03.11.2021 8:54
Yield Curve Control ended by the RBA in Australia 🇦🇺, ECB ending the PEPP next year.
Back to Normal for the U.K. 🇬🇧? 01.11.2021 6:43
Will the Bank of England hike this week? And if so why did gilts rally so much last week?
US 🇺🇸 Entering Recession Now? 22.10.2021 7:10
Bryson & Blanchflower think so in a new economic paper. Gulp.
🚨 Policy Error Alert 🚨 19.10.2021 8:37
Are central banks about to make a terrible mistake by hiking rates too soon, or does the inflation outlook justify higher interest rates?
1980s: The Latin American Debt Crisis 18.10.2021 11:38
A look a Federal Reserve blog on that crisis. Also, the US yield curve starts to flatten…recession ahead?
Nobel Prizes And Other Academic Stuff 12.10.2021 10:15
Includes the new ECB paper on consumption post Covid.
Jobs Weak, Bonds Weak 11.10.2021 8:39
Non Farm Payrolls disappointed again, but bond yields had another poor week.
Is the USA’s Sovereign Credit Rating Useful? 07.10.2021 9:21
Gas, debt ceilings and the 2011 S&P US sovereign rating downgrade.
Credit: Default Rates Still Falling, But Spreads Starting To Move Higher? 05.10.2021 8:53
Corporate bonds have outperformed government bonds in 2021. How much further can that go?
Biden’s in Trouble: The GOP Smells Blood 01.10.2021 7:53
The US has managed to delay running out of $ from October to December. But the chances of Biden’s big stimulus bills getting passed unscathed look bleak now.
Stagflation 29.09.2021 8:20
Feels a bit like the 1970s, doesn’t it?
US 🇺🇸 Default on 20th October? 27.09.2021 11:41
Forget Evergrande - might America default next month?
Bond Market Sell-off: Bank of England Triggers 10 bps+ Yield Spike 24.09.2021 8:51
Government bond yields rise. And still no sign of the Evergrande coupon payment on the $ bonds…
Is Evergrande Contagious? 21.09.2021 10:59
More on the expected Chinese property default. Also, today sees the U.K. launch a green gilt.
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