The Numbers

If the proof of the pudding is in the eating, is the proof of the polls in Durham? We break down the results of this week's federal byelection as well as some new national polls. We then answer listener questions about the NDP's performance, the possibility of having an interim PM forced onto the hustings, and whether the Conservatives have the biggest tent. Then, Philippe tests Éric's knowledge o...

A new poll shows the NDP within spitting distance (yes, Philippe, that's a real thing) of the Liberals in the race for second place. What to make of it — and some recent controversies that are dogging the Liberals? We also discuss new poll numbers showing the Ontario Liberals well ahead of the NDP for runner-up status behind Doug Ford, as well as a survey on the race to become the leader of the op...

We discuss the latest threats from the New Democrats to rip up their confidence-and-supply agreement with the Liberals and just how likely it is that this could lead to the fall of the government. We also chat about new polls on how Canadians view support for Ukraine and where the parties stand in Quebec as chatter increases on the possibility of a third referendum on sovereignty. Plus, we discuss...

Are cracks starting to show in the Liberal caucus — and can more of them be prevented if the polling numbers don't improve? We also discuss views on health care, new numbers out of Alberta and dive into the listener mailbag. What happens if Donald Trump is unable to be the nominee? And what about the Conservatives' new star recruit in British Columbia? Get early access to episodes and exclusive ac...

After polls suggested the gap was narrowing a little between the Liberals and the Conservatives, a new survey puts the Conservatives back into landslide territory. We also discuss new polling on Canadians' views on the U.S. election, some upcoming byelections in Atlantic Canada and answer listener questions. Finally, Philippe gets his revenge on Éric for last week's Quiz. To join the Discord page...

On this special episode of The Numbers, we port over a favourite from The Writ Podcast to mark the third edition of what is now our annual holiday tradition: the Over/Under Contest! Yes, for the third time we throw caution to the wind and make our predictions for the political year to come. Plus, we see who has the most egg on his face from last year's guesses. This being the last episode of the y...

The latest Abacus Data poll shows a nine-point swing between the Liberals and the Conservatives over the last few weeks, closing the gap to (a still wide) 10 points. Is it a mirage or a Christmas miracle for Justin Trudeau and crew? We also discuss some provincial polling out of the Prairies, an upcoming byelection in Toronto and answer listener questions. To join the Discord page for The Numbers...

This week, we chat about the latest polls that show the Liberals flirting with the NDP for third place. We also chat Liberal leadership polling and a little Ontario politics, plus we discuss the naming of the new female co-spokesperson of Québec Solidaire and sit down for a brief chat with Gabriel Nadeau-Dubois, male co-spokesperson of the party. We've got listener questions and, of course, The Qu...

We discuss the latest polls that show the Liberals in deep trouble and how the carbon tax has become a vote loser for Justin Trudeau's government. We also chat about the OLP leadership race, new recruits for Pierre Poilievre's Conservatives and answer listener questions. Plus, Philippe comes up with his toughest quiz yet. To join our Patreon and get access to our members-only episodes and early ac...

We discuss some troubling polling and fundraising numbers for the Liberals and wonder how they could possibly keep this up for another 23 months. Plus, there's a shocking new poll out of Quebec, listener questions and a quiz that puts Éric on the spot. Join our Patreon at https://www.patreon.com/thenumberspod to get early access to episodes every week on Thursday and exclusive access to our m...

A preview of this week's episode, where we chat about the Conservatives' big lead in the polls, some new numbers regarding the Israel-Hamas conflict and a tightening gap on the Saskatchewan provincial scene. We answer some listener questions, including whether Trudeau could do worse than Ignatieff or Poilievre could do better than Mulroney, and Philippe is put to the test with a quiz! To get acces...

This week, we chat about some new polling numbers on Justin Trudeau's leadership and we dissect the NDP's prospects coming out of the convention, where Jagmeet Singh scored 81% on his leadership review. We also discuss just how much Teflon is coating Doug Ford and his Ontario PCs, and answer listener questions — including whether any party could win a landslide the size of John Diefenbaker's or Br...

As we mentioned last week, every second episode of The Numbers will now be only for members of our Patreon. This week, we're chatting about the latest federal polls as well as new numbers in B.C., Alberta and Quebec, and we discuss the NDP's upcoming convention in Hamilton. Plus, Philippe has another quiz! We'll have a regular episode of The Numbers in your feed next week, but if you don't want to...

We break down the results of the Manitoba provincial election and the Quebec byelection in Jean-Talon, as well as some new polling numbers out of Ontario and Newfoundland and Labrador. We also answer listener questions (can the Conservatives ever win in Montreal?) and present our numbers of the week. Don't miss next week's episode! Become a member at https://www.patreon.com/thenumberspod Hosted on...

Philippe and Éric discuss some federal polling that would produce very different electoral outcomes. They then draft their ridings to watch in Manitoba's election, play a game of over/under ahead of the Jean-Talon byelection and answer listener questions. Join our Patreon for early access to episodes and, starting soon, Patron-only episodes: thenumberspod.ca Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy...

We discuss just how well Canadians know the names of the Conservative leader and the Liberal cabinet, as well as news about India, the creation of a new federal party, the latest Manitoba polls and a potential snap election in New Brunswick. Plus, we answer listener questions and Philippe has another quiz for Éric. Join our Patreon and get early access to all episodes at http://thenumberspod.ca Ho...

We chat about Philippe's experience at the Conservative convention and more polling numbers that should make the Liberals very worried. We also discuss a big development in B.C. politics, whether Doug Ford is made out of Teflon and if Heather Stefanson can win re-election as the least popular premier in Canada. Plus, we have answers to listener questions and our numbers of the week. Get early acce...

In this inaugural episode of The Numbers podcast, we chat about the latest federal polls and the Conservative convention, before delving into the provincial scenes in Manitoba, Ontario and Quebec. Plus, we answer questions from the mailbag and Philippe test's Éric's Ontario political knowledge. To get early access to episodes on Thursdays and join our Discord, become a Patron here: https://www.pat...

Éric Grenier, political analyst and author of  The Writ  newsletter, and Philippe J. Fournier, the mind behind  338Canada , provide their unique perspective and analysis on federal and provincial politics across Canada. After collaborating together from time to time on The Writ Podcast, Éric and Philippe have decided to launch a new podcast to share their passion for political histo...