The Bayesian Conspiracy

We discuss The Rise and Fall of Peer Review , with Adam Mastroianni from Experimental History We also touch on The dance of the naked emperors and Ideas aren’t getting harder to find and anyone who tells you otherwise is a coward and I will fight them Other Links: Is Ice Cream… healthy ? ( origin ) What Lies Dreaming 0:00:01 – The Rise and Fall of Peer Review with Adam Mastroianni 0:59:03 –...

With Wes from The Mind Killer we discuss Exposure to Lizardman is Lethal  

Speaking in GPT tongues with Matt MUDsim Respectful Criticism Lambda Calc? gfodor’s take Eliezer take + followup

The salt in pasta water fallacy

We discuss Rationalists and the Cultic Milieu by Ozy Brennan Other Links: Doocy asking about AI doom at the White House 0:00:38 – Feedback/Thanks DC Rats! 0:01:30 – Guild of the Rose  Update 0:03:36 – Rationalists and the Cultic Milieu 0:43:48 – Less Wrong Posts 1:16:01 – Thank the Patron  We now partner with  The Guild of the Rose , check them out. Hey look, we have a  discord ! What could possib...

An AI risk argument that resonates with NYTimes readers

Probot joins to discuss Chatbot convinces Belgian to commit suicide De Standaard

Matt comes on to blast Eneasz with his LW post The Parable of the King and the Random Process  

Matt and Eneasz discuss Katja Grace’s Let’s think about slowing down AI Other Links Bayes Blast 1 – In Defense of Chatbot Romance The Bayesian Conspiracy 182 – The Birth and Death of Sydney (Bing AI) 0:00:45 – Guild of the Rose  Update 0:01:44 – Let’s think about slowing down AI 0:37:12 – Is this all just cope? We now partner with  The Guild of the Rose , check them out. Hey look, we have a ...

Steven blasts Eneasz with Spencer Greenberg’s description of a huge problem in science publication. Links The short post Steven took his notes from A Clearer Thinking podcast episode where they discuss this Spencer as a guest on Two Psychologists, Four Beers

The Waluigi Effect  

Duncan Sabien on dynamics [can] arise if you have people nudging in that direction (also thanks to Liam from 2 Rash 2 Unadvised podcas t for intro)

My Model Of EA Burnout

We discuss Microsoft’s new Bing search chatbot – Sydney. It received a wave of media coverage due to erratic behavior, before being neutered by Microsoft. A dive into its behavior, human responses, and implications. Links The Birth and Death of Sydney “Sydney Is Now Immortal” Zvi’s Round-up Gwern’s comment on Bing/Sydney Astral Codex Ten post on Janus Simulators...

We discuss Zvi’s How to Bounded Distrust with Wesley Fenza. Wes is from The Mind Killer ! Other links: Bounded Distrust On Bounded Distrust The Media Very Rarely Lies + followup + 2nd followup People Will Sometimes Just Lie About You Matt Yglesia on Why You Can’t Trust The Media Discovery in lawsuit case shows FOX News hosts didn’t believe their own narrative NYT leadership decid...

In Defense of Chatbot Romance

We have some follow-up questions to Brian, including how to weigh utils, how moral claims to an area can be adjudicated, crime, use of home ownership as an investment as government policy, eviction law, and more! For the full episode, subscribe at Patreon CA YIMBY main page and support pages here

We discuss the YIMBY movement in California, and how Brian Hanlon & co. got real legislative change happening. Primary Links CA YIMBY Contact Brian – Brian@CAYIMBY.org Great article on SB827 including interview with Brian The Welcoming Neighbor Network Other Links George Carlin on NIMBY CARLA is now CalHDF SF BARF Black-Eyes put on a hell of a punk show… and they just reunited to p...

Worried about AGI running amok in the near future? John Wentworth thinks we can align AI. In 10-15 years. With greater than 50/50 probability. And he has a plan! We discuss The Plan, its merits, and how it has progressed over the past year. Primary Sources: The Plan The Plan – 2022 Update Also discussed: The Basic Foundations for Agent Models sequence The Telephone Theorem The “Minimal...

We discuss Out To Get You by Zvi . A  lot  of clouds get yelled at. 2:55 – Main Topic: Getting Got 1:08:48 – LW posts 1:18:55 – Thank the Patron Hey look, we have a  discord ! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page , your support is most rational, and totally effective.  Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Ep...

Matt Freeman gives a primer in how to uses Bayesian decision making in normal life, via decision trees. We also discuss utilitarianism, the Guild of the Rose , and recent AI advances. We are now in the early singularity. Guild of the Rose : Playlist of Decision Tree “lectures” Guild workshop page 1 Guild workshop page 2 Guild workshop page 3 Reflecting on the 2022 Guild of the Rose Wor...

Aella comes on the show to tell us what the heck Circling is and why we should do it. 0:01:21 How Many Rationalists Are There? 0:04:40 Circling 1:09:42 LW Posts 1:41:35 Thank the Patron! Aella’s Blog The Patreon bit where we discuss The Murder Button Circle Anywhere Authentic Relating International Julia Galef on Bayes’ Equation Hey look, we have a  discord ! What could possibly go wro...

David from The Mind Killer joins us. We got to talking about the FTX collapse and some of the waves it sent through the Effective Altruism community. Afterwards David helps us out with personal finance. 0:00:00 Intro 0:02:08 The Sequences Now Formatted For Zoomers 0:11:25 FTX Collapse & EA Shockwaves 0:54:20 Personal Finance 1:43:20 Thank the Patron! The Sequences In A Zoomer-Readable Format F...

While recording the next episode we got to talking about the FTX collapse and some of the waves it sent through the Effective Altruism community. We decided to break it out into a separate segment so it can air while it’s still relevant. FTX: The $32B implosion – a good fast roundup of what the hell happened Yudkowsky’s essay on FTX Future Fund money that’s been paid out Y...

Wes and David from The Mind Killer show up for a special cross-over episode. We discuss How Stewart Made Tucker Listen to The Mind Killer Hey look, we have a  discord ! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: none Next Episode’s  Sequence Posts : (for real this time) Absolute Authority Infinite Certa...