The Bayesian Conspiracy

We talk more with Brandon Hendrickson about his ACX-contest winning book review of The Educated Mind by Kieran Egan. Also discussions of rationality, post-rationalism, and more. The winning book review in its original text  (also  in audio  ( itunes ,  spotify )) Brandon’s substack –  The Lost Tools of Learning Science Is Weird  – a sprawling online science course that helps kids fall in love with...

We talk with Brandon Hendrickson about his ACX-contest winning book review of The Educated Mind by Kieran Egan. “A novel theory about why schools, as they are now, don’t work.” The winning book review in its original text (also in audio ( itunes , spotify )) Brandon’s substack – The Lost Tools of Learning Science Is Weird – a sprawling online science course that helps...

We are talking poly again, with Aella and Yassine. NOTE – LINKS Why Your Polyamorous Friend’s Relationship Sucks by Aella The Amory Spectrum by Aella Yassine’s The Bailey podcast episode on polyamory with Aella Contra Aella on Polyamoric Lexicality by Yassine Cuckoldry as Status Jockeying by Yassine Yassine – XTwitter , SubStack , Podcast Aella – XTwitter , SubStack ,...

Two smaller episodes dropped as one – The History of the Tuskegee Syphilis Experiment, and Reflections on Steven’s Jury Experience LINKS We Tuskegeed My Dad Unraveling the Tuskegee Study of Untreated Syphilis SNL skit Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson Enhancement Drug 196 – Steven Goes To Court Erik Hoel on the Threat to Humanity from AI 0:00:23 – Tuskegee failed Blast 0:35:56 – Jury Extended Discussion 1...

We talk with Charlie and Alex about going to Burning Man to help prep Steven to maybe go next year LINKS You Will Be Miserable, And It Will Set You Free – Eneasz’s post on Burning Man Burning Man Survival Guide The Time I Failed To Join A Cult – look at the fun you could be having at Burning Man You can’t reach the brain through the ears MythMakers are dicks and stole a swo...

How non-expert dudes caught bad dudes.

Steven achieved his dream of serving on a jury. Our local lawyer Justin returns to score him on rational jurying. 0:00:23 – All Rise 1:51:30 – Less Wrong Posts 2:06:55 – Guild of the Rose  Update 2:09:28 – Thank the Patron We now partner with  The Guild of the Rose , check them out. Hey look, we have a  discord ! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page –your support is most rational, and to...

Matt’s back which means we have some more AI stuff to talk about! KataGo was built as an adversary to AlphaGo and can beat it 94% of the time using a mere 8% of the computational power! The trick to it ties into an older LessWrong post – The Strangest Thing an AI Could Tell You . 0:00:50 – LK99 0:10:08 – KataGo 1:33:20 – Guild of the Rose  Update 1:37:27 – Less Wrong Posts...

We talk with Aella about some of the results of her absolutely massive sex & kink survey LINKS Aella’s Substack Aella’s Twitter You don’t need a perfectly random sample for useful data, jfc Women Prefer More Violent Porn Monogamous men in long-term relationships aren’t doin too hot Want to maybe marry Aella? Here’s her Date-Me Doc , and info more links: We speak with Ad...

Kill yourself for no reason, or save others? Lisatomic’s Poll Roko’s Poll Eneasz’s annoyance Scissor’s Statements origin

Musicgen lets anyone make a quick music snippet and Audiogen is surprisingly good at generating non-confusing sounds! These tools are currently free and will no doubt be mind blowing in just a few months when better, paid versions come out. Musicgen Audiogen

We speak with Yassine Meskhout of The Bailey about… a whole bunch of things actually. LINKS Yassine’s Substack The Motte The Bailey podcast Yassine’s I Am Here Because Of Blind Dumb Luck Check Here For Racial Oppression – history of the US Federal racial categories SSC post popularizing & explaining the Motte And Bailey Doctrine Alex Jones as Epic Poetry Yassine’s...

Alex joins us to smile as we push some boulders up some hills. LINKS Effective Altruism As A Tower Of Assumptions The Myth of Sisyphus by Albert Camus The Guild of the Rose 0:01:31 – Post-Rat Feedback 0:21:16 – Absurdism and the Meaning of Life 1:21:25 – Guild of the Rose  Update 1:28:32 – Thank the Patron 1:33:57 – Less Wrong Posts We now partner with  The Guild of the Rose , check them out. Hey...

Me and Wes exchange hot takes. Mine is stolen shamelessly from Based Camp, go listen to the original source material there , it’s good!

Seriously though, what’s going on here ? Arielle dives in with us. LINKS Arielle’s substack – Analog Futures Bayesian Conspiracy episode #5 (!) on What is Rationalism? The Mind Killer live episode recorded at VibeCamp Eneasz’s novel – What Lies Dreaming 0:00:27 – What is a Post-Rat? 1:03:13 – Guild of the Rose  Update 1:05:01 – Less Wrong Posts 1:16:33 – Thank the Pat...

How to talk about the future From On “Present Rate No Singularity” at Thing of Things

Mo’ productivity, mo’ money, at last Zvi’s The Overemployed Via ChatGPT

We talk with Brooke , creator and driving force behind VibeCamp. We talk about VibeCamp 2, being human, and the post/rats corner of twitter. LINKS Brooke on Twitter Brooke’s most-moved-by-this Tweet, the Lemur Who Vibed Eneasz’s retrospective post on VibeCamp What are vibes? Meme to Vibe: A Philosophical Report by Peter Limberg The Neighborhood SF project Rational Magic , an article ab...

Steven blasts Eneasz with the latest news about how Reddit is doing it’s best to ruin everyone’s good time. Reddit post from Apollo’s developer on the subject Followup post for some debunking and elaboration Links to everything Steven mentioned in the blast are in those two links.

Actual photo of David’s Baklava David Youssef from The Guild of the Rose has great ways to integrate ChatGPT into your work, and also thinks AIs will keep humans around. Links: ChatGPT leaking Samsung chip secrets is iceberg’s tip Training an LLMs model Achieving 99.3% of ChatGPT’s Performance GPT 4 is Smarter than You Think: Introducing SmartGPT 0:00:23 – Part One: Maximizing ChatGPT(...

Matt Freeman joins us to discuss life in changing times. Major take away for Eneasz: Be the kind of person your post-singularity descendants will be proud to say “I descended from that man/woman” Links: Put stuff in orbit on a budget Three Worlds Collide Singularity Song, by The Lisps 0:05:37 –   Guild of the Rose Update 0:09:03 – Part One: OMG Guys This Stuff is Awesome!! 0:53:07 – Pa...

Richard Acton returns to denounce pre-publication peer review, and propose a replacement building off the open source software ethos, and review bounties Richard’s extensive notes for this episode, which include a ton of great links at the bottom Contact him at richardjacton@pan-narrans.xyz Other Links: Richard on Showing Our Work and Multi-Panel Figures Richard’s podcast XenoThesis ,...

Blast with Matt re OpenAI using GPT-4 to automatically write explanations for the behavior of neurons in GPT-2 , and what this means for Doom (spoiler: it’s good!) OpenAI’s explanation Thread – less than 1% of neuron’s explained with good confidence

We discuss Eric Hoel’s Why I Am Not An Effective Altruist   Other Links: EA Forum – Comments on Hoel’s Essay EA Forum – What actually is the argument for effective altruism? SSC – Arguments From My Opponent Believes Something Ken Ham’s Ark EconTalk Podcast with Russ Roberts and Eric Hoel Thing of Things substack We now partner with  The Guild of the Rose , check...

One of these white pills is more realistic than the other. Which one is which is left as an exercise to the listener. Roko’s White Pill AXRP reform AI Alignment with Scott Aaronson