The Weekly Trend

 In this week's episode David and Ian discuss the S&P 500 moving below 6500, continued strength early in the week followed by weakness moving into the weekend, Magnificent Seven and mega-cap tech leading to the downside again, the relationship between energy stocks and oil, international areas holding up well on a relative basis, and what they are seeing in fixed income and commodities.  

 In this week's episode Ian and Kevin discuss the major indices now below their 200-day moving averages, what it would look like if the S&P 500 does not find support at 6500, the rough look for long-term treasuries and fixed income in general, trade-weighted U.S. Dollar fighting to get back above 100, the performance out of energy and how that parallels 2022 behavior, and how internationa...

 In this week's episode David and Ian discuss the bullish engulfing candles witnessed on Monday, but no follow-through in sight with the S&P back below 6800. They also discuss the relationship between oil and energy prices, when else have we seen Financials be the worst performer to start the year, breadth deterioration, what it means if XLP breaks down while outperforming the rest of the...

 In this week's episode David and Ian discuss the continued chop in the S&P 500, bearish sentiment, retail buying, energy stocks with the increase in oil prices, support and resistance, theses for the range in the S&P 500 being further consolidation and then a move higher, or the forming of a market top.  

 In this week's episode David and Ian discuss the S&P 500 continuing to be rangebound, sector rotation and industry performance during different points of the market cycle. They also discuss what it would look like if there is a mid-year 8-12% correction which would be perfectly normal with mid-term year seasonality. Other topics discussed is cryptocurrencies, Nvidia earnings reaction, ma...

 In this week's episode David and Kevin discuss the S&P 500 continuing to be within a tight range, bearish market sentiment with large amounts of short selling, what would happen if the Magnificent 7 and software begin to participate to the upside, the continued strength internationally, precious metals, continued strength in value sectors, and what could conflict in Iran mean for the mar...

In this week's episode David and Ian discuss the S&P remaining range-bound, differentiation between S&P 500 performance and the average performance of it's constituents. They also discuss market breadth, sentiment, the continued drawdown in software, how homebuilders are starting to look interesting along with transportation stocks even with the rough week for trucking stocks. Th...

In this week's episode David and Ian discuss the move to the downside in Bitcoin and other crypto assets, the poor performance from mega cap names and software, the strength out of industrials, financials, small caps and mid caps. They also talk about market breadth, precious metals and materials, potential false breakdowns, and risk on and risk off behavior.

 In this week's episode, David and Ian discuss how the strongest areas appear to be getting hit the hardest to close out the week, an update on seasonality, sector rotation dynamics, if the move in precious metals and mining is over, the VIX, and large cap tech participation. 

In this week's episode, David and Ian discuss the continued move to the upside in precious metals and the relative relationship between the metals and their miners. They also discuss the 5-standard deviation move in Japanese Bonds, signs for risk on/risk off behavior, international equities, energy, small caps, January seasonality, market breadth, crypto, and fixed income. 

In this week's episode, David and Ian discuss how mega cap growth names are lagging behind, while small caps and international equities continue to outperform. Does this mean 2026 will be a year of differentiation? They also discuss precious metals, crypto, interest rates, and some market relationships they find interesting. 

In this week's episode, Ian and Kevin discuss how metals and mining are off to a good start this year, the Russell 2000 with a nice setup again, international equities, areas of Financials that are performing well, a mixed bag from semiconductors, and crypto miners. 

In this week's episode, David and Ian discuss areas of the market that had a good year in 2025, like international equities, metals and mining, precious metals, and also what areas had a poor year in 2025. They also discuss semiconductors in the broader context of market sector makeup and an update on the Santa Claus rally. 

In this week's episode, David Zarling and Ian McMillan discuss growth versus value, high beta versus low volatility, market cap relative relationships, and other risk-on/risk-off relationships to close out the year and what might be in store in 2026. They also discuss international equities, Bitcoin, and how interest rates continue to appreciate against Fed rate cuts. 

In this week's episode, David Zarling and Ian McMillan discuss if we are seeing rotation out of tech and growth areas of the market into value and small cap focused areas. They also discuss international areas that are holding up well, bitcoin, poor performance from the consumer staples sector, precious metals, and materials.  

In this week's episode, David Zarling and Ian McMillan discuss the areas of the market that are out to all time highs, improved breadth, what is supporting the bullish thesis, 5x leverage funds, cryptocurrency, and interest rates. 

 In this week's episode, Ian McMillan and Kevin Firari discuss the price action following Nvidia earnings, reinforcement of key price levels for the S&P 500, rotation into later-cycle sectors like Healthcare, Energy, and Financials, Fund Manager Survey cash levels, the VIX, and what we could see play out to end 2025. 

 In this week's episode, David Zarling and Ian McMillan discuss market breadth and participation, areas of healthcare that have been holding up well, like biotech and pharmaceuticals. They also discuss whether the leadership from large cap tech and semiconductors is over, how software is at an interesting level, Michael Burry closing his fund, Bitcoin, and an update on fixed income.  

 In this week's episode, David Zarling and Ian McMillan discuss the current pullback in equities, important levels moving forward, the US Dollar, Gold and Gold Miners, International areas still holding up well, and earnings reactions.  

Hosts David Zarling and Ian McMillan discuss the state of the markets amid a split environment where large-cap tech and semiconductor stocks drive the S&P 500 to new highs while many smaller stocks lag behind. They note mixed earnings reactions among major companies like Apple, Amazon, Microsoft, and Meta, and highlight signs of narrowing market breadth and potential caution signals such as th...

 In this week’s episode David and Ian discuss the areas of the market looking to go out at new all time highs, an update on Gold and Gold Miners, International Equities, risk-on indicators, investor sentiment, cryptocurrencies, interest rates and fixed income areas of the market. 

 In this week’s episode David and Ian discuss the inside week for the market, regional banks struggling while big banks are holding up better, small caps and biotech, is the move over for gold and gold miners, and looking forward at potential scenarios on market movements. 

In this week’s episode David and Ian discuss recent market developments, including ongoing breadth divergences and recent deterioration in Financial and Home Construction stocks. They highlight interesting areas of relative strength as well as how Friday’s downside day could just be one-day volatility or the start of another correction. Tune in to find out the latest market developments through th...

 In this week’s episode, David and Ian discuss areas still at or moving to all time highs, risk on versus risk off behavior, potential challenges to the continued bullish thesis, sentiment, potential reactions to a potential correction, the government shutdown, and postseason baseball. 

In this week’s episode, Ian and Kevin discuss how it seems like stocks could pause and consolidate to start October, interesting relative charts, risk on areas in equities and fixed income, the continued performance from the mining industry, commodities, and transportation tech funds.