The Weekly Trend

In this episode of The Weekly Trend , Dave Zarling and Ian McMillan examine an S&P 500 stuck in a prolonged trading range as market leadership continues to shift beneath the surface. Technology and semiconductors struggle at key technical levels, while Healthcare and Energy show improving relative strength. They also explore the sharp contrast between bullish retail investors and defensive ins...

In this episode of The Weekly Trend , Dave Zarling and Ian McMillan examine the growing divergence between the cap-weighted indices and the average stock. They discuss weakness in semiconductors, AI-related stocks, and mega-cap technology, while Energy and Healthcare show improving relative strength. Small caps and emerging markets remain under pressure, regional banks are flashing caution, and a...

In this episode, David Zarling and Ian McMillan break down a market sitting near all-time highs despite significant damage beneath the surface, with nearly 60% of S&P 500 stocks more than 20% below their own all-time highs. They discuss the continued leadership from technology and semiconductors, the potential for breadth to finally expand, and whether beaten-down areas of the market can catch...

In this episode of The Weekly Trend, David Zarling and Ian McMillan examine a market sending dramatically different signals above and below the surface. The S&P 500 remains near its highs while the Nasdaq, technology, and several areas of semiconductor leadership push toward or into new highs, but underneath the indexes, breadth has deteriorated sharply, with a large percentage of stocks alrea...

In Episode 314, David Zarling and Ian McMillan break down a market that continues to frustrate investors with months of sideways price action despite the major indexes remaining relatively close to their highs. They dig into deteriorating breadth, extremely low stock correlations, elevated dispersion, bearish sentiment, and the growing number of S&P 500 stocks already experiencing meaningful c...

  In this week's episode, David and Ian discuss market breadth and the dispersion between stocks within the S&P 500 and the index itself, sector performance and more specifically how Energy continues to outperform, treasury yields, credit spreads, volatility, and seasonality.  

 In this week's episode, David and Ian discuss the continued sideways move in the S&P 500, dispersion analysis of stocks within the S&P 500, cryptocurrencies that are showing strength, international equities, whether we are going to see areas that lead early in the year taking back the reins to end the year, and which areas of transports are looking the best. 

In this week's episode, Ian and Kevin discuss the rough look out of the Russell 2000, the poor performance out of Industrials except for Marine Shipping. They also discuss the potential failed breakdown in long-term U.S. Treasuries, Cryptocurrencies, Semiconductors, and market breadth. 

In this week's episode David and Ian discuss the Russell 2000, Basic Materials areas of the market like FCX, Copper Miners, Gold Miners, Silver Miners, and the relative charts of the miners to the physical metal. They also discuss the recent price action in Biotechnology, Energy, and Regional Banks and how areas like that can sometimes perk up towards the end of a market cycle, U.S. Treasurie...

In this week's episodeIn this week's episode, David and Ian discuss the S&P 500 is still above the range and 7600, equal-weight to cap-weighted relationships, the strength out of marine transportation stocks, market breadth, interest rate cycles, gambling versus investing, and real estate cycles. 

In this week's episode, Ian and Kevin discuss the S&P 500 getting above 7600, areas of the market that have led so far out of the range, precious metals, precious metals miners, fixed income, and credit spreads. 

 In this week's episode, Ian and Kevin discuss the inability of  broad financials, insurance, and healthcare to hold gains made earlier in the week, how European financials and larger global banks continue to stand out, interesting relative relationships, like growth versus value and micro caps versus mega caps. They also discuss the breakdown in long-term US treasuries, recent pullback in th...

 In this week's episode, David and Ian discuss the continued chop fest, how the Magnificent Seven is a red flag, although at the same time Financials and Transportation stocks look good, which aids the bullish thesis that this consolidation resolves in the direction of the primary trend. They also discuss if the mega cap tech and Magnificent Seven era is over, what is going on with Consumer S...

 In this week's episode, David and Ian discuss the S&P 500 continuing to be rangebound, some of the potential concerns with price action of the Nasdaq, margin calls in South Korea, areas of the market holding up well and trying to go out to all time highs. They also discuss which commodities are doing well, especially with the strong U.S. Dollar, international leaders year-to-date, long-t...

In this week's episode, David and Ian discuss the current consolidation, what they are seeing out of financials, specifically banks, European financials, industrials, small cap areas of the market, like biotech, and improved breadth. 

 In this week's episode, David and Ian discuss the the recent rise in the U.S. Dollar and how that is interesting when paired with Emerging Markets and Small Caps outperformance. They also discuss the current range the S&P 500 has been in since May, the failed breakout in long-term interest rates, market breadth, and thinking in terms of percentages rather than nominal dollar values. 

 In this week's episode, David and Ian discuss the SpaceX IPO taking place today, how the different indices are treating SpaceX, areas of the market that are trying to breakout to new all-time highs, the recent price action for banks and the U.S. Dollar. They also discuss what they would like to see out of the consumer discretionary sector, how transports are still strong, and the World Cup k...

 In this week's episode, Ian and Kevin discuss the SpaceX IPO and treatment from major indices and the tough week for cryptocurrencies and commodities. They also discuss the lackluster market breadth and the continued thin market and the strong move from the U.S. Dollar.  

 In this week's episode, David Zarling, Ian McMillan, and Kevin Firari discuss Nvidia performance versus Semiconductors and the broad market as a whole, areas of the market that are underperforming, equal weight S&P 500 (RSP) out to all time highs, recent AAII survey results, interesting names within the Nasdaq that are performing well, fixed income, and potential rate hikes. 

In Episode 299, David Zarling and Ian McMillan break down a market that remains heavily driven by semiconductors, with tech and energy the only sectors above their relative 200-day lines versus the S&P 500. They discuss the dominance of AI-related leadership, emerging markets’ semiconductor exposure, Apple’s relative strength, and whether software could benefit from a rotation if AI enthusiasm...

 In this week's episode David and Ian discuss the areas of the market at all time highs, including the Magnificent Seven, and how bullish it is for market participants being willing to buy at all time highs. They also discuss international areas that continue to perform well, whether we are witnessing a similar period to the dot com bubble of the late 90's and early 2000's, along wi...

 In this week's episode David and Kevin discuss the areas of the market going out to all-time highs, the return profile if you buy at all time highs, and the continued effect semiconductors, storage, and electronic components is having across multiple industries and sectors. They also discuss the areas of international equities that are performing well, how international performance is also t...

 In this week's episode Ian and Kevin discuss the continued strength out of Semiconductors and Technology, while other areas of the market failed to reach or surpass previous highs. They also discuss the strength out of Asia while Latin America cools off, Bitcoin, Small Caps, and that they would like to see risk-on behavior continued in the fixed income space. 

In Episode 295 of the Weekly Trend podcast, David and Ian break down the market’s stunning return to new all-time highs, unpacking what the sharp V-shaped recovery means for investors, advisors, and anyone still waiting for a pullback that may never come. They explore the significance of the S&P 500 reclaiming its 200-day moving average, the psychology of chasing strength after a fast rebound,...

In this week's episode David and Ian discuss the S&P 500 being back above a 200 day moving average, where do you start with reconstructing your portfolio, the strength out of semiconductors and other risk-on areas of the market. They also discuss how software, private credit, Bitcoin, MAGS, and FNGS continue to lag. Other topics discussed are International equities and is the move in oil...