The Pollsters

Margie and Kristen return after a four-year hiatus! In this one-off episode, The Pollsters catch listeners up on their lives and review the performance of polls leading up to the 2024 Presidential Election. Did pollsters get it right? Or wrong? Or somewhere in-between? Listen to find out!

Large Voter Turnout Voter Turnout Appears Steady; Enthusiasm Running High (Gallup) Who Will Win? Who Do Voters Think Will Win (Navigator) Cookie Poll Three Brothers Bakery Presidential Cookie Poll Has Accurately Predicted Winner of Last 3 Elections (KHOU) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Trump Job Approval Trump Job Approval (RealClear Politics) General Election Presidential General Election (RealClear Politics) Coronavirus Coronavirus Upends Nation, as Three in Four Americans' Lives Changed by Pandemic (ABC News/Ipsos) Governors Get High Marks For Handling COVID-19 Crisis (Monmouth) Tracking Public Opinion on the Coronavirus (Morning Consult) Public Opinion on Coronavirus (Naviga...

Florida Democratic Primary Who Different Groups Supported (New York Times) National Democratic Primary National Democratic Primary (FiveThirtyEight) Trump Job Approval Trump Job Approval (RealClear Politics) General Election General Election (RealClear Politics) Coronavirus Trump Earns Mixed Grades on Coronavirus Response (Politico/Morning Consult) Coronavirus (NPR/PBS/Marist) Coronavirus (Reutors...

Democratic Primary Florida Democratic Primary (FiveThirtyEight) National Democratic Primary (FiveThirtyEight) Biden Crushes Sanders In Democratic Race (Quinnipiac) Trump Job Approval Trump Job Approval (RealClear Politics) General Election General Election (RealClear Politics) Approval of U.S. Congressional Republicans Tops Democrats (Gallup) Coronavirus Trump and the Coronavirus (CNN) Americans D...

Democratic Primary National Democratic Primary (FiveThirtyEight) Florida Democratic Primary (FiveThirtyEight) Michigan Democratic Primary (FiveThirtyEight) Trump Approval Trump Job Approval (RealClear Politics) General Election General Election (RealClear Politics) Corona Beer and the Coronavirus The Spread of the Coronavirus Couldn't Have Come at a Worse Time for Corona Beer (CNN) Learn more abou...

Democratic National Primary Democratic National Primary (FiveThirtyEight) South Carolina Democratic Primary (FiveThirtyEight) Debate Watchers Believe Bernie Sanders Made the Best Case for Defeating Trump (YouGov) Trump Job Approval Trump Job Approval (RealClear Politics) General Election General Election (RealClear Politics) Republicans Increasingly Feel Like They’re ‘Winning’ Politically; Democra...

Democratic National Primary Democratic National Primary (FiveThirtyEight) Sanders Opens Up Double-Digit National Lead in Primary Race (NBC News/WSJ) Sanders Leads The Field, Bloomberg Qualifies For His 1st Debate (NPR/PBS Newshour/Marist) Nevada Primary Nevada Democratic Primary (FiveThirtyEight) Sanders Has Strong Lead in Nevada (Data for Progress) South Carolina Primary South Carolina Democratic...

Democratic Primary National Democratic Primary (FiveThirtyEight) Who's Ahead in New Hampshire (FiveThirtyEight) Sanders Takes Top Spot In Dem Primary As Biden Falls (Quinnipac) New Hampshire Democratic Primary Exit Poll Results and Analysis (Wash Post) Trump Approval  Trump Approval (RealClear Politics) General Election Trump vs. Klobucha (RealClear Politics) Most Expect Trump Will Be Reelected (M...

On this 5th Anniversary episode, Kristen and Margie are joined by founder of FiveThirtyEight Nate Silver. Nate founded Five Thirty Eight after being tired of the media covering politics with a lack of data. Iowa Primary The three cover the topic of Iowa and how the polls should be looked at along with the actual results in Iowa. Nate breaks down Iowa’s system of using preferences in voting in thei...

National Democratic Primary National Democratic Primary (FiveThirtyEight) 2020 Democratic Primary (Morning Consult) Biden and Sanders are breaking away from the pack of candidates among Democrats nationwide (Washington Post/ABC News) Electability in the Democratic Primary Polls (HuffPost/YouGov) Iowa Primary Iowa Democratic Primary (FiveThirtyEight) Sanders Seizes Lead in Volatile Iowa Race (New Y...

Democratic Primary Who's Ahead in the National Poll? (FiveThirtyEight) Who's Ahead in Iowa? (FiveThirtyEight) Who's Ahead in New Hampshire? (FiveThirtyEight) Sanders Widens Lead In N.H. (WBUR) Trump Approval Trump Job Approval (RealClear Politics) Trump Third Year Sets New Standard for Party Polarization (Gallup) General Election General Election: Trump vs. Klobuchar (RealClear Politics) Trump Imp...

2020 Democratic Primary Democratic Primary (FiveThirtyEight) Iowa Democratic Primary (FiveThirtyEight) Why Warren Needs To Play To Win — And That Includes Beating Sanders (FiveThirtyEight) Who Won The January Democratic Debate? (FiveThirtyEight/Ipsos) Biden holds wide lead among black voters in Democratic presidential race (Washington Post/Ipsos) 2020 General Election National General Election (Fi...

Party Preferences U.S. Party Preferences Steady During Trump Era (Gallup) Democratic Polling for Debate DNC Tells Pollsters to Do More Polls (NewYorkTimes) Democratic Primary Sanders starts 2020 in strong position in Iowa and New Hampshire (CBS News) Biden Is Democrats’ Best Bet to Beat Trump (Morning Consult) Trump Job Approval/Impeachment Trump Job Approval (Real Clear) Do Americans Support Impe...

Polling Trends in Previous Elections In Leaked Memo, Andrew Yang Asks DNC for More Debate Polls (DailyBeast) 2008 Iowa Republican Caucus (RealClear Politics) 2008 Iowa Democratic Caucus (RealClear Politics) 2012 Iowa Republican Presidential Caucus (RealClear Politics) 2016 Iowa Republican Presidential Caucus (RealClear Politics) 2016 Iowa Democratic Presidential Caucus (RealClear Politics) 2020 Pr...

Democratic Primary What Makes Our New 2020 Democratic Primary Polling Averages Different (FiveThirtyEight) Democratic Primary (FiveThirtyEight) Biden and Sanders holding steady (RealClear Politics) Trump Approval/Impeachment President Trump Job Approval (RealClear Politics) Tracking “impeach and remove” (FiveThirtyEight) Trump job approval ticks up, views on impeachment steady (Fox News) Peace at...

Democratic Primary Biden and Sanders holding steady (RealClear Politics) Second Choice Candidates (Quinnipiac) Trump Approval / Impeachment Tracking “impeach and remove” (FiveThirtyEight) Tracking Trump Approval (RealClearPolitics) Who was the better President? Democrats answer! (Monmouth) Trust in the media Republicans less likely to trust the news media (Pew Research) UK Elections Love, Actually...

2020 Presidental Election Democratic Presidential Nomination (RealClear Politics) General Election Matchups (RealClear Politics) Iowa Democratic Presidential Caucus (RealClear Politics) The State of the Democratic Primary (Morning Consult) The Economist/You Gov Poll California Voters Wanted Kamala Harris to Drop Out of Presidential Race (Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies for The Times) Im...

2020 Presidental Election Democratic Presidential Nomination (RealClear Politics) General Election Matchups (RealClear Politics) Iowa Democratic Presidential Caucus (RealClear Politics) CBS News Battleground Tracker (CBS News) Impeachment Trump Approval (RealClear Politics) Do Americans Support Impeaching Trump? (FiveThirtyEight) Impeachment Hearings (ABC/Ipsos) Multi-Party Democracy What if the U...

2020 Presidental Election Democratic Presidential Nomination (RealClear Politics) General Election Matchups (RealClear Politics) Iowa Democratic Presidential Caucus (RealClear Politics) Poll: Bloomberg's Potential Run is a Flop With Voters so Far (Politico/Morning Consult) Biden Holds Slight Lead In New Hampshire Dem Primary (Quinnipiac) Impeachment Trump Approval (RealClear Politics) Do Americans...

2020 Presidential Election Democratic Presidential Nomination (RealClear Politics) General Election Matchups (RealClear Politics) One Year From Election, Trump Trails Biden but Leads Warren in Battlegrounds (The New York Times Upshot/Siena College) Poll: Biden Holds Significant Lead over Warren, Sanders in Nevada; Top Issue is Electing Someone Who Can Beat Trump (The Nevada Independent) Kentucky G...

2020 Presidential Election Democratic Presidential Nomination (RealClear Politics) General Election Matchups (RealClear Politics) Trump Approval (RealClear Politics) Impeachment Do Americans Support Impeaching Trump? (FiveThirtyEight) Partisans Dig In On Impeachment, but Majority of Americans Say Trump Administration Should Cooperate With Inquiry (CBS News) Worst Impeachment Questions (Mclaughlin...

2020 Presidential Election Democratic Presidential Nomination (RealClear Politics) General Election Matchups (RealClear Politics) Biden's lead in Democratic primary hits widest margin since April (CNN) Iowa Caucus (RealClear Politics) Trump and Impeachment Trump Approval (RealClear Politics) Increased Support For Trump Impeachment in Wisconsin (Marquette University Law School) Do Americans Support...

2020 Presidential Election Democratic Presidential Nomination (RealClear Politics) General Election Matchups (RealClear Politics) Trump Approval (RealClear Politics) Who Won The Fourth Democratic Debate? (FiveThirtyEight / Ipsos) Impeachment Do Americans Support Impeaching Trump? (FiveThirtyEight) How To Talk About Impeachment (Navigator) Issue of the Week: Unskew the Polls Fox News Pollster Misre...

2020 Presidential Election Democratic Presidential Nomination (RealClear Politics) General Election Matchups (RealClear Politics) Trump Approval (RealClear Politics) Bullock the only Dem to beat Trump in MT (U. of Montana) I mpeachment Impeachment Tracker (FiveThirtyEight) Voters Remain Divided On Impeachment (Quinnipiac) Public views Ukraine charges as serious, but half say Trump shouldn't be rem...