HyperChange

Tesla has dropped the prices of the US made Model 3 by $2,000 and the Model S and X by $5,000. Does this signal that the Model Y is cannibalizing sales of Tesla's other vehicles? Is the global recession finally catching up to Tesla? Or is this just Tesla passing along manufacturing efficiencies to its customers? I think it's a combination of all 3 factors ... and possibly to clear out inventory fo...

Electrek, Sandy Munro and Jeff Dahn are all hinting at Tesla's having the capability for bi-directional charging and vehicle-to-grid (V2G) features. Is Tesla getting ready to announce a new software feature that will allow its vehicles to put energy back on the grid? V2G has long been touted in academic circles as having the potential to stabilize the grid, and solve the expense (and very pollutiv...

An interview with Jeremy, the creator of the Financial Education Youtube channel. He is a pioneer of being an independent video creator in the financial space, and inspired me to start HyperChange. Today Jeremy has almost 500,000 subscribers on his main channel, and makes videos about the stocks market and personal finance.

Nikola Motors, a battery/fuel-cell startup is getting ready to list on the NASDAQ via a IPO/reverse merger with VectoIQ. While I'm a fan of the company's ambitious vision, after analyzing the business strategy and Founder Trevor Milton's track record, I'm skeptical. What's your take on this IPO? Would you buy in at a $6B+ valuation?

Leaked slides from a recent Jeff Dahn presentation imply that Tesla's new 1M mile battery cells, will be capable of vehicle to grid charging. This hardware capability combined with Tesla's new Autobidder software, could generate major revenue from utilities, for Tesla owners. Renewables are causing increasing strain to the grid without storage, and Tesla's vehicles could be the perfect buffer to s...

Spotify's new partnership with Cash App, Fundraising for Artists, has got me scheming! This payment layer within the Spotify App could be the future of democratizing/digitizing the record label model, and letting us invest in our favorite musicians & podcasters! I would love to be able to invest in my favorite musician's next big project.

Interview with Sandy Munro of Munro & Associates about his Model Y teardown!! We cover the Octovalve, new stamping machine, Cybertruck, Sandy's work on a VTOL jet and his thoughts on Elon Musk's idea for a home HVAC system. Sandy is a Detroit/auto industry legend, it was a pleasure having him on the show and hearing how excited he is about Tesla's technology.

An interview with The Limiting Factor about Tesla's upcoming Battery Investor Day. We analyze the potential for Tesla to bring battery cell production in house, with Maxwell's Dry Battery Electrode technology. These new battery cells can be produced cheaper and faster, while being more efficient, lasting longer and maintaining very little (or no) cobalt. If Tesla announces this it is poised to be...

Full analysis of Tesla's Q1 2020 financial results & conference all. Elon musk hints at a new Gigafactory for the Cybertruck, and says battery investor day will be in late May, in either California or Texas. Overall, Tesla continues to invest rapidly in new growth initiatives as demand is strong, and cashflow improves. Despite a depressing macro situation, the future has never looked brighter...

Preview of what I'm expecting Tesla to report as part of its Q1 2020 earnings on Wednesday. My estimates are for $5.7B in revenue, and an operating loss of $270M. I also think there is a good chance that Tesla confirms (or at least doesn't drop) its guidance for deliveries of 500,000+ cars in 2020.

A conversation with Anthony 'Pomp' Pompliano about Bitcoin. We cover how he got involved with cyrpto, why he is long Bitcoin, whether recent stimulus will lead to inflation, Jack Dorsey + Square's involvement in Bitcoin, how sustainable Bitcoin's energy usage is, whether small countries are getting into Bitcoin mining & so much more! Pomp is one of my favorite crypto content creators and I rec...

SpaceX has successfully completed its 6th Starlink launch. This means they have deployed over 420 low earth orbit satellites. On Twitter, Elon Musk confirmed that Starlink would be launching in a private beta in 3 months, and a public beta in 6 months. I can't believe how fast this is happening! This is a huge inflection in SpaceX's business, as they become their own launch customer (by launching...

A conversation with Turner Novak about Snaps Q1 2020 earnings results, and the company's long term business model. A growing user base combined with increasing ARPU, has the potential to drive revenue growth and improving margins for years to come. Snap's AR features like Lenses and Bitmoji are gaining major traction, and driving engagement. I think Snap's long-term potential remains severely misu...

Netflix reported blowout Q1 2020 financials, with subscribers increasing by 15.7M, and positive free cash flow. Although management was very cautious about guidance, and said this bump is temporary, there is a lot to be optimistic about. This quarter proved that Netflix has reached enough scale to be a profitable business. After years of increasingly negative cashflow, many (including myself) were...

Oil futures went negative for the first time in history yesterday, hitting -$37 per barrel. What does this tell us about the state of over supply in the oil industry, and how difficult it will be for companies (like Exxon and Chevron) to compete with nation states (like Russia & Saudi Arabia) in the current price war. Things are so bad Trump is considering a bailout for oil & gas companies...

A conversation with Arcimoto CEO/Founder Mark Frohnmayer. Arcimoto just reported it's full year 2019 financials, and provided us with a business update. The company is launching its first Deliverator pilot program in Q2 with a major national grocery chain, and has delivered its first Rapid Responder to the Eugene-Springfield fire department. Let me know what you think in the comments below! This i...

A conversation with Mayur Thaker (@freshjiva) about Tesla's financial transformation since the launch of the Model 3. Tesla's business model has been significantly de-risked, as cashflow improves, net debt is reduced, and revenue continues to grow. The future has never looked brighter. This deep dive into Tesla's evolving financial picture shows why the stock has outperformed so dramatically over...

Amazon shares are out-preforming as the company hires 175,000 additional employees, to handle overwhelming demand. The company is also putting aside $500M to increase employee wages. Jeff Bezos' empire could be a structural winner from this macroeconomic crisis. The transition from brick and mortar to ecommerce is poised to accelerate, given the new normal. What are your thoughts?

The Model 3 sold ~44,500 units in the US in Q1, making it BY FAR the best-selling EV, and best-selling small/mid-size luxury vehicle in the United States. On a revenue adjusted basis, The Model 3 was neck and neck with the Toyota Camry, and by my estimates was the #1 selling passenger car in the US by revenue in Q1. This marketshare dominance implies huge sales for the Model Y as production ramps...

Official Q1 2020 sales data from China has been released from the CPCA. Tesla delivered ~16,700 Model 3's in China in March, with ~10K coming just in March. This implies that Gigafactory Shanghai is at a 150K/yr Model 3 production rate TODAY. The Shanghai ramp is progressing way faster than expected. I think this is a an epic storyline that will come to light on Tesla's Q1 earnings call.

Just a year ago, Casper was flying high at a private market valuation of $1.1B, hitting unicorn status. Today, after a broken IPO and the economic criss, Casper trades at a market capitalization of just $180M. Can this mattress startup complete its transformation into an encompassing sleep/wellness brand? If CEO Philip Krim is successful, I think the equity price has a lot of upside.

Quibi is a mobile-only short form video app that launched yesterday. It's founded by Jeffrey Katzenberg, and run by Meg Whitman. In total, Quibi has raise $1.75B and recruited top Hollywood talent for its content. The problem? Nobody needs what they are building. IMO this is setting up to be one of the biggest tech fails of 2020. What's your take on Quibi?

Sandy Munro's Model Y teardown has revealed a new easter egg: The Octovalve. This steampunk-esque Octopus with a snowflake on its forehead, is the new mascot of Tesla's breakthrough thermal management/heat pump in the Model Y. This appears to be the replacement of the Superbottle, that was used for heating/cooling in the Model 3. Could this be a sneak preview of Tesla's ambitions to build a smart...

A conversation with George Whitridge & Max Friedrich of ARK Invest's Fintech team. We discuss Square stock, and the company's long-term potential to merge its seller (Square retail POS)  and consumer (Cash App) businesses to become a digital bank. The interview was recorded on 03/30/2020.

Tesmanian reports that Tesla delivered 9,367 Model 3's in Q1 2020 in China (according to the China Passenger Car Association), with 3,900 alone being delivered in March. This shows that Tesla Shanghai production is hitting record highs. My guess is Tesla could deliver 15-20K 'Made In China' Model 3's in Q2, helping to offset declines in the US and European markets. I think this is a silver lining...