The Bayesian Conspiracy

We speak with a long-time Denver rationalist who’s converting to Christianity about why. Part one, it turns out. LINKS Thomas Ambrose on Twitter The Rationalist Summer Trifecta: Manifest 2025 LessOnline 2025 VibeCamp 2025 00:00:05 – OK so why? 01:24:55 – Guild of the Rose 01:25:41 – Thank the Supporter! Our Patreon , or if you prefer  Our SubStack Hey look, we have a  discord ! What could po...

Eneasz and Liam discuss Scott Alexander’s post “ Twilight of the Edgelords ,” an exploration of Truth, Morality, and how one balances love of truth vs not destabilizing the world economy and political regime. CORRECTION: Scott did make an explicitly clear pro Kamala post LINKS Scott Alexander’s Twilight of the Edgelords Liam & Waweru’s fiction & philosophy pod...

Wes Fenza and Jen Kesteloot join us to talk about whether there’s significant personality differences between men and women, and what (if anything) we should do about that. LINKS Wes’s post Men and Women are Not That Different Jacob’s quoted post Navigation By Moonlight Eneasz’s related post How To Believe False Things Clearer Thinking’s Gender Continuum Test The Mind...

We speak to Nick Allardice, President & CEO of GiveDirectly . Afterwards Steven and Eneasz get wrapped up talking about community altruism for a bit. LINKS Give Directly GiveDirectly Tech Innovation Fact Sheet 00:00:05 – Give Directly with Nick Allardice 01:12:19 – Steven & Eneasz chat about Community Altruism 01:49:35 – Guild of the Rose 01:51:36 – Thank the Supporter! Our Patreon , or if...

Dave Kasten joins us to discuss how AI is being discussed in the US government and gives a rather inspiring and hopeful take. LINKS Narrow Path Center for AI Policy Dave Kasten’s Essay on the Essay Meta on his Substack Prospective donors for CAIP can donate here and potential major donors ($5k+) encouraged to email Jason at jason@aipolicy.us TBC episode 202 – we talk with the Center fo...

The White House wants to hear from you regarding what it should do about AI safety. Now’s your chance to spend a few minutes to make someone read your thoughts on the subject! Submissions are due by midnight EST on March 15th. Submit your comments the the White House here Check out NarrowPath

John Bennett discusses Milton Friedman ‘s model of policy change . LINKS The Milton Friedman Model of Policy Change John Bennett’s LinkedIn Friedman’s “Capitalism and Freedom” Preface Ross Rheingans-Yoo on Thalidomide at Complex Systems , and at his blog “Every Bay Area Walled Compound” Trace on the FAA hiring scandal What We Owe the Future (Will MacAskill...

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G ene Smith on polygenic screening; gene editing to give our children the happiest, healthiest, best lives they can live; and if we can do this in adults as well. Plus how this will interface with the AI future.   LINKS How To Make Super Babies How to have Polygenically Screened Children Significantly Enhancing Adult Intelligence With Gene Editing May Be Possible Meiosis is all you need Welco...

Eneasz tells Jen about Sympathetic Opposition’s How and Why to be Ladylike (For Women with Autism) , and the podcast takes a 1-episode break

Jacob Falkovich on finding a good match and selfless dating LINKS SecondPerson. Dating – why dating sucks and how you will unsuck it Jacob’s post on soccer player skill distribution Go Fuck Someone Selfless Dating Consensual Hostility (re consent culture) steelmanning Monogamy A recent(ish) TBC episode on polyamory Eneasz on finding partners that like the opposite sex Dear Grom and Oth...

How shitcoins work, plus the Dumb Money movie about the GameStop squeeze.

Why you definitely should kill your friend’s cat if you promised to kill your friend’s cat. (+Q&A) This is a lightning talk given at the Rationalist MegaMeetup 2024 . Based on this Twitter Poll

Eric discusses integrating our emotions via observation and adjustment. His free course is at EnjoyExisting.org or email him – eric@ericlanigan.com LINKS EnjoyExisting.org Ugh Fields You Have Two Brains – Eneasz spends more words on this emotion-brain speculation at this blog LessWrong/Lighthaven Donations – you have until Jan 13! 00:00:05 – Integrating Emotions 01:02:30 – Guild...

If you haven’t yet, go fill out the 2024 LW Census . Right here .

Oliver tells us how Less Wrong instantiated itself into physical reality, along with a bit of deep lore of foundational Rationalist/EA orgs. Donate to LightCone (caretakers of both LessWrong and LightHaven) here!  LINKS LessWrong LightHaven Oliver’s very in-depth post on the funding situation (again) Donate Eneasz’s nominated 2023 post/story on LessWrong (you can also read his review o...

We talk to Zoe Isabel Senon about longevity, recent advances, longevity popup cities & group houses, and more (not necessarily in that order). Spoiler: Eneasz is gonna die. Also we learn about Network States! LINKS Vitalist Bay Aevitas House – remember that for these Zoe it helps if you mention you listen to The Bayesian Conspiracy as examples of alignment Vitalia City Lighthaven Fundrai...

We discuss Adam Mastroianni’s “ The Illusion of Moral Decline ” LINKS The Illusion of Moral Decline Touchat Wearable Blanket Hoodie Lighthaven – Eternal September Our episode with Adam on The Rise and Fall of Peer Review The Mind Killer Scott Aaronson on Why are amplitudes complex? 00:00:05 – Blast-Haven 00:03:49 – The Illusion of Moral Decline 00:56:02 – Guild of the Rose...

Enjoy the public conversations we had the pleasure of having at our live show at Lighthaven in Berkeley. Special thanks to Andrew, Matt, J, Ben and Garrett! Due to the nature of this recording, it’s naturally a bit less refined than our usual format. No timestamps or links for this one – just kick back and enjoy. Our Patreon , or if you prefer  Our SubStack Hey look, we have a  discord...

A hypothetical about a finger-collecting demon throws Eneasz for a major loop.

If you’re near Berkeley on 11/13/24 at 4pm, come see us! Address and info at this link . We’ll take a few questions from email at bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com please let us know if you’re a supporter so we can give extra thanks if so.  

We discuss Eneasz’s Shrimp Welfare Watches The EA Gates , briefly touch on Hanson’s Cultural Drift , and tackle a lot of follow-ups and feedback. LINKS Shrimp Welfare Watches The EA Gates (also at TwitterX ) Cultural Drift Significant Digits is here ! From AskWho Eneasz has a boomer crisis about his AI clone Deep Utopia review Utopia, LOL? (Jamie Wahl’s story) (with audio!) The R...

AskWho just attended a “lecture” by AI Grifter Tania Duarte Slide The “TESCREAL” Bungle  by Ozy Brennan AskWho Casts AI podcast

Classic, season one adventure this week! Eneasz and Steven have a loosely structured conversation about the sequences’ value, the virtue of silence, scissor statements, and the value of philosophy. LINKS Cryonics is Free! Dan Dennett – Where Am I? The Virtue of Silence Scissors Statements 00:00:05 – Pre-pre show Discussion 01:41:43 – Guild of the Rose 01:44:48 – Less Wrong Posts 02:05:...

Eneasz chats with TBC Discord member Delta about the cultivation of small online cultures. Get the full episode via   our Patreon or our SubStack !