The Bayesian Conspiracy

Elite education institutions aren’t give us Bruce Waynes anymore, and this is a problem. Our article: The Real Problem At Yale Is Not Free Speech Also relevant: The Wayne Republican Tradition , and Against Against Billionaire Philanthropy   Hey look, we have a  discord ! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast … and  the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Reli...

In this episode, we try to explain the Slate Star Codex post, Conflict vs Mistake. We hope we didn’t make any major mistakes, and if we did, that it won’t cause any kind of conflict. Links: – SSC: Conflict vs Mistake – Also: Highlights from the Comments on Conflict vs Mistake – Ratfic Rec: Draco Malfoy and the Practice of Rationality – Eneasz Book Rec: Whiteshif...

Jess and Phoenix tell us about Replacing Guilt . Favorites from the series: “Should” considered harmful and Confidence all the way up Another recommended book is The Courage To Be Disliked Also mentioned – Flint’s water is OK now . Hey look, we have a discord ! What could possibly go wrong? And What Lies Dreaming now has audio of the early chapters, with more coming! Ration...

In this episode our hosts come together to try and figure out if it’s worth worrying about the possibility that we’re living in a simulation, with a fun twist. We also do plenty of listener feedback. Steven mentioned Eneasz’s book . When I googled the short story Eneasz talked about “Steve Fever” (which was written by Greg Egan), the fifth result was a link to Eneasz&...

We talk about Cultural Evolution, and why it is so terrible. Links: The Secret to Our Success: SSC The Book Melting Asphalt on Prestige Versus Dominance I, Pencil (About How No One Can Make a Pencil Anymore) Caveman Sci-Fi The Mr. Rogers Documentary Hey look, we have a discord ! What could possibly go wrong? LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Risk-Free Bonds Aren’t Correspondence Bias Next...

We talk with David about his question on our subreddit . There’s a lot of other comments and thoughts about the subject at that thread, which you can read here . Sorry about the lateness of this episode, just some growing pains. Related Links: Scott Alexander on the economic costs of racism Jordan Peterson 12 rules for life & maps of meaning Raymond Arnold call to action  The Pi Day HPMO...

The Conspiracy sits down with David Spearman, a long time listener and commenter who told us why we were all wrong about UBI and we figured he should tell you too. Here’s the homework problem David spoke about. The answer is at the bottom. Suppose a firm has to workers: Bob and Omega. It makes two goods: Ultraspace Drives, worth $1000 each (like I said, cost of living has gone way down) and...

We discuss Sarah Constantin’s recent post Degrees of Freedom , addressing where optimization and free-will conflict. Mentioned in this episode: The parable of The Whispering Earring The Transporter Argument Our episode about Desirism with Alonzo Fyfe Eneasz’s Classic WoW guild – The Tail End (US – Alliance – PvE, eventually raiding Sun/Mon 9-12EST) Rationality: From A...

This is not an episode of The Bayesian Conspiracy. It’s just some additional feedback and informal thoughts on abortion, particularly in the USA. If this is not a topic of interest to you, please move on. A regular episode will air at the regular time. Relevant Links: Our subreddit where people post comments is reddit.com/r/thebayesianconspiracy/ David said he based much of his email from Ab...

We dive into the Consolidated Nature of Morality Thread in a lot more detail than originally planned. We seem to get a bit off track. Stuff that came up this episode: Read Eneasz’s novel, What Lies Dreaming, online here Or preorder the ebook : The short story “The Secret Number”   Next Episode’s  Sequence Posts : Universal Fire  Universal Law Think Like Reality

This episode Jess, Eneasz, and Steven sit down to discuss… well, you tell us. We’re kind of all over the map here because things have, in the majority, been weird for us lately. We cover some random things about how America is going to shit, how to conduct yourself in public when making an effort not to spook people, and “magic” life hacks.   Stuff that came up this ep...

Eneasz has a thing for Andrew Yang He’s ex-goth Yang interview on Freakonomics Quick summary of Fosta/Sesta Archer’s dead hookers Where does Denver’s Pot Money go? Hear Steven discuss Endgame on The Doofecast! Chess-Boxing   LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Priors as Mathematical Objects Lotteries: A Waste of Hope New Improved Lottery   Next Episode’s  Sequenc...

Jess is back from their pilgrimage to Rationalist Mecca and Eneasz is dying to know all about it, while Steven tries his best to understand why anyone would want to live there. Brian Caplan on Collusion in the Classroom The Spoon Theory (also as a PDF here , for those who don’t want to wrestle with the hosting websites awful anti-adblocker) Berkeley REACH A Luminator! It’s Always Sunny In Ph...

Jess is on a trip, so Eneasz and Steven do some more digging into our mailbag (last episode on feedback for now, we promise!). Stick around after the outro music starts because we keep going for another 25 minutes or so! Skeptoid Episode on Fast Food Phobia (there’s a few more related episodes if you find the topic interesting) Patreon supporter David sent us this talk given by Dr. Helen Fis...

We dive into the neglected mailbag Steven referenced this SSC post on the Intellectual Dark Web (see also this prior post ) It’s been revealed that James Gunn is back ! Johnny Depp is an abuse survivor The incredibly shoddy plot to smear Robert Mueller with rape claims, explained , the Obama fake mutilation , and the Planned Parenthood libel .   Blue Aliens comics ! McDonald’s Coffee S...

Join us as we sit down with Alexander Wales (returning from Episode 63 about rational fiction and writes rational short stories, like the very popular Metropolitan Man) who is on to guide our discussion of GPT2, a new neural net language model/text analyzer/…author? Discussed in this Episode: Humans Who Are Not Concentrating Are Not General Intelligences Can AI Change Your Mind (AI debate) A...

What the heck is CyberChristianity, and can it unite Christianity and Rationalism? Links to things talked about in today’s episode: Our previous AlphaGo episodes – 1 & 2 (poor audio, sadly) AI must decide: Juggalo, or Clown? We previously spoke more in-depth on paperclip maximizes and other aspects of the rise of our coming AI overlords in Who’s Afraid of AI? The Sorcerer’s Apprent...

Eneasz, Jess, and Steven take an hour or so to talk about the New Atheism movement that occurred in the mid 2000’s. We experienced a bit of audio loss in the second half of the episode, so the conversation occasionally jumps around a bit, especially around an hour and 20 minutes in for about 5 minutes… Sorry about that. We’re buying an SSD to hopefully prevent any lossy recording...

This episode is a continuation of episode 75 – Culture Roots of American . Eneasz and Steven are alone in the recording studio, which means we have no one to keep us in check as we finish out discussion of Albion’s Seed and fall down plenty of rabbit holes. The Cracked.com After Hours ninja turtles /everything is one of four things video   Sequence Posts for next time: Archimedes’...

  David and Jess sit down with Eneasz and Steven to discuss the controversy of Patreon banning contributors from its platform. David mentioned the connection between Donald Trump and Jeffrey Epstein’s many,  many  accusations of raping young girls and soliciting the opportunity for others to do so. In Trump’s words: “I’ve known Jeff for fifteen years. Terrific guy. He’s a lo...

We discuss these two SSC posts: BOOK REVIEW: EVOLUTIONARY PSYCHOPATHOLOGY BOOK REVIEW: ALBION’S SEED also mentioned: ALBION’S SEED, GENOTYPED , and the Dark Matter Conservative Universe is mentioned in I Can Tolerate Anything Except The Outgroup   Sequence Posts for next time: The Scales of Justice, the Notebook of Rationality Blue or Green on Regulation?   Big thanks to David for our in...

Eneasz, Jess, and Steven go down rabbit hole after rabbit hole while attempting to address some of our feedback backlog. Enjoy! Rationality from AI to Zombies: The Simple Truth (Audio Version) Stan Lee Cameo in Spiderman Game Massimo Pigliucci vs Eliezer Yudkowsky blogging heads debate Side by side of 60s olympics vs now (links to a bunch of gifs from Google – I couldn’t decide on just...

The conspiracy worries about our post-truth government and looks at the question of why Rationalists aren’t at the top of everything they do.   Articles/things discussed in this episode Link with analysis and discussion of the Jim Acosta incident Sailor Vulcan’s post on LessWrong Scott Alexander’s reply in the comments The Last Rationalist’s take on the question  ...

Jess returns to finish up the Productivity Tools dicussion. The Waking Up #MeToo episode The Very Bad Wizards episode with moral dilemmas porn-ified The Planet Money Halloween episode Death Note fan-made alternate ending  (the website is pretty bad with popups) LeBron James tattoo rights . Eneasz may have said Kobe Bryant in the episode. He doesn’t know much about basketball. Y’all are...

Steven can’t read a calender, so accidentally scheduled this to release a day late. In this episode, we talk with Andrés Gómez Emilsson from the Qualia Research Institute . Buckle up for some dialogue on the intersection between philosophy and science. Steven was testing a new mic this episode, and thus sounds like he’s phoning it in from a submarine. Sorry for the trouble. He’ll...