Market Watch

Hotter than expected US inflation for October has rattled Wall Street, with markets now pricing a 90% chance of a 25 basis point Fed hike in December, up from 70% before the data. The question is no longer whether the Fed moves, but how fast and how far it goes. Hebe Chan, Senior Market Analyst at Vantage Markets, joins us to assess what this means for the Fed's path into 2027 and whether the corr...

A 4.3% overnight drop in Nvidia shares following reports of a probe into CEO Jensen Huang, coupled with political headwinds for US data centres after the Democratic midterm sweep, has sparked a sharp reassessment across the AI trade. Dan Ives, Senior Managing Director and Analyst at Yorkville Ives & Co, joins The Morning Run to break down what an unhedged leadership risk at Nvidia means for ri...

Wall Street has suffered a sharp selloff following the US midterm elections, with technology stocks leading losses as investors reassess the AI investment boom. Meanwhile, oil prices and Treasury yields have fallen sharply, raising questions about inflation, economic growth and the Federal Reserve's next move. Laurent Lequeu, Independent Market Analyst and writer of The Macro Butler newsletter, ex...

Democrats took both houses of Congress, and Wall Street cheered. The Dow jumped 3%, oil slid to around $95 and gold held above $4,000, as traders bet a divided government would be good for business. But not everything rallied: chip stocks have lost nearly a third of their value in five months, and gold is behaving more like a risk asset than a safe haven. Is the post-midterm bounce a buying opport...

Asian markets are facing renewed pressure as concerns over AI valuations, China's economic outlook and shifting interest rate expectations weigh on investor confidence. Carlos Casanova, Senior Economist at UBP, examines what the US midterm elections could mean for Asian investors, whether the technology selloff signals a deeper reassessment of AI investment, and why Chinese equities continue to st...

Apple’s fiscal fourth-quarter revenue rose 12% to just under US$115 billion, narrowly topping Wall Street estimates even as sales in the key Chinese market fell short of projections. The tech giant's results land amid heightened scrutiny over hyperscaler AI spending, just as Americans head to the polls for pivotal US midterm elections that could reshape control of Congress. Joe Quinlan, Chief Mark...

Markets weigh the price of the AI build-out Wall Street's three main indices fell on Friday, with the Nasdaq posting its worst session since early June after Alphabet dropped roughly 12% on its earnings report as free cash flow turned negative. The plunge, paired with Meta's recent US$90 billion capital raise, has heightened investor unease over whether hyperscaler spending on AI can be sustained...

Wall Street is becoming increasingly selective about AI investment, with Amazon's soaring cloud revenue overshadowed by mounting cash outflows, raising questions about whether technology giants can justify their enormous spending. Tim Mulholland, President of TJM Limited, examines how investors are assessing AI returns alongside resilient US growth, persistent inflation and the Federal Reserve's i...

With the Federal Reserve holding interest rates steady at 3.75% to 4%, investors are reassessing opportunities in fixed income, particularly bonds issued by technology giants financing the AI boom. Patrick Chang, Chief Investment Officer, Group Consumer Bank, CIMB, discusses the bank's decision to upgrade its fixed income allocation from underweight to neutral and why hyperscaler bonds remain attr...

World markets continue to make gains following Anthropic's IPO filing on Monday - helped also by lower crude oil prices on some positive signs coming from Iran's Supreme Leader. David Dietze, Chief Investment Strategist at Dietze Wealth Management Group, shares his view on how sustainable are these AI-led gains and risks we should be paying attention to. Image Credit: Shutterstock See omnystudio.c...

Anthropic's IPO filing has revived enthusiasm for AI stocks, but its enormous losses and reliance on a handful of major customers are raising fresh questions about valuations and the sustainability of the investment boom. Meanwhile, Wall Street faces key US growth and inflation data as high borrowing costs weigh on housing, oil prices exceed US$110 and gold retreats despite geopolitical uncertaint...

Wall Street faces another critical week as investors await earnings from Alphabet, Microsoft and Amazon alongside the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. Concerns over AI spending are intensifying, with SoftBank's sharp valuation decline raising questions about whether the technology boom can justify its enormous costs. Meanwhile, China's stock market has entered bear territory, India contin...

Wall Street's tech-led sell-off deepened overnight, with the Nasdaq down 2.6% and the S&P 500 off 1.2%, even as the Dow stayed roughly flat. Adding to the unusual mix, spot Brent pushed above US$110 a barrel while the US 10-year Treasury yield fell around 17 basis points, a combination that doesn't fit the usual inflation playbook. Dilin Wu, Research Strategist at Pepperstone, unpacks what's d...

Wall Street is weighing whether the AI investment boom can deliver sustainable returns following a sell-off in technology stocks, with Meta's latest earnings and spending plans under scrutiny. Meanwhile, a possible Tesla-SpaceX merger raises questions about shareholder value, while electricity infrastructure delays threaten the profitability of AI data centres. We examine the Federal Reserve's nex...

China’s economy grew 4.5% in the third quarter, supported by strong exports, but weak domestic demand continues to raise questions about the sustainability of its recovery. Meanwhile, Australia’s cooling labour market is complicating the outlook for interest rates, Japan faces surging bond yields and a weakening yen, and Indonesia must balance currency pressures with concerns over its equity marke...

Wall Street faces a crucial earnings week following a sharp sell-off in AI-linked stocks, with investors increasingly questioning whether enormous technology investments can deliver sustainable returns. Meanwhile, mounting concerns over debt-funded AI infrastructure, France’s fiscal troubles and weakening underlying US consumer spending are adding to market uncertainty. Image Credit: Shutterstock...

Wall Street's first wave of Q3 bank earnings split the field, with Bank of America missing consensus by 17% and JPMorgan underperforming by 6%, even as Goldman Sachs posted a clean result that barely moved its stock. Meanwhile, the Australian dollar has slipped roughly 3% against the greenback over the past six months despite potential Reserve Bank of Australia rate hikes, while Indonesia's equity...

The AI trade is facing renewed scrutiny as semiconductor stocks come under pressure, even as TSMC reports record profits. Meanwhile, US inflation has climbed to 3.7%, driven largely by higher energy prices, while strong retail sales and surging producer prices raise questions about corporate profit margins. We speak to Tim Mulholland, President of TJM Limited, about the semiconductor sell-off, shi...

Inflation Pressures Mount as Fed Decision Looms U.S. September CPI showed renewed acceleration driven by energy prices, with further increases expected into year-end. Real wages are under pressure, with consumer-facing companies including Domino's Pizza and McDonald's already signalling stress. Laurent Lequeu, independent market analyst and writer for the Macro Butler newsletter, examines how risi...

JP Morgan and Goldman Sachs reported strong results, with equity trading particularly robust and consumer credit card use up 10% or more across most institutions, yet every bank's shares fell on the day. David Dietze, Chief Investment Strategist at Dietze Wealth Management Group, examines what the bank results reveal about consumer resilience, deal pipelines and loan quality, and how elevated expe...

Major US banks including Goldman Sachs, Citigroup and JPMorgan Chase are set to report their earnings this week with analysts expecting S&P 500 earnings to surge 30.6% in Q3. Joe Quinlan, Chief Market Strategist, US Trust-BOA Private Wealth Management, shares his insights into what we can expect as well as how European and Chinese markets might behave in the coming days. Image Credit: Shutters...

US equities continue to climb despite elevated Treasury yields, persistent inflation and geopolitical tensions keeping oil above US$100 a barrel. With major US banks kicking off earnings season and fresh inflation data due, investors face another test of whether current valuations can be justified. Meanwhile, Australia's weakening labour market is complicating the outlook for interest rates, while...

With Budget 2027 tabled on the 9th Oct, what will investors need to see to stay confident in Malaysia, especially after foreign funds turned net sellers of Malaysian government bonds in September? Globally, AI-related debt issuance has passed US$575 billion this year, while TSMC’s record quarterly revenue strengthens the case for the AI boom. Meanwhile, Brent crude is back above US$100 a barrel on...

Goldman Sachs and Citi now see the S&P 500 ending the year somewhere between 7,400 and 8,100, and analysts expect third-quarter earnings to grow by more than 30%. Underneath that optimism, there are warning signs. Distressed loans are at their highest level since March 2020, with tech making up more than a third of them, and Treasury yields keep rising. We speak to Tony Nash, CEO of Complete I...

Faced with severe supply disruptions across the Middle East and Russia, G7 nations have agreed to release 100 million barrels of crude and diesel reserves. But is this enough? Zameer Yusuf, Lead Analyst for Clean Products at Kpler, joins The Morning Run to break down the global diesel crunch. He dives into the impact of the G7 intervention, how trade rerouting could push up pump prices in Asia, an...