EMD

Energy Markets Daily

Energy Markets Daily delivers essential intelligence for global energy capital. Hosted with institutional authority, this daily brief covers WTI/Brent crude analysis, natural gas markets, energy M&A activity, drilling intelligence, and the geopolitical developments that drive billion-dollar energy decisions. Providing superior energy market intelligence sourced from the same trading floors, boardrooms, and energy desks where your competition operates. Essential listening for oil & gas executives, energy investors, and institutional capital allocating $100M+ in the energy sector. Contact: energ...

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Último episodio

10 de nov. de 2026

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Episodios

Technicals: Week 45 10.11.2026

Tuesday, November 10, 2026. CRUDE OIL CHART SETUP. WTI consolidating $113-$114. Bull flag formation. Support $111.50. Resistance $116-$117. Breakdown risk below $111. BRENT: $122-$125 range. Bull flag parallel WTI. Support $120, resistance $126-$128. MOVING AVERAGES (WTI): 20MA $112.80, 50MA $109.60, 200MA $106.50 (bullish alignment). MA stack support $109. INDICATORS (WTI): RSI 68 overbought rele...

Week 45 Opens 10.11.2026

Monday, November 9, 2026. CRUDE OIL HOLDING. WTI near $113-$114. Brent elevated $122-$125. Six-month highs approaching. Geopolitical premium intact. Week 45 opens strong bull structure. WTI close $113.50-$114.20. Intraday range $111-$115.50. Six-month high $115.30 (previous). Support $111, $109. Resistance $115, $117. Pattern bullish impulse intact. MAs: 20MA $112.80, 50MA $109.60, 200MA $106.50 (...

Mid-Week Update 04.11.2026

Wednesday, November 4, 2026. CRUDE OIL: WTI $96.82 (down $7 from Mon $104). Election day complete. DIPLOMACY ON TABLE: US-Iran talks intensive (Qatar mediating). Iran reopening Strait of Hormuz if US lifts oil sanctions, ends blockade, unfreezes assets, ends war including related fronts (Lebanon), related steps (Iran-Oman transit). Two-day timeline discussed. If deal happens, war premium evaporate...

Technicals: Week 44 03.11.2026

Tuesday, November 3, 2026. CRUDE OIL TECHNICALS: WTI near $96-97. Sharp selloff overnight on diplomatic hopes (US-Iran talks). Down 4-7% from Monday $104. KEY LEVELS: Support $95 (Oct low, psychological floor), $93-94 below. Resistance $99-100 (key pivot). Break above $100 reclaims bull bias. INDICATORS: RSI split—some charts oversold (RSI <30), MACD negative shorter timeframes, momentum weak....

Strategic Positioning: Week 44 02.11.2026

Monday, November 2, 2026. CRUDE OIL: WTI $104.17 close (Nov 1), $104.12 (Oct 30). Week consolidating near $104. October range $91.85-$105.25. Brent ~$113 (Nov 1), spread ~$9.31 (maritime risk premium narrowing from double digits). YTD: WTI +68% from Jan start, Brent +75%. STRAIT OF HORMUZ ESCALATION: 30+ attacks October (vs 14 Sept). Late Oct-Nov 1 window: Limpet mine attack tanker LOUISE 1 (unver...

Geographic Feature: Finland 30.10.2026

Friday, October 29, 2026. FINLAND ENERGY OVERVIEW. Highest renewable electricity shares globally. Nordic union Sweden/Norway. Nuclear baseload. Hydro seasonal. Wind growing. LNG strategic post-Russian disruption. ELECTRICITY: Capacity ~17 GW. Generation 2025-2026: 40-45% nuclear baseload (3 reactors + Olkiluoto 3 new 2.2 GW 2023), 20-25% hydro seasonal, 20-25% wind growing, 10-15% biomass, 2-3% so...

Geographic Feature: New York 29.10.2026

Thursday, October 29, 2026. NEW YORK ENERGY OVERVIEW. Among highest electricity demand U.S. states. Primarily natural gas, hydro, nuclear, renewables. Oil refining limited. No shale gas due to fracking ban 2014. OIL & NATURAL GAS: Oil production ~300 bbl/d conventional (legacy declining). Shale gas: Zero (Marcellus Shale exists but prohibited). Natural gas: Minimal intrastate, 100% import-depe...

Week 43, Mid-Week Update 28.10.2026

Wednesday, October 28, 2026. CRUDE OIL CONSOLIDATION. WTI holding near $100. Brent elevated $108-$110. EIA inventory report released. Crude build ~1.2M barrels met expectations. Gasoline draw -200k barrels. Distillate build +600k. Refinery utilization 91% steady. SPR releases continuing. WTI close $99.50-$100.30. Intraday range $98-$102. Triangle compression intact. MAs bullish maintained. Support...

Technicals: Week 43 27.10.2026

Tuesday, October 27, 2026. Technicals: Week 43, Tuesday Update. WTI consolidating $99.80-$100.20. Triangle compression zone $99.50-$102.50. Support $98.50, $96.50. Resistance $102.50, $104, $106. MAs bullish stack (20/50/200). RSI 55-70 neutral-overbought. MACD positive crossover. Elliott Wave impulse targeting $106-$109 above. Downside risk below $99.50 triggers stop cascade to $96.50. Brent $109...

Strategic Positioning: Week 43 26.10.2026

Monday, October 26, 2026. CRUDE OIL PULLBACK. WTI easing from six-month highs. Brent correcting elevated levels. Geopolitical hedges releasing pressure. Week 43 consolidation setup. WTI: Current ~$101-$101.63 pullback from highs. Recent range $100-$105. Six-month high ~$112.95 (Sep 2026). Support $99-$100, $97-$98, $95. Resistance $103-$104, $105-$106. Technical: Daily chart consolidation after ra...

Geographic Feature: Ethiopia 23.10.2026

Friday, October 23, 2026. ETHIOPIA ENERGY OVERVIEW. Ranks 2nd-highest hydropower potential Africa. Energy sector 95-97% hydropower-dependent. Rapid geothermal, natural gas, renewable diversification. HYDROELECTRIC: Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) 5,150 MW installed (Africa's largest). Inaugurated 2025, full generation FY 2025-26. Contribution 51.5% generation. Drought-vulnerable. Other dams...

Geographic Feature: Venezuela 22.10.2026

Thursday, October 22, 2026. VENEZUELA ENERGY OVERVIEW. Ranks among world's largest proven crude reserves (~300B bbl, majority heavy-extra-heavy Orinoco Belt). Production severely impacted by U.S. sanctions, underinvestment, geopolitical crisis. 2026 shows recovery amid eased sanctions. CRUDE OIL PRODUCTION: Current Sep 2026 ~1.2M bbl/d (PDVSA). Recovery from crisis lows 250K-350K (2021-23). Q3 202...

Week 42, Mid-Week Update 21.10.2026

Wednesday, October 21, 2026. CRUDE OIL UPDATE. WTI sustaining mid-ninety-seven range. Brent elevated 107-109. Hormuz disruption persisting. Geopolitical hedges active. Mid-week consolidation. WTI: ~$97.20-$97.85 consolidation zone. Support $96.35, resistance $99.24-$99.69. Brent: $107.50-$109 bullish. Support $105.50, resistance $109+. Spread narrowing $10+. Henry Hub $3.02-$3.04 steady neutral. H...

Technicals: Week 42 20.10.2026

Tuesday, October 20, 2026. WTI CRUDE OIL TECHNICAL. Current (Oct 19) ~$97.53-$97.74. Support: Immediate ~$96.35-$96.55 (daily pivot), Zone A $94.81-$94.37 (Fib 38.2%), $92.60-$93, $91.87 (S3), $88-$89 (structural). Resistance: $99.24-$99.69 (near-term, break opens upside), $101.35-$101.78 (daily R1), $102.18-$103.65, $104.54-$105.25, $110-$120 (longer-term). Indicators: RSI 62-65 (neutral-bullish,...

Week 42 Opens 19.10.2026

Monday, October 19, 2026. CRUDE OIL UPDATE. WTI surged from $91-92 (Oct 12) to $97.53-$97.74 (Oct 19, -1.14% day-over-day). 5-6 dollar rally week-over-week. Month-to-date up ~$9-10 from early Oct lows near $88. YTD up ~48-52%. Trend: Consolidation likely $95-$99. Support $92-$94, resistance $100+. Volatility elevated. Brent rallied $104-$105 (Oct 12) to $107.89-$108.09 (Oct 19, -1.64% day-over-day...

Geographic Feature: Country of Pakistan 16.10.2026

Friday, October 16, 2026. PAKISTAN ENERGY MARKETS. Net energy importer modest domestic crude oil/natural gas supplemented significant LNG imports. Faces acute short-term LNG supply disruptions Qatar force majeure, elevated import costs winter 2026-27. Reserves concentrated Sindh, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (KP). CRUDE OIL PRODUCTION: August 2026: 68,600 bpd +10% YoY, -5% MoM. Provincial: KP 49% (33,614 bp...

Geographic Feature: States of North Carolina and South Carolina 15.10.2026

Thursday, October 15, 2026. NORTH CAROLINA & SOUTH CAROLINA ENERGY MARKETS. Both states have ZERO indigenous crude oil and natural gas production. Net importers all fossil fuels. CRUDE OIL: NC/SC no production/reserves. ~125 exploratory wells NC historically, no commercial success. Offshore Atlantic OCS potential exists (BOEM 2026: 4.50 Bbo, 34.35 Tcf nat gas Atlantic-wide; South Atlantic ~1 T...

Week 41, Mid-Week Update 14.10.2026

Wednesday, October 14, 2026. CRUDE OIL: WTI trading $94.15-$95.52 range, close ~$95.05. Brent $105.71-$106.33 (spread $10-11 maritime risk premium). Oct 13-14 surge: $91.85→$95.05 (+$3.20, +3.5%). YTD up ~63% from Jan. STRAIT OF HORMUZ ESCALATION: 15+ attacks Oct 6-14, 11 in past 4 days (container ship ~50k tonnes, tanker ~19k tonnes hit unknown projectiles, minor damage). 24+ vessels Oct fortnigh...

Technicals: Week 41 13.10.2026

Tuesday, October 13, 2026. CRUDE OIL TECHNICALS. WTI Oct 12-13: Range $91.30-$93.68 (intraday ~2% volatility), close ~$91.85. SUPPORT: $90 (critical uptrend/psychological), $88.77-$88.75, $86.30-$86.89, ~$85. RESISTANCE: $91.18-$93.61 (immediate testing), $93.54-$95, $96-$97.41. PATTERNS: Triangle compression near $91.40, breakout potential higher. Short-term mixed-downtrend (sellers at resistance...

Strategic Positioning: Week 41 12.10.2026

Monday, October 12, 2026. CRUDE OIL UPDATE. WTI trading mid-ninety range consolidating near $92.41/bbl (Oct 11 intraday $91.89-$92.48). Month-to-date up $3-4 from early Oct lows near $88. YTD up ~47-50%. Support $88-$89, resistance $94-$95. Brent elevated $104-$105/bbl (bullish consolidation). Support $103, resistance $106-$107. YTD up ~50-52%. WTI-Brent spread $12-$13 (maritime risk premium). HOR...

2026 Year-in-Review and Q4 2026 Outlook 11.10.2026

2026 YEAR-IN-REVIEW AND Q4 2026 OUTLOOK. CRUDE OIL: WTI 2026 YTD average $84.01/bbl (range $55.99-$112.95), up 68% from Jan start (~$57 to ~$96 Sep). Q1 ~$72.13, Q2 ~$95.76, Q3 ~$86.94. vs 2025 avg $64.94 (up $29/bbl, +45%). Brent 2026 YTD $93.81/bbl (range $61-$138), up 84% from Jan (~$62 to ~$114 Sep). Q1 ~$66.60, Q2 ~$117.30, Q3 ~$92.40. vs 2025 avg $69.14 (up $24.87, +36%). Recent Oct: WTI ~$9...

Geographic Feature: Turkey 09.10.2026

Friday, October 9, 2026. TURKEY ENERGY OVERVIEW. Strategic hub, modest domestic oil/gas, rapidly expanding LNG, multiple pipelines, self-sufficiency policy. NATURAL GAS PRODUCTION: Jul 2026 ~128.34M cubic meters monthly (down). Sakarya Black Sea ~109M cubic meters (84.6% onshore), TPAO ~96.5%. Declining (maturing fields, maintenance). NATURAL GAS IMPORTS: Jul ~3.063B cubic meters. Pipeline ~2.869B...

Geographic Feature: Alabama 08.10.2026

Thursday, October 8, 2026. ALABAMA ENERGY OVERVIEW. Rank #16 nationally by BOE. Small but active onshore/offshore oil and natural gas sector. CRUDE OIL: Jun 2026 ~217.5K bbl monthly, May ~233.2K bbl. Wells ~5,073 (Jun), operators ~54. Conecuh County leads ~119.2K bbl (~229K MCF gas). Mobile ~40.1K bbl, Escambia ~23.4K, Clarke ~10.4K. Cumulative Mobile County ~102.6M bbl (1990+), statewide ~357M bb...

Geographic Feature: Rwanda 07.10.2026

Wednesday, October 7, 2026. RWANDA ENERGY OVERVIEW. No commercial crude oil or conventional natural gas production. Focus Lake Kivu methane extraction, hydroelectric, solar, petroleum imports. LAKE KIVU METHANE: ~60 cubic km dissolved (shared DRC). KivuWatt ~26 MW (2015 operational), Shema Power 56 MW (public-private, $200M, 25-year). Combined ~82 MW current (~21% national electricity 2025). Expan...

Technicals: Week 40 06.10.2026

Tuesday, October 6, 2026 - LIVE TECHNICAL ANALYSIS. WTI CRUDE: Trading low $90s ($88-$91, four-week low pressure). Support: $84.50-$85 (50% Fib + 100-day SMA confluence - pivotal), $87.35 (near-term floor), $88.20 (swing), $82 (deeper), $80.73 (61.8% Fib). Resistance: $91.16 (near-term), $93.70 (initial), $94.13 (23.6% Fib), $95.91 (strong), $96.35 (next), $98.50 (further), $102.40 (cycle high). P...

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