CropGPT - Cocoa

The weekly report on the global Cocoa market for week 45. Brought to you by CropGPT

The weekly report on the global Cocoa market for week 43. Brought to you by CropGPT

The weekly report on the global Cocoa market for week 41. Brought to you by CropGPT

The weekly report on the global Cocoa market for week 40. Brought to you by CropGPT

Global Cocoa Market Summary Cote d'Ivoire: The 2025/26 season delivered a record 2.06 million tons, up 30% year on year, with port arrivals reaching 2.14 million tons by mid-September (18% to 19% growth) and the farm gate price steady at 1,200 CFA francs per kilogram. The 2026/27 outlook is concerning. Early field surveys point to deficient cherelle formation and poor pod development, with output...

Global Cocoa Market Summary: September 20, 2026 Ivory Coast: Cocoa harvest surged to 2,060,000 tons for the June 2025 to June 2026 period, a 30% increase from the previous year's 1,580,000 tons. Port arrivals confirm the abundant supply, with cumulative marketing year shipments up 18 to 19.9% year on year. However, early indicators for 2026/27 point to a weaker outlook, with below average chorel f...

Global Cocoa Market Summary: September 13, 2026 Ivory Coast: Record output for the 2025/26 season reached 2,060,000 tons, a 30% increase from the previous year's 1,580,000 tons. Port arrivals for the October 2025 to August 2026 marketing year rose to 2,140,000 tons, up 19% year on year. However, the outlook for next season's main crop points to a potential drop to 1,800,000 tons (an 18% decline),...

Global Cocoa Market Summary Ivory Coast recorded cocoa shipments of approximately 2.11 million metric tons in the current marketing year, up 20% year on year. However, early estimates for the 2026/27 season point to production of around 1.8 million tons, reflecting an expected decline from current levels as warmer and drier conditions threaten yields. Ghana also reported strong production growth,...

Global Cocoa Market Summary In Ivory Coast, farmer cocoa shipments have risen 21 percent to 2.09 million tons, reflecting a strong current season. However, the outlook for the 2026/27 crop is considerably weaker, with production projected to decline 18 percent to 1.8 million tons. Heavy rainfall has increased the risk of brown rot and black pod disease, while the potential development of a strong...

Global Cocoa Market Summary  Ivory Coast, where persistent heavy rains have restricted access to cocoa farms and increased the spread of diseases such as brown rot and black pod. The potential return of El Nino is expected to further reduce flowering, pod quality, and yields during the 2026/27 main crop. Preliminary forecasts suggest production could fall to around 1.8 million tonnes, representing...

 Global Cocoa Market Summary In Cote d'Ivoire, a sharp decline in global cocoa prices has left more than 700,000 metric tons of cocoa unsold, placing significant financial strain on farmers despite a government-set producer price designed to provide stability. Reduced buying activity from major trading firms, criticism of forward selling strategies, and heavy rainfall disrupting farm access while...

Global Cocoa Market Summary Uneven rainfall patterns across Ivory Coast are creating significant challenges during a critical stage of crop development, while concerns over disease pressure and the potential return of El Nino continue to support a bullish outlook for cocoa markets. Heavy rainfall in parts of Ivory Coast has increased the risk of flooding and black pod disease, while key western gr...

Global Cocoa Market Weekly Summary West Africa's two dominant cocoa producers, Ghana and Ivory Coast, are grappling with deepening structural and financial pressures that threaten to constrain global supply through the 2025/26 season and beyond. In Ghana, farmers are facing payment delays of up to six months from licensed buying companies, leaving them without the working capital needed for basic...

 Global Cocoa Market Summary In Ivory Coast, severe rains and strong winds damaged young flower buds and cocoa trees, raising concerns about future yields. Despite these weather challenges, cocoa port arrivals remained strong, reaching 1.69 million metric tons by early June, up 3% from the previous year. Government forecasts continue to point toward a sizeable crop, with deliveries expected to rea...

Global Cocoa Market Summary Ivory Coast is navigating heightened volatility in ICE cocoa futures, with rising certified warehouse stocks and declining grinding volumes in major markets pointing toward a near-term surplus. The government has forecast a 10.8% decline in production for the 2025/26 season, bringing output to approximately 1,650,000 metric tons. Looking ahead, lower farm gate prices ri...

Global Cocoa Market Summary Ivory Coast has revised its 2025/26 delivery estimate upward to 2.2 million metric tons, a sharp recovery from earlier forecasts of 1.65 million metric tons, driven by improved weather conditions. Port arrivals reached 1.64 million metric tons by 24 May 2026, up 2.5% year on year. However, a 57% reduction in farm gate prices for mid-crop poses a material risk to future...

Global Cocoa Market Summary Cocoa producing regions face divergent trajectories, with Ivory Coast benefiting from favorable weather conditions while Nigeria and other producers confront structural headwinds. El Niño conditions pose a significant emerging risk between May and July 2026, threatening to disrupt yields across West Africa and reverse recent production gains. The contrast between near-t...

Global Cocoa Market Summary Cocoa producing regions face mounting pressures from climate uncertainty and economic headwinds, with Ivory Coast and Ghana at particular risk as El Nino conditions threaten substantial yield disruptions. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration estimates a 61% probability of El Nino occurring in 2026, creating significant climatic volatility for the sector....

Global Cocoa Market Summary Ivory Coast remains under significant stress, with 2025/26 production forecast to fall 10.8% to 1,650,000 metric tons as drought affects more than half the country. A 57% reduction in mid-crop farm gate prices threatens to suppress farmer investment and maintenance activity going forward. Cumulative shipments have edged up 0.7% year on year to 1,540,000 metric tons as o...

Global Cocoa Market Summary Ivory Coast is projecting output of 1,650,000 metric tons for 2025/26, down 10.8% from 1,850,000 metric tons the prior year. Drought conditions affecting more than half the country (as reported by the African Flood and Drought Monitor) are the primary driver, compounded by a 57% cut in mid-crop farm gate prices that may discourage farmer investment in future seasons. Po...

Global Cocoa Market Weekly Summary Germany's cocoa processing volumes declined 6.7% to 90,152 metric tons in 2026, reflecting tight bean supplies and sustained price volatility. This contributes to European grinders recording their weakest collective volumes in twelve years, with global prices having swung from a peak of around $12,000 per metric ton in 2025 to under $3,000 per metric ton recently...

Global Cocoa Market Weekly Summary  The global cocoa market is navigating a period of significant strain, with drought conditions, falling prices, and income reductions for farmers converging to create a challenging outlook across major producing regions. Ivory Coast Ivory Coast continues to lead global cocoa production, recording a slight increase in port shipments for the 2025/26 marketing year,...

Global Cocoa Market Weekly Summary: April 8, 2026 West Africa's cocoa sector faces mounting pressure in the 2025/26 season, with production declines, falling farmer incomes, and rising operational costs converging to create significant uncertainty across global supply chains. Ivory Coast, the world's leading cocoa producer, is projected to see output fall by 10.8% to approximately 1,650,000 metric...

This episode examines a global cocoa market. Ivory Coast is a major focus, with cocoa production for the 2025-26 season projected to fall 10.8 percent year over year to 1.65 million metric tons, down from 1.85 million tons the previous season. That weaker outlook is reinforced by lower port arrivals through mid-March, indicating reduced export flow. At the same time, higher shipping costs linked t...

This episode delivers a focused analysis of the global cocoa market. In Ivory Coast, despite optimal growing conditions, concerns have emerged due to logistical inefficiencies and labor shortages. These issues have contributed to a 1.8% year-over-year decline in port arrivals, raising questions about harvest timing and distribution capabilities. Nonetheless, the potential for stable or increased y...