True Potential Morning Markets

Jeff Casson, Chief Investment Officer, looks to the week ahead, establishing what data we can expect and what it will indicate for the markets, the economy and investors. From the UK & Europe, there will be Purchasing Manager Indices (PMI data), which stand as useful indicators as to any momentum in the economy.

With all of the talk about a technical recession in the UK, True Potential's Chief Investment Officer Jeff Casson takes a look at the data driving the headlines this week, and analyses the challenge the UK government face with our economy struggling to grow. 

US inflation readings were stronger than expected yesterday, pushing government bond yields higher and weighing on equity markets. In the UK, however, inflation is falling faster than expected. What will this mean for interest rates and investors? #inflation #federalreserve #bankofengland

This morning our Investment Director Chris Leyland discusses the continued strength exhibited by the UK economy as we've seen higher than expected wage growth and a lower than calculated unemployment rate. Find out what this means for markets and your investments.

This week we've seen a positive reaction to US job reports last week, with inflation falling and set to fall further. Our investment panel Chris Leyland and Kevin Kidney review the impact of this news on the market this week, and what it means to your investments.

China released their consumer price index data, which came in lower than expectations with a fall of -0.8%. What were the most significant driving factors? Chris Leyland, Director of Investment Strategy, digs into the underlying components and explains our take on this.

Yesterday, the latest US ISM Services survey data was released. With Services contributing to more than 70% of the US economy this survey provides a timely insight into the health of this sector and the broader economy. Paul Durrans, Investment Director, explains why this data is reinforcing the country’s economic resilience.

On the back of an incredibly robust NonFarm Payroll report out of the US last Friday, our Chief Investment Officer Jeff Casson previews the week ahead and what the report could mean for interest rates, and your investments.

Our investment team look back at an eventful week for global markets, focusing on interest rate decisions from the Bank of England and the Federal Reserve. Furthermore, they discuss why the US economy continues to remain resilient and discuss financial results from the large US tech firms.

Last night Jerome Powell, Chair for the US central bank, announced what most economists had predicted - the Federal Reserve would be holding interest rates at 5.25%. Chris Leyland, Director of Investment Strategy, looks at the details of this announcement and what it means for your money.

The global economy continues to demonstrate strong evidence of ‘disinflation’ – that is, falling price pressures and a trend towards central banks favoured 2% CPI targets. It continues to be the consensus that central banks will communicate the likelihood of lower interest rates over the coming months.

The US Treasury borrowing requirements were lower than projected in October 2023. The prospect of the supply of US government bonds being $100bn lower than expected for Q1 and Q2 2024 coupled with expectations of positive real GDP, falling inflation and the propsect of interest rate cuts paints an effective picture for asset markets. Global bond markets also responded positively on the day to a sh...

Investment Director Paul Durrans will take us through what will be an important week for investors. The Bank of England and the Federal Reserve will be meeting to decide if a change to interest rates is necessary. Key inputs such as labour market data, wage growth and economic activity will be released this week.

This week George Bell and Matthew Henderson reflect on developments in the US, focusing on the region’s recent strong economic growth. They look at how this, alongside positive movements in global equity markets, has affected your investments.

Our Portfolio Manager, Matt Henderson dissects the purchasing manager's index data out of Europe, the US and the UK - which looks at manufacturing and services within the regions. 

Chris Leyland, Director of Investment Strategy, looks at the overnight announcement from the China who pledged to cut banks' reserve requirements by 0.5% in an effort to stimulate their economy. This will release one Trillion Yuan in long term capital. How are markets reacting to this?

This morning our Investment Director Paul Durrans discusses the latest interest rate decision in Japan as well as the policy changes in China to help support their domestic equity markets. In addition, news this morning that the UK government borrowed less in December which may increase the likelihood of tax cuts heading into the  general election.

As we come to the end of a shortened week due to MLK day in the USA, our Investment Directors Kevin Kidney and Paul Durrans review an eventful week in the UK markets and provide some clarity on the issues with the Chinese economy.

Today, Kevin Kidney, Investment Director, takes a look at economic data and how this is impacting current market trends. With data suggesting positive economic growth, why have markets trended downwards?

Chris Leyland, Director of investment strategy, discusses the unexpected rise of UK inflation which is now at 4%. What caused the inflation rate to rise, how has the government responded, and how have asset markets reacted?

Today saw another sharp reduction in UK wage pressures which supports the case for lower interest rates. With inflation on course to be near the Bank of England's 2% target by late spring and with softer wage pressures today, the market is becoming increasingly confident that interest rate cuts could come as soon as May.

This morning our Chief Investment Officer Jeff Casson takes us through the week ahead, looking at the UK inflation report, Chinese 4th quarter GDP information and the release of the FED's Beige Book, and what impact that could have on your investments. 

For the first episode of a brand new series, join Jeff Casson & George Bell as they outline how markets this week have affected your investments, specifically looking at oil prices, mortgage rates and inflation.

This morning our Investment Director Paul Durrans reviews the surprising wage growth data coming out of Japan, and the importance of the US inflation report released later today.

Last September oil prices peaked for 2023 at $93 per barrel, but since then they have fallen significantly. This is despite the current conflict in the Middle East, which usually indicates a price increase. Chris Leyland, Director of Investment Strategy, looks at the current state of the oil market as a whole, focusing on the more subtle factors that are affecting these figures.