The Dividend Cafe

Topics discussed: Some day-to-day volatility in the market unsurprisingly surfaced in markets this week as we were down 100, down 300, then up 200 the first three days of the week, all around various chitter-chatter as to where China-trade talks were or were expected to be or were rumored to go or whatever ... This is a frustrating Dividend Cafe to send because I have no choice in terms of the tim...

Topics discussed: As hard as it may be to focus on anything other than political drama and the China trade war, we actually have an earnings season starting next week. Listen in or watch as our Investment Committee dives into all our expectations and thoughts of the earnings season that is about to begin, and what it means for investors. Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsen...

Topics discussed: As of press time the market was down significantly on the week, down approximately 800 points on the Dow since Tuesday morning. Believe it or not, Tuesday/Wednesday were the first back-to-back days of down over 1% (each day) in the S&P 500 all year. We need to look at what the issues are in the market, what to expect as we get into the fourth quarter, and look at the variety...

Topics discussed: What does history tell us about political ramifications to one’s portfolio decision-making? What are the four categories we look at when evaluating political relevance to market action? And what ought investors do in these highly complicated times? This latest podcast/vidcast from our investment committee provides a quality perspective on how to think about the present environmen...

Topics discussed: With the trade war still front and center in the global economy, earning season three weeks away, and continued questions about the Fed’s plans floating around, why did all market conversations seem to slip into the background this week? Oh yes, the perpetual reality show that is Washington D.C. took over the news this week, and it has led to maybe the most political Dividend Caf...

Topics discussed: Our investment committee creates this podcast for you to tackle a variety of issues pertinent to investors. The mass increase in the popularity of index funds is the latest topic, only we don’t do it with the dryness and academic focus many advisors may pour on this topic. Rather, we delve into the subject of index funds with a view towards what matters to investors, where risks...

Topics discussed: Some weeks are filled with little news but lots of market volatility, and then there are weeks like this one, where there actually was very little market volatility, but a lot of news. In this week's Dividend Cafe, we dive into what will be some of the biggest news events of the year, and question why there wasn't a bigger market impact from it all. Investors wanting to understan...

4/5ths of The Bahnsen Group's investment committee tackles this week's outlook on the Fed and interest rates, the dicey situation with Iran and the market's response, and most importantly; What makes a good stock?

Topics discussed: One can be forgiven for assuming the trade war ended in looking at the market. On August 14 (one month ago) the Dow was below 25,500. At press time this week, the Dow is at 27,200, so nearly a 2,000 point recovery in one month (and back to the market level we were at before the re-provocation of the trade war leaving July and entering August). How is this possible? This "cycle" h...

Topics discussed: This week's Dividend Cafe podcast with the entire TBG Investment Committee almost makes it without talking about the trade war, the Fed, or Presidential tweets (not quite). But what we do accomplish this week is a digestible, succinct, informative talk on how portfolios are often constructed, and how they ought to be. You will not be surprised to learn that sometimes those two th...

Topics discussed: Despite the shortened market week, we got another display of market uncertainty and persistent volatility this week (though lately the upside volatility has outweighed the downside volatility). We use this week's Dividend Cafe to really jump around the horn and give you a succinct but well-packed punch in the state of markets, the outlook to come, the state of interest rates, the...

Topics discussed: The bulk of the first half of this week's Dividend Cafe is dedicated to that which is most relevant to the markets right here and right now - the latest, the greatest, and all that is fit to print. Trade war, interest rates, the yield curve - I promise you will get sick of all these terms by the time this little era comes to an end. But the second half has a prolonged section tha...

Today’s podcast features our entire Investment Committee in a battle royale (of mostly agreement), talking trade war, markets yields, negative rates, “this time it’s different,” stock sectors, and alternative investments. Subscribe to the Dividend Café Podcast Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

Topics discussed: Chief Investment Officer David L. Bahnsen unpacks everything from the market’s response to "the trade war" and the "the rate war" to where things stand in the ongoing efforts with China, to what the Fed is doing, to the way people are ventilating about the yield curve. Market Volatility The Trade War The Fed and Interest Rates Yield Curve Inversion and Recession Fears Links menti...

Topics discussed: For many years now we have been using our Dividend Café property to bring you frequent market commentary and portfolio perspective. Last year, we introduced the Fiscal Feminist identity, spear-headed by our very own Kimberlee Davis to address significant financial issues relevant in the lives of women. Today, we bring you a blended Dividend Café/Fiscal Feminist (the Dividend Femi...

Topics discussed: We know the following things about the last 2-3 weeks in the market: (A) The China/trade war has blown up (B) The Yield curve has inverted (C) Negative yields persist all over the globe (D) Recession talk is everywhere So markets are obviously volatile, but it isn’t clear how these above things relate to one another, and people want to know what is going on. What I seek to do in...

Topics discussed: Is volatility back? You tell me - here was the market action this week: Down 400 points Monday, Up 400 points Tuesday. Down 800 points Wednesday. And as I submit this for the week, Thursday (late morning) we are up a little over 100 points (but saw the pre-market futures up and down hundreds of points at a time). There is always one reason for "up & down" volatility (is there...

Topics discussed: Volatility expectations in the weeks/months ahead Trade war Currency Brexit Hong Kong The Fed Asset allocation when the 10-year is 1.65% and equities face uncertainty and volatility Within equities, what looks good? Energy sector Is big tech/new tech dead? Low beta or high beta? Outlook for dividend growth Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

Topics discussed: The last peace treaty in this trade war was supposed to be simple enough: The Chinese agreed to buy more agriculture from the United States and the U.S. agreed to lay off Huawei. Not even that was able to last. The intense stock market volatility of the last week is not the most problematic aspect of the trade war from an economic standpoint. We will focus our analysis on: (1) Th...

Topics discussed: The market suffered its worst week of the year last week and the downside accelerated today in response to China’s currency depreciation and the general market realization that this trade war ending is nowhere in sight. We sat down as an Investment Committee this morning and recorded our best thoughts and ideas around all of this to inform and edify your understanding as it perta...

Topics discussed: This week's trip to the Dividend Cafe will look at the overall health of the U.S. economy, at the state of credit markets, at all the context around the Fed's present thinking, and some very important reminders about dividend growth during this crucial time. Investors should be prepared for two things when central bankers add stimulus to asset prices that are already operating as...

Markets appear to be up a tad on the week, with little volatility to show for it (as of press time, anyway). Earnings season is off to a really strong start, but I want to wait one more week to begin "report carding" earnings season (partially to not jinx it, and partially because it is a tad premature). I took advantage of this week's slow news week (sorry, Mueller) to talk about the broad econom...

As we enter the middle part of the summer, we also enter the beginning of Q2 earnings season, and this all adds up to fun times. The equity markets puttered around a bit this week and between the "wait and see" on a China trade deal and the "wait and see" on Fed accommodation, earnings ought to be the major story for the next couple of weeks. In the meantime, I really tried to use this week's Divi...

Topics discussed: Will the Fed Cut? Is a recession coming? A look at results of the tax reform bill Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

Topics discussed: A Pregnant Pause in the Trade Tirade Dividend Cafe; How it All Began Emerging Markets equals Earnings Growth Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com