Maley Market Strategy Podcast

In this week's episode, we discuss why the fact that the MAGS Mag 7 ETF has fallen into correction territory is a big problem for the stock market.  Yes, there is some more good news on the chip group, but there are even some cracks showing up in that group.....Therefore, investors will need to remain extremely nimble going forward......HOWEVER, since the trend for the market is still higher, we a...

In this week's podcast, we discuss the how the proposed deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz is something that has likely already been priced into the market.  However, if it quickly becomes evident that the market can rally further...through a "rotation" move, we have several areas that we believe can outperform......We also discuss how that change at the top of the Federal Reserve could/should ha...

In this week's podcast, we discuss how the delayed reaction to Broadcom's earnings last week...and the news that more data center projects are getting delayed/cancelled...are the kinds of cracks which could be signaling some significant weakness soon in the AI related stocks.....We also discuss the key levels to keep an eye on in the tech sector to watch...which, if broken, will signal an importan...

In this week's episode, Mary and I discuss how this extremely narrow the stock market continues to be, but that if we continue to makes some great picks (like I have over the past two months), one can still make money some nice profits..........HOWEVER, we also have to be very careful about betting on a broad rebound.  Also, we like stocks that have been beaten down...and are just beginning to bre...

In this week's podcast, Mary and I argue that since the stock market never priced in the huge run up in oil prices this spring...a decline in crude prices is not going to help the stock market rally a lot further.  Instead, it is going to depend on continued flow of net liquidity into the system.   This CAN take place, so we're not turning wildly bearish.  However, given that the earnings growth f...

In this week's podcast, Mary and I discuss the fact that an important change in trend has taken place for long-term Treasury yields.  This is particularly worrisome...because of the recent significant weakness in the high yield bond market as well.  On top of these two issues, the private credit market is heading into its next "redemption" season for private credit.  Therefore, the odds that the s...

In this week's edition, we discuss why the current rally in the stock market is being fueled more by excess liquidity than positive earnings growth.  The earnings growth IS good, but it's also isolated to just a handful of stocks.  We also highlight several stocks and groups which should takeover the leadership role in this rally...from some of the high flying tech names that have become extremely...

In this week's podcast, we talk about the idea that although stronger earnings growth is playing a key role in the stock market advance...there is another issue that is even more important.  We discuss whether this can continue for many months like it did last year......We also talk about the stocks which are getting ahead of themselves and which ones are poised to breakout.....Finally, we touch o...

In this week's podcast, we talk about our concerns with the fact that the tech stocks (especially the chips) are getting quite overbought at a time when bond yields are back at their 2026 highs...and oil prices are doing the same.....We also discuss how certainly areas of the market should outperform before long...after getting beaten down recently.  

In this week's edition, we spend a lot of time discussing the misconceptions about what is driving the stock market right now.  We are only a few weeks away from a major turning point in the war in the Middle East.....How strong are earnings?....Which stocks will outperform going forward?  Find out in this week's Podcast!

The global economy is already looking at some real shortages of key commodities.  If the blockade lasts for any material amount of time (just a few weeks), it will create the kind of serious shortages that will create a global shutdown.  This does not mean we'll see a repeat of the sudden pandemic crash of 2020, but it will still be serious.  Therefore, we expect the President to get a deal done w...

In this week's episode, we touch on the thought that since the President cannot flip the switch and change on the market reacts to the war in the Middle East (like he did last year with the tariff issue), trying to "jawbone" the market is not going to have the same kind of lasting impact this year. We also highlight how the issue of "shortages" is going to become a problem soon...and why we think...

In this week's edition, we discuss the difference between what was going on in the markets at this point last year compared to now.  The President cannot flip a switch like he did last year...and there are significant questions about how far Israel and Iran will go to meet their goals.....We also discuss how the private credit market is not something that is going to go away......Finally, we touch...

The real goal of the war in the Middle East is to destroy Iran's nuclear capabilities and remove their uranium.  This will take time, so the war will continue...and oil prices will remain high......We also discuss the broadening stress in the credit markets...as well as which stocks (and other risk assets) that should outperforming going forward. 

As much as the price of oil is extremely important to the economy and the markets, we also have a credit market that is experiencing growing stress.  We also have headwinds surrounding the profitability of the AI industry.  Therefore, the upside potential for the stock market is limited and stock selection & sector selection will be critical going forward.  We cover these and other issues this...

The reaction in the stock market to the war in Iran has been quite benign.  However, with the issues surrounding AI still out there...and the level of stress rising in the credit markets...investors need to guard against becoming complacent.....We talk about these issues...and which stocks and groups should outperform going forward...it this week's podcast.

In this week's podcast, we discuss the impact of Nvidia's earnings and why the chip stock remain extremely important for the rest of the stock market.  We also touch on why we remain bullish on the energy stocks...and we review the other groups (and individual stocks) which we like over the coming months.....Finally, we spend a lot of time why investors are too complacent about both the headwinds...

In this week’s edition, we discuss how much of an impact the crash in Bitcoin had on other risk assets…and whether that impact will last. We also touch on out outlook on precious metals (which has been spot-on for many, many months)….We also talk about the situation with Iran…and what that will mean for the energy stocks…..Finally, we discuss why we believe that although the Trump Administration c...

With silver and gold, we were very bullish...very early...and that worked well.  We were also spot-on in looking for a pullback recently.  This week, we discuss out outlook going forward on the precious metals.....We also discuss our top picks in the energy sector...as well as some strong picks for the longer-term.....Finally, we touch on our unique outlook for several different markets over the n...

In this week's edition, we touch on how this week's earnings from the four Mag 7 companies that report will be important.  We also touch on some key names would should outperform going forward.  However, our focus in on the dangers that exist in the marketplace from the developments in the global fixed income and currency markets.  

In this week's edition, we discuss how the breakout in long-term bond yields in the US (and other countries...like Japan) are raising the risks in the stock market.  This could create a similar correction to what we saw last February/March.  The geopolitical uncertainty is not helping this situation.....We talk about how the "rotation" issue in the marketplace will likely playout over the coming w...

In this week's edition, we discussed the implications for the markets of the new developments on the political front (between the Administration & Fed Chair Powell), and on the geopolitical front (Venezuela, Iran, etc.)  These issues could should create a sizeable increase in volatility rather soon.  It should also help one particular stock outperform in 2026. We also discussed why the bond ma...

In this week's episode, we discuss why it is quite unlikely that the tech stocks will provide the kind of leadership that it has in recent years.  More importantly, we touch on the groups which should takeover that leadership (plus a few individual stocks as well)......We also discuss why the bond market will be extremely important next year.  Just because short term rates are falling, it does not...

In this week's episode, we discuss why one important group of investors will not be as reluctant as they are right now to lower their exposure to the AI industry in a much more meaningful way in the new year...as it is becoming more and more evident (obvious) that the profitability of AI is n ot going to be as strong or as broad as investors had been thinking......We also highlight several groups...

The "set up" for the bond market and the stock market are very different as we head into the Fed's December meeting.  Why discuss why we believe this divergence will end very soon...and while it will have profound implications for both asset classes......We also touch on several specific stocks which we believe will outperform in the months ahead.