Know Your Risk Podcast

July 10, 2026 - Markets closed the week with another quiet session, but Chase Taylor argues that the more interesting story isn't what stocks did today—it's how persistent inflation continues to reshape everyday decisions. From AI spending and Meta's capital allocation to an unexpected observation about RVs, Chase explores how people adapt when higher prices become the new normal. Those behavioral...

July 9, 2026 – AI investment continues to accelerate, but the cost of competing may be rising faster than investors realize. Chase explains why massive AI capital spending is putting pressure on corporate balance sheets, why Oracle's credit downgrade matters, how new equity issuance could affect markets, and what investors should watch next.

July 8, 2026 – Oil is moving again, but Chase explains why crude prices may still be the wrong thing to watch. With gasoline and diesel prices remaining elevated, crack spreads surging, and tensions in the Strait of Hormuz escalating, the bigger macro risk may be showing up in the products consumers actually use—not the oil headline investors are watching.

July 7, 2026 – Chase breaks down why he believes Wall Street may be getting one of the market's biggest stories wrong. He explains why SpaceX's valuation could face much tougher challenges than investors expect, discusses rising oil prices and the geopolitical risks surrounding global energy markets, and examines China's growing push to build a fully integrated AI ecosystem.

July 6, 2026 – Chase breaks down today's market rally, why the leadership underneath the surface may be more important than the headlines, what Rivian's surprise capital raise could mean for investors, and why software, global markets, and select sectors continue to stand out despite a quiet week for economic data.

July 2, 2026 – The AI story is evolving. Chase explains why the next phase won't be about building the biggest models, but about making AI cheaper, more practical, and commercially viable. He also covers today's market action, software versus semiconductors, Tesla's selloff, and where investors may be rotating next.

July 1, 2026 – You don't have to agree with someone 100% to support them. In this episode, Zach explains why he believes one of the biggest mistakes in today's energy debate is blaming the wrong people for high gasoline prices. He and Chase break down refining capacity, crack spreads, AI infrastructure, Meta's excess compute, and why following the evidence matters more than defending a narrative.

June 30, 2026 – Oil prices have fallen, but gasoline and refined product prices are telling a different story. Chase explains why the market may be focusing too much on crude oil and not enough on refining capacity, crack spreads, China’s role in global product supply, and why lower oil prices may not be enough to bring inflation pressure down for consumers.

June 29, 2026 – Stocks are rallying, oil is falling, and investors are celebrating another ceasefire. But what if the market isn't responding to fundamentals at all? Zach and Chase discuss why today's price action may be driven more by positioning and capital flows than underlying economic reality, why traditional price discovery feels absent, and what that means for investors trying to separate h...

June 26, 2026 – Zach and Chase are joined by Brent Johnson, CEO of Santiago Capital and creator of the Dollar Milkshake Theory, for a wide-ranging conversation on the forces shaping the global economy. Brent explains why the U.S. dollar may remain stronger than many investors expect, how AI and capital spending are changing markets, and why today's macro environment demands patience more than pred...

June 25, 2026 - AI investment continues at a historic pace, but the biggest question isn't whether the technology works—it's whether anyone will pay for it. Zach and Chase discuss the growing disconnect between AI spending and consumer adoption, why memory prices and infrastructure costs are rising, and what happens when markets price in perfection long before the business model is proven.

June 24, 2026 - The war happened. The oil was lost. And yet the market is acting as if none of it ever occurred. Zach and Chase conduct a rare real-time postmortem on one of their biggest macro trades, discussing what they got wrong, what they got right, and why price action can sometimes move far away from underlying fundamentals. They explore oil markets, trader positioning, risk management, pea...

June 23, 2026 - AI stocks are rolling over, the dollar is surging, gold is breaking down, and even SpaceX is struggling to hold its IPO price. Zach and Chase discuss why markets may be facing a growing liquidity problem, what the selloff in semiconductors could be signaling, and why some of the most crowded trades of the past year suddenly look vulnerable.

June 22, 2026 - Zach and Chase discuss the dramatic collapse in SpaceX shares, why valuation still matters, and how this market cycle may have conditioned investors to ignore risk. They break down IPO speculation, AI-era valuations, bond yields, Mag 7 weakness, global markets, and why some of today's most popular investment narratives could be teaching exactly the wrong lessons.

June 18, 2026 - Zach and Chase break down another rally toward all-time highs, the continued collapse in oil prices, SpaceX's post-IPO volatility, AI-driven market leadership, and why the current market may be ignoring the very fundamentals it claims to care about. They discuss Trump's comments on oil supply, inventory draws, China's demand slowdown, Intel's surprising rally, and the growing disco...

June 17, 2026 - Zach and Chase break down Kevin Warsh's first day as Fed Chair, the sharp move in bond yields, and what a less predictable Federal Reserve could mean for investors. They discuss forward guidance, market volatility, wealth inequality, AI's long-term economic impact, oil markets, and why some of the biggest opportunities often emerge when markets are forced to stand on their own.

June 16, 2026 - Zach and Chase react to the newly announced Middle East deal, the collapse in oil prices, and why the market may be celebrating too quickly. They discuss the reopening of global energy flows, record inventory draws, the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, the SpaceX IPO, equity supply hitting the market, and why physical supply-and-demand dynamics may ultimately matter more than the headl...

June 15, 2026 - Zach and Chase break down the newly announced Middle East deal, what sanctions relief could mean for Iran, and why the market's reaction may not match the underlying oil math. They discuss inventory losses, the true cost of reopening the Strait, inflation risks, SpaceX's blockbuster IPO, record equity issuance, and why a growing wall of stock supply could become a major headwind fo...

June 12, 2026 - Zach and Chase tackle one of the most difficult questions in economics: how do you address growing debt, deficits, and wealth concentration without breaking the incentives that drive growth and innovation? They discuss wealth taxes, unrealized gains, capital formation, government spending, political dysfunction, and why both parties may be structurally incapable of solving America'...

June 11, 2026 - Chase discusses the latest “imminent” peace deal headlines, why oil markets may still need proof before accepting the Strait is truly reopening, and how much damage may already be baked into global inventories. He also breaks down PPI, Fed rate-hike pressure, long-end Treasury weakness, equity issuance from major tech names, and why even a real deal may not quickly erase the supply...

June 10, 2026 - Zach and Chase discuss why this market feels increasingly disconnected from fundamentals, and why investors are being forced to react to headlines instead of underlying reality. They break down the latest inflation data, the ongoing Middle East conflict, oil inventories, market psychology, SpaceX valuations, and why so much of today's price action seems to hinge on social media nar...

June 9, 2026 - Zach and Chase discuss one of the strangest market environments they've ever seen, with major indexes swinging wildly despite limited news flow. They break down the latest developments in oil, global inventories, AI spending, SpaceX-related speculation, Nvidia demand, market liquidity, and why the next wave of IPO enthusiasm could tell investors more about market psychology than fun...

June 8, 2026 - Zach and Chase discuss why investors may be misreading the current environment as risk appetite returns across markets. They break down the growing excitement surrounding a potential SpaceX IPO, why speculative behavior appears to be resurfacing, and what it says about investor psychology. The conversation also covers Bitcoin, AI spending, inflation, energy markets, demographic shif...

June 5, 2026 - Zach and Chase discuss a sharp market reversal, why some of the highest-flying speculative trades are suddenly under pressure, and what investors can learn when sentiment changes direction. They break down the selloff in tech, the risks embedded in AI-related valuations, the SpaceX IPO frenzy, Bitcoin-linked speculation, retirement-flow dynamics, and why market leadership may be sta...

June 4, 2026 - Zach and Chase discuss a potential hidden dynamic behind the oil market's resilience, why China's buying strike may be more important than most investors realize, and whether a broader geopolitical detente could be influencing events behind the scenes. They also examine Taiwan, shifting U.S.-China relations, global energy flows, and why the physical realities of the oil market conti...