Global Research Unlocked

Please join Ralf Preusser in conversation with Aditya Bhave, Mark Cabana and Alex Cohen post-payrolls. Since Fed Chair Warsh is trying to move away from forward guidance, the importance of US data will only increase. We will discuss the outlook for the Fed, US rates and the USD in light of the US labor market data.   "Bank of America" and “BofA Securities” are the marketing names for the global ba...

In this episode of Signal vs. Noise, Savita Subramanian, Head of U.S. Equity & Quantitative Strategy, reviews a surprising first half of 2026 and explains why she believes investors should look beyond the Magnificent Seven. With earnings growth exceeding expectations, inflation reaccelerating, and Fed rate hikes back on the table, Savita argues that the next winners could be large-cap value an...

In this episode of Must Read Research, we explore what happens when “too much of a good thing” begins to reshape markets. From a more hawkish Fed outlook to rotation beneath the surface of equities, shifting AI demand dynamics, and an intensifying battle in prediction markets. We break down the trends investors need to watch next.   "Bank of America" and “BofA Securities” are the marketing names f...

In this episode of Signals & Noise, we unpack the latest midyear updates to global economic forecasts, including a modest upgrade to global growth and a downward revision to inflation. Despite easing headline inflation, policy remains tight, with our economists now expecting a more hawkish Federal Reserve than consensus. We explore the drivers behind this shift, including resilient labor marke...

Please join Ralf Preusser in conversation with Mark Cabana and Adarsh Sinha to discuss the outlook for G10 rates and FX. We will discuss implications of the new Fed call, updated rates and FX forecasts and the main themes we see drive markets away from the Fed. You may also enjoy listening to the Merrill Perspectives podcast, featuring conversations on the big stories, news and trends affecting yo...

As the United States approaches its 250th Independence Day, Derek Harris, Head of Global Wealth Management Portfolio and Investment Strategy speaks with Jared Woodard, Head of the Research Investment Committee to examine the long-run forces behind America’s market leadership. Using data that spans much of the nation’s financial history, they explore why U.S. equities have delivered nearly 10 perce...

We recap the June FOMC meeting with our US economists and rates / FX strategists. We offer our views on the hawkish messaging and how to position across rates & FX.     You may also enjoy listening to the Merrill Perspectives podcast, featuring conversations on the big stories, news and trends affecting your everyday financial life.   "Bank of America" and “BofA Securities” are the marketing n...

Please join Mark Cabana in a discussion with Jill Carey Hall, Aditya Bhave, and Oliver Levingston as they break down key market dynamics, equity risks, and central bank outlooks. Gain expert insights and actionable perspectives on equities, rates, and macroeconomic trends   You may also enjoy listening to the Merrill Perspectives podcast, featuring conversations on the big stories, news and trends...

Welcome to Signals and Noise, where BofA Global Research strategists from around the globe offer a shorter take on market matters as part of Global Research Unlocked. Today, we focus on the best performing size segment of the US equity market this year, US small and mid-caps, and how we're thinking about them today.   You may also enjoy listening to the Merrill Perspectives podcast, featuring conv...

This week we pause to check a scoreboard flashing stretched positioning, analyze how AI infrastructure is quietly creating unlikely winners, highlight an Underdog taking on the big guys, and get field updates on a housing market still playing defense against affordability constraints   You may also enjoy listening to the Merrill Perspectives podcast, featuring conversations on the big stories, new...

Please join Sphia Salim in discussion with our US economists, rates and FX strategists to review the US payroll report. The US labor market remains central to the outlook for US monetary policy, especially ahead of the first FOMC meeting under the new Chair, and therefore also a key driver for US rates and the dollar.   You may also enjoy listening to the Merrill Perspectives podcast, featuring co...

Mostly friendly skies for airlines and premium consumers Summer is starting just as higher income consumers remain flush and global soccer fans are descending on North America. But this also comes at a time when the airline ticket situation is becoming a bit more difficult, at least for consumers. Prices are elevated thanks to higher fuel and recently, a low-cost airline stopped flying. We talk to...

Lower prices are unlocking the next leg of GLP-1 growth Several years ago, the bullish case for GLP-1 penetration hinged on lower pricing and the availability of oral options-both of these have materialized over the past 18 months. Yet we remain early in the oral GLP-1 ramp, and pricing continues to adjust downward, suggesting ample runway for unit growth in these weight-loss therapies. Peter Galb...

This week, we discuss why the size of the market continues to expand, how the World Cup is fueling global beverage demand, contingency plans amidst shifting energy segments, the paths that lie ahead for LatAm countries facing elections and an overhead view of global markets where scale and earnings continue to expand.   Disclosure: You may also enjoy listening to the Merrill Perspectives podcast,...

Please join Mark Capleton in discussion with Stephen Juneau, Alessandro Infelise-Zhou and Meghan Swiber on inflation and the inflation markets, covering: the outlook for inflation, where we diverge from the market, and implications for central bank policy and the rates curves.   You may also enjoy listening to the Merrill Perspectives podcast, featuring conversations on the big stories, news and t...

Please join Sphia Salim in conversation with global rates strategists to discuss the broad bond market selloff of the past week. We will explore its drivers across regions and the risks of a further extension of the moves, as well as the policy elements that can cap the rise in yields. We will also present key bond convexity and swaptions ideas in the context of elevated rates volatility.   You ma...

Youth labor in the age of AI adjustment Though about one-quarter of global jobs are exposed to AI, the Economics team doesn't share the view that AI will usher in mass unemployment. Benson Wu and Nick Stenner discuss their recent report on the topic, part of the Economics team's larger series on AI impact. They discuss several examples of past tech disruptions, many of which wound up favorable for...

This week, we track how weather disruptions from El Niño may ripple through commodity markets that are already on edge, how sticky inflation and strong labor data could prompt unexpected Fed rate hikes, and how consumers are turning to Chinese autos, secondhand and off-price retail as they contend with these higher prices.   You may also enjoy listening to the Merrill Perspectives podcast, featuri...

Please join Mark Cabana in discussion with Adarsh Sinha & Meghan Swiber to discuss the US-China summit, yen intervention, & US rates. We will cover FX views in context of US-China summit & recent yen interventions / USD flows + US rate views after recent inflation data & new Fed Chair Warsh.   You may also enjoy listening to the Merrill Perspectives podcast, featuring conversations...

Don't shut the door yet; housing supply discipline turning Consistent with the U.S. economy as a whole, the housing and building products markets are stronger in the high end, and weaker in the entry-level. Regionally, there are shades of this as well. Our new housing heatmap shows that the New York and San Francisco metro areas are among the strongest. Rafe discusses the drivers behind the region...

Welcome to Must Read Research on BofA Global Research Unlocked. In this podcast, we offer quick summaries from the prior week’s most interesting and impactful research. This week, we focus on the human and technological engine behind the World Cup, the rising cash flow bolstering big oil, and an IPO supply wave that's preparing its debut.   You may also enjoy listening to the Merrill Perspectives...

Please join Ralf Preusser in discussion with Aditya Bhave, Mark Cabana, Alex Cohen and Shruti Mishra to review the US payroll report. The US labor market remains central to the outlook for US monetary policy and therefore also a key driver for US rates and the dollar. You may also enjoy listening to the Merrill Perspectives podcast, featuring conversations on the big stories, news and trends affec...

Energy buyers to rethink supply lines With energy stocks off recent highs, Jean Ann joins the podcast to discuss what may be ahead and why she believes that cash flow generation at Integrated oil companies, boosted by the higher trading range for crude, make several of them attractive investments. We also discuss longer term impacts from the war, including how we're likely to see more interest in...

In this episode, we discuss central bank meeting takeaways and market implications. We discuss the Fed’s and Bank of Canada’s shift in tone, plus the groundwork for hikes from the European Central Bank and Bank of England. We also cover the Bank of Japan’s delayed hike and the implications for the June meeting. Finally, we recap some recent work across regions on global plumbing and funding market...

Please join Sphia Salim in discussion with Aditya Bhave, head of US economics research, Mark Cabana, head of US rates strategy, and Alex Cohen, senior G10 FX strategist. We will review Kevin Warsh's Fed Chair nomination hearing, with a particular focus on his Inflation views, his comments on the Fed's balance sheet, and the potential for a new Treasury-Fed accord. We will also look ahead to the Ap...