EconoFact Chats

Sanctions in the wake of Russia's invasion of Ukraine have had less of an impact than initially hoped by the West, or feared by Russia. But Russia’s longer-term economic prospects don't look particularly good. Which sectors and segments of Russian society have Western sanctions affected most? How leaky have they been? What short and long-run effects are they designed to have? And are they likely t...

The U.S. dollar recently traded at par with the euro for the first time in almost 20 years, and the dollar now buys more British pounds than at any time since the mid-1980s. While the strength of the dollar is good for American tourists in the U.K. and the Eurozone and for those in the U.S. purchasing imports from those countries, it presents challenges for American exporters and has other disrupt...

Inflation erodes purchasing power, but the reported inflation rate can mask very different experiences across groups of people. For example, the current rapidly rising rents and food and energy prices hit lower-income households harder since they spend a higher proportion of their income on these items. Dan Sichel discusses the measurement of inflation and how the single, headline statistic may no...

The pandemic has resulted in supply chain disruptions, and goods shortages across multiple industries. But few shortages have caught the public’s attention like that of infant formula. Kadee Russ of UC Davis joins EconoFact Chats to discuss some of the structural reasons behind this shortage, focusing on the role of regulation, the power of lobbying, the role of advertising, and the impact of trad...

Looking from the early 2000s, the rise in international trade and financial flows seemed almost inexorable. Yet, political opposition to greater integration grew significantly over the past decade. This opposition intensified with the pandemic, which led people to question how dependent they should be on other countries for supplies of essential goods. What does this growing opposition portend for...

China's economic rise -- which brought hundreds of millions of its citizens out of poverty, and drove about one quarter of global GDP growth over the past two decades, has been among the most consequential events of the past century. However, like many countries, China's economy today faces deep challenges. To discuss some of these challenges, as well as the drivers of China’s growth over the past...

The Pew Research Center reports that the U.S. public now views inflation as the top problem facing the country, by a wide margin. It's not hard to see why. After decades of low and stable inflation, the U.S. economy is witnessing a rate of price increase unseen since the 1970s and 80s. Why is inflation so high? Who does it hurt most? And what are the prospects for it coming down? Karen Dynan of Ha...

The S&P 500 index more than doubled between March 2020 and the end of 2021. It has recorded steady losses since then, falling by about 15% as of June 2022 . What determines stock prices? Were stock prices too high before 2022? Are they too low now? More generally, how do we gauge whether stock prices are too low or too high? Eric Zitzewitz of Dartmouth College joins EconoFact Chats to discuss thes...

The United States currently generates 20% of its energy supply from nuclear power; a figure that has been remarkably stable for decades. As the U.S. moves towards a carbon-free energy future, what role is nuclear power likely to play? What are the risks associated with fission power generation and waste storage? To discuss these issues, EconoFact Chats welcomes back Gilbert Metcalf. Gib is a Profe...

Intervention by the United States government helped the rapid development and large scale production of three COVID-19 vaccines. What were the economic, legal, and political challenges of developing and distributing vaccines in the face of an emerging deadly pandemic? How were these challenges addressed? And what were the successes and shortcomings of these policies? To discuss these issues, Econo...

Some statistics indicate that the U.S. economy is thriving. Payroll employment rose by nearly 430,000 in March. Unemployment is at 3.6%. Consumer spending and business investment grew strongly in the first quarter of this year. But other statistics are concerning. GDP declined 1.4% in the first quarter of 2022. Inflation is at a 40 year high. Additionally, tighter fiscal and monetary policy, highe...

The year ending July 1st, 2021 marked the slowest rate of population growth in the history of the United States, with the natural increase -- the number of births minus deaths -- at 148,000; one-tenth the typical value a decade before. Much of the slowdown stems from the low birth rate. As of 2020 the U.S. birth rate was 55.8 births per 1000 women of childbearing age; a decline of almost 20% from...

In the 1950s and 1960s, the dollar was as “good as gold” – until it wasn’t. The dollar no longer served as the centerpiece of the world’s fixed exchange rate arrangement when the Bretton Woods system broke apart in the early 1970s. But the dollar has remained, to this day, the dominant currency for international trade and global finance. What advantages does the United States enjoy because of the...

College costs are far from straightforward. For the vast majority of students attending four-year private colleges, the amount they pay is not the sticker price. Rather, colleges offer many different types of financial aid. But it's hard for families to figure out beforehand how much aid they're likely to receive. What are the problems that arise from the opacity of college costs for families? And...

As the war in Ukraine continues, sanctions on Russian energy exports have led to a rise in global oil and gas prices. How might the supply disruptions, rising prices, and the growing political urgency in Europe to reduce reliance on Russian oil and gas shape our energy future? Are we likely to see environmentally harmful short-run effects as countries scramble for additional sources of hydrocarbon...

The economic impact of the COVID recession has differed widely across groups of people. Pamela Meyerhofer joins EconoFact Chats to discuss some of these differential impacts, focusing on women's experiences in the labor force, as well as those of frontline workers -- those who were providing essential in-person services and facing the biggest risks at the beginning of the pandemic. Pamela is a pos...

COVID-19 has changed much of how we live. For many of us, it's also changed how and from where we work. What have been the effects of working from home on businesses and employees? Now, as many places re-open, will those who had been working from home continue to do so? Will they want to? Will companies be willing to accommodate them? How will working from home affect productivity and people's sen...

In the wake of Russia's invasion of Ukraine, an alliance of governments announced wide-ranging sanctions aimed at punishing President Putin, members of the Duma, and Russian oligarchs. What impact are these sanctions likely to have? How resilient will the Russian economy be to the withdrawal of foreign partners? And how responsive will President Putin be to hardships facing the Russian people, as...

Unusually frequent droughts and hurricanes are manifestations of climate change; and these events, along with associated wildfires and floods, have important economic consequences. This week on EconoFact Chats, Galina Hale discusses the costs of both, these extreme events, and the costs of a transition to a more environmentally friendly economy. Galina Hale is a professor at the University of Cali...

What are the ways in which public finance -- the study of government taxing and spending -- can and should address issues related to the inequitable racial impacts of government policy? This week on EconoFact Chats Bill Gale of the Brookings Institution discusses recognizing and analyzing racial disparities fostered by public policy and how public finance policies can better address past injustice...

Antitrust laws have been part of U.S. legislation since the Sherman Act of 1890, and the Clayton and Federal Trade Commission Acts of 1914. Does existing legislation provide a useful framework to check anti-competitive practices today? This week on EconoFact Chats, Dan Richards discusses the many forms of monopoly and monopsony power, how U.S. regulatory attitudes towards anti-trust have shifted,...

Union membership has been declining for 60 years but there are incipient signs of a reemergence. Why did unionization decline and what might be prompting its return? How do unions affect wages, as well as the workplace environment? More broadly, what is the evidence on the effects of unions on overall productivity and public policy? Aaron Sojourner discusses these issues in this week’s EconoFact C...

This week on EconoFact Chats, Giovanni Peri, founding director at the Global Migration Center at UC Davis discusses the many roles that immigrants play in the US economy, how current labor shortages are linked to international travel disruptions and immigration restrictions, and what natural experiments like the Mariel boatlift of 1980 can tell us about the impact of immigration on the wages of na...

There has been a widening divergence in mortality rates across states over the past four decades. While this is partially explained by differences in education, income and “deaths of despair” -- those related to alcohol, drugs, or suicide -- there are also place-based effects beyond these factors. This week on EconoFact Chats, Ellen Meara discusses the effect of the health environment and state-le...

Racism in the United States has created an enduring wealth gap between Black and White Americans. This gap is rooted both in slavery itself and in the systematic exclusion of Black people from government assistance and social safety programs beginning after the Civil War and continuing through the Jim Crow era and after. Although it’s not easy to capture the magnitude of this injustice, paying rep...