EconoFact Chats

EconoFact Chats regularly hosts a panel interview with the distinguished economic journalists Binyamin Appelbaum of The New York Times, Scott Horsley of NPR, Greg Ip of The Wall Street Journal, and Heather Long of The Washington Post. In this latest installment, the panel has a wide-ranging discussion, including on the topics of: the fight over the debt limit, its resolution, and the possible cons...

These are challenging times for central bankers, not only in the United States but worldwide. Inflation in the twenty countries in the Eurozone was 6.9 percent in March 2023, almost two percentage points higher than in the United States. The European Central Bank (ECB) is responding to inflation in a similar fashion to the Federal Reserve, by raising interest rates. But there are concerns that the...

This spring, Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank collapsed and First Republic Bank failed and was sold to J.P. Morgan Chase. The $532 billion in assets of these banks exceeded the inflation adjusted value of assets of the 25 banks that failed in 2008. Why did these banks fail? Are they the first three failures in what could be a string of bank collapses? Or did the action of regulators stem the...

The U.S. government could default on its debt obligations by June 1st if Congress doesn't raise or suspend the debt ceiling. This would have far-reaching consequences in the United States and around the world. Why does the U.S. even have a debt limit when virtually no other country does? How often has the debt ceiling been raised in the past? What are the options to avoid default if Congress does...

The maternal mortality rate in the U.S. is three to four times that of comparably wealthy countries. Furthermore, it is much higher for Black women than White women, and for poor women than for rich women. Strikingly, high income Black mothers have the same risk of dying in the first year following childbirth as the poorest white mothers. What accounts for high maternal mortality in the United Sta...

Economic policies affect people's lives, but the policies themselves can seem arcane. Writing about economics in an interesting, accessible, and compelling fashion contributes importantly to the public’s understanding. Catherine Rampell, an award winning columnist for the Washington Post, shares her thoughts on how to convey key insights on economic issues in this episode of EconoFact Chats. Cathe...

2.3 billion people, or 30% of the world's population, are food insecure. This isn't just a problem in low-income countries – an estimated 34 million people in the United States, including one out of every eight children, have constrained diets because of a lack of access to food. Furthermore, malnutrition and obesity are common since most people’s diets have some deficiencies, or some excesses bec...

While China's rapid economic growth has made it an attractive target for foreign investments, it is not straightforward to know how much of one's portfolio includes exposure to Chinese companies. As Matteo Maggiori notes, much of the increasing investment in China is through shell companies in offshore markets like the Cayman Islands. Matteo joins EconoFact Chats to discuss the economic, regulator...

In 2016, immigration to the U.S. began to fall, and after bottoming out at the outset of COVID-19, rebounded in 2021 and 2022. This rebound occurred at a time when labor force participation was at its lowest point in over four decades. Over a longer horizon, the aging of the U.S. population will lead to a decline in the native-born labor force. Could greater immigration help alleviate labor market...

Much of the demand for automation in richer countries - whether it be for self-checkout machines or driverless trucks - is driven by labor scarcity. And as populations in these countries age, this scarcity will become more acute.  Yet, as Lant Pritchett highlights in a recent Foreign Affairs article, globally, labor remains abundant. Rather than devoting vital high-level scientific and technologic...

The collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank raised the specter of a broader financial and economic crisis. This seems to have been averted by the decision to ensure all deposits; but questions remain about banks’ risk-taking, the adequacy of regulation, and whether continuing interest rate hikes will further imperil the financial system. Moderating the rise in interest rates, however, c...

Inflation in the United States rose above 9 percent in the summer of 2022, its highest rate in over four decades. The Federal Reserve has aggressively raised interest rates to combat inflation. While the inflation rate is declining, it remains well above the target rate of 2%.  Did the Federal Reserve react too late to rising inflation? Were its subsequent policy moves appropriately restrictive? W...

The rise of remote work has been among the more persistent labor-market changes engendered by COVID. Three years since the start of the pandemic, even as most social distancing mandates are lifted, many still work in virtual settings. What do we know about who continues to work from home, how much they work from home, and the kinds of jobs enabling this flexibility? What are the advantages and dis...

The 20th century was defined in large part by the conflicts between free market-oriented ideas, and policies favoring government intervention to soften the effects of unbridled markets. It was also defined by broad increases in quality of life. Yet, even as material progress of the last 150 years greatly exceeded that of the previous thousands of years, it hasn't led to the utopia that people in e...

Uncertainty affects companies’ investment and hiring decisions, as well as people’s choices about buying big-ticket durable goods like cars or houses. There are different types of uncertainty. Risk arises when you know the likelihood of outcomes but not what will occur, as happens with flipping a coin. Ambiguity reflects a situation in which the likelihood or effects of outcomes are much less clea...

A central result from economic theory is that nations benefit from international trade (even as there is a recognition that not all people within a country may benefit). But recently there have been calls for the United States to restrict trade by creating incentives or rules that favor domestic production over purchases from abroad. Will these efforts ultimately strengthen or weaken the United St...

After reaching a four-decade high in June 2022, U.S. inflation has been on a steady downward trend. Part of the reason for this is the aggressive response of the Federal Reserve in raising interest rates. While this is good news, there are concerns that the Fed’s actions could push the economy into a recession, much like in the late 1970s and early 1980s, in the wake of the so-called 'Volcker disi...

The UK's budget crisis last September led to a plunge in the value of the pound, the sacking of the Chancellor of the Exchequer after 39 days in office, and a vote of no confidence against the Prime Minister. These events highlight how fiscal policies can have wide-spread political and economic consequences. As the U.S. Congress fails to raise the debt ceiling in a timely manner, what lessons migh...

The homicide rate in the U.S. is over seven times that of other industrialized nations. Gun deaths accounted for nearly 80% of all U.S. homicides in 2020. In contrast, gun deaths represented about one-sixth of all homicides in other industrialized countries. What interventions could prove effective in reducing gun violence in the U.S.? Are there ways to identify those at high risk, and reduce the...

The U.S. dollar is a refuge at times of uncertainty – and in these uncertain times, the dollar is at its strongest point since the mid-1980s. This presents problems. Commodities like oil and wheat, which are priced in dollars, become more expensive in terms of euros, yen, or pesos, fueling inflation, and reducing people’s purchasing power. Additionally, dollar-denominated debt of emerging market a...

As of October 2022, the U.S. national debt stood at over $31 trillion. That amounts to nearly $90,000 of debt per citizen. But is there an upside to a government spending more than its tax revenues? How much should we worry about debt of this magnitude? Does history offer lessons for today? Barry Eichengreen joins EconoFact Chats to discuss these issues. Barry is the George C. Pardee and Helen N....

The recent strength of the dollar highlights the impact exchange rate movements can have. In addition to economic impacts, these include far-reaching social and political effects too. Jeffry Frieden, a leading scholar on the political economy of exchange rates joins EconoFact Chats to discuss who gains and who loses from swings in exchange rates, their political implications, how political conside...

The United States economy is currently marked by high inflation, a strong dollar, rising food and energy prices, and historically low unemployment. The shortage of microchips presents another challenge, as do the ongoing consequences of climate change. Can the Federal Reserve lower inflation without sending the economy into a deep recession? Should the United States be incentivizing domestic manuf...

Given their critical role in everything from complex weapons guidance systems, to medical devices, video games, and watches, semiconductors today have much the same pervasive effects oil did in the 20th century; determining the economic fortunes of countries, the outcomes of wars, and the everyday lives of individuals. This week, Chris Miller of the Fletcher School joins EconoFact Chats to discuss...

Most people don't think of economics as having a religious basis, and may question whether religion affects people’s views of economic issues. But in his recent book, 'Religion and the Rise of Capitalism,' our guest on EconoFact Chats this week, Professor Benjamin Friedman of Harvard University, discusses the influence of religion on economics, including how the ideas of the Social Gospel and the...