EconoFact Chats

The rise of remote work has been among the more persistent labor-market changes engendered by COVID. Three years since the start of the pandemic, even as most social distancing mandates are lifted, many still work in virtual settings. What do we know about who continues to work from home, how much they work from home, and the kinds of jobs enabling this flexibility? What are the advantages and dis...

The 20th century was defined in large part by the conflicts between free market-oriented ideas, and policies favoring government intervention to soften the effects of unbridled markets. It was also defined by broad increases in quality of life. Yet, even as material progress of the last 150 years greatly exceeded that of the previous thousands of years, it hasn't led to the utopia that people in e...

Uncertainty affects companies’ investment and hiring decisions, as well as people’s choices about buying big-ticket durable goods like cars or houses. There are different types of uncertainty. Risk arises when you know the likelihood of outcomes but not what will occur, as happens with flipping a coin. Ambiguity reflects a situation in which the likelihood or effects of outcomes are much less clea...

A central result from economic theory is that nations benefit from international trade (even as there is a recognition that not all people within a country may benefit). But recently there have been calls for the United States to restrict trade by creating incentives or rules that favor domestic production over purchases from abroad. Will these efforts ultimately strengthen or weaken the United St...

After reaching a four-decade high in June 2022, U.S. inflation has been on a steady downward trend. Part of the reason for this is the aggressive response of the Federal Reserve in raising interest rates. While this is good news, there are concerns that the Fed’s actions could push the economy into a recession, much like in the late 1970s and early 1980s, in the wake of the so-called 'Volcker disi...

The UK's budget crisis last September led to a plunge in the value of the pound, the sacking of the Chancellor of the Exchequer after 39 days in office, and a vote of no confidence against the Prime Minister. These events highlight how fiscal policies can have wide-spread political and economic consequences. As the U.S. Congress fails to raise the debt ceiling in a timely manner, what lessons migh...

The homicide rate in the U.S. is over seven times that of other industrialized nations. Gun deaths accounted for nearly 80% of all U.S. homicides in 2020. In contrast, gun deaths represented about one-sixth of all homicides in other industrialized countries. What interventions could prove effective in reducing gun violence in the U.S.? Are there ways to identify those at high risk, and reduce the...

The U.S. dollar is a refuge at times of uncertainty – and in these uncertain times, the dollar is at its strongest point since the mid-1980s. This presents problems. Commodities like oil and wheat, which are priced in dollars, become more expensive in terms of euros, yen, or pesos, fueling inflation, and reducing people’s purchasing power. Additionally, dollar-denominated debt of emerging market a...

As of October 2022, the U.S. national debt stood at over $31 trillion. That amounts to nearly $90,000 of debt per citizen. But is there an upside to a government spending more than its tax revenues? How much should we worry about debt of this magnitude? Does history offer lessons for today? Barry Eichengreen joins EconoFact Chats to discuss these issues. Barry is the George C. Pardee and Helen N....

The recent strength of the dollar highlights the impact exchange rate movements can have. In addition to economic impacts, these include far-reaching social and political effects too. Jeffry Frieden, a leading scholar on the political economy of exchange rates joins EconoFact Chats to discuss who gains and who loses from swings in exchange rates, their political implications, how political conside...

The United States economy is currently marked by high inflation, a strong dollar, rising food and energy prices, and historically low unemployment. The shortage of microchips presents another challenge, as do the ongoing consequences of climate change. Can the Federal Reserve lower inflation without sending the economy into a deep recession? Should the United States be incentivizing domestic manuf...

Given their critical role in everything from complex weapons guidance systems, to medical devices, video games, and watches, semiconductors today have much the same pervasive effects oil did in the 20th century; determining the economic fortunes of countries, the outcomes of wars, and the everyday lives of individuals. This week, Chris Miller of the Fletcher School joins EconoFact Chats to discuss...

Most people don't think of economics as having a religious basis, and may question whether religion affects people’s views of economic issues. But in his recent book, 'Religion and the Rise of Capitalism,' our guest on EconoFact Chats this week, Professor Benjamin Friedman of Harvard University, discusses the influence of religion on economics, including how the ideas of the Social Gospel and the...

Sanctions in the wake of Russia's invasion of Ukraine have had less of an impact than initially hoped by the West, or feared by Russia. But Russia’s longer-term economic prospects don't look particularly good. Which sectors and segments of Russian society have Western sanctions affected most? How leaky have they been? What short and long-run effects are they designed to have? And are they likely t...

The U.S. dollar recently traded at par with the euro for the first time in almost 20 years, and the dollar now buys more British pounds than at any time since the mid-1980s. While the strength of the dollar is good for American tourists in the U.K. and the Eurozone and for those in the U.S. purchasing imports from those countries, it presents challenges for American exporters and has other disrupt...

Inflation erodes purchasing power, but the reported inflation rate can mask very different experiences across groups of people. For example, the current rapidly rising rents and food and energy prices hit lower-income households harder since they spend a higher proportion of their income on these items. Dan Sichel discusses the measurement of inflation and how the single, headline statistic may no...

The pandemic has resulted in supply chain disruptions, and goods shortages across multiple industries. But few shortages have caught the public’s attention like that of infant formula. Kadee Russ of UC Davis joins EconoFact Chats to discuss some of the structural reasons behind this shortage, focusing on the role of regulation, the power of lobbying, the role of advertising, and the impact of trad...

Looking from the early 2000s, the rise in international trade and financial flows seemed almost inexorable. Yet, political opposition to greater integration grew significantly over the past decade. This opposition intensified with the pandemic, which led people to question how dependent they should be on other countries for supplies of essential goods. What does this growing opposition portend for...

China's economic rise -- which brought hundreds of millions of its citizens out of poverty, and drove about one quarter of global GDP growth over the past two decades, has been among the most consequential events of the past century. However, like many countries, China's economy today faces deep challenges. To discuss some of these challenges, as well as the drivers of China’s growth over the past...

The Pew Research Center reports that the U.S. public now views inflation as the top problem facing the country, by a wide margin. It's not hard to see why. After decades of low and stable inflation, the U.S. economy is witnessing a rate of price increase unseen since the 1970s and 80s. Why is inflation so high? Who does it hurt most? And what are the prospects for it coming down? Karen Dynan of Ha...

The S&P 500 index more than doubled between March 2020 and the end of 2021. It has recorded steady losses since then, falling by about 15% as of June 2022 . What determines stock prices? Were stock prices too high before 2022? Are they too low now? More generally, how do we gauge whether stock prices are too low or too high? Eric Zitzewitz of Dartmouth College joins EconoFact Chats to discuss thes...

The United States currently generates 20% of its energy supply from nuclear power; a figure that has been remarkably stable for decades. As the U.S. moves towards a carbon-free energy future, what role is nuclear power likely to play? What are the risks associated with fission power generation and waste storage? To discuss these issues, EconoFact Chats welcomes back Gilbert Metcalf. Gib is a Profe...

Intervention by the United States government helped the rapid development and large scale production of three COVID-19 vaccines. What were the economic, legal, and political challenges of developing and distributing vaccines in the face of an emerging deadly pandemic? How were these challenges addressed? And what were the successes and shortcomings of these policies? To discuss these issues, Econo...

Some statistics indicate that the U.S. economy is thriving. Payroll employment rose by nearly 430,000 in March. Unemployment is at 3.6%. Consumer spending and business investment grew strongly in the first quarter of this year. But other statistics are concerning. GDP declined 1.4% in the first quarter of 2022. Inflation is at a 40 year high. Additionally, tighter fiscal and monetary policy, highe...

The year ending July 1st, 2021 marked the slowest rate of population growth in the history of the United States, with the natural increase -- the number of births minus deaths -- at 148,000; one-tenth the typical value a decade before. Much of the slowdown stems from the low birth rate. As of 2020 the U.S. birth rate was 55.8 births per 1000 women of childbearing age; a decline of almost 20% from...