5 in 5 with ANZ

Markets are mixed ahead of key US inflation data and Easter holidays for many. US consumers feel more confident. Australian renters are much less confident than home owners. New Zealand budget policy detail is due later today. In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Data Scientist Somayeh Shiri reveals her findings from an analysis of herding behaviour among foreign exchange forecasters. Before acce...

Markets are unsettled this morning, with oil and gold up solidly on geo-political concerns in the Middle East and Eastern Europe. There’s more Fed-speak and ECB-speak about when rates might be cut, and by how much. In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Chief Economist for Southeast Asia and India, Sanjay Mathur sorts through emerging Asia’s Q4 GDP data to find the winners and themes, especially wi...

The US$ starts the week strong vs the A$, NZ$ and yen after a dovish BoJ hike and markets seeing fewer Fed rate cuts this year. Market attention is on Australian inflation data on Wednesday for signals on whether the RBA can cut in November. In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Senior Commodities Strategist Daniel Hynes visits China and finds surprisingly resilient demand for iron ore. Before acc...

Taiwan’s central bank hikes unexpectedly, while the Swiss National Bank surprises with the first rate cut of the majors. The Bank of England holds. Strong Australian jobs growth hits hopes for an early rate cut from the RBA. New Zealand is in recession. In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Chief Economist for Greater China Raymond Yeung surveys the seven key ‘D’ risks facing China in the year of...

The Fed has just held its Fed Funds Rate as expected, but has raised dot plot track by around 25 basis points in 2025. British inflation slowed in February, but the Bank of England is still expected to hold; The BoJ is watching a weak yen closely, and New Zealand GDP today could show a technical recession. In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Senior Economist Blair Chapman investigates a new tren...

The Bank of Japan has scrapped negative interest rates, hiking for the first time in 17 years. The Yen fell. US Treasury yields also fell ahead of the Fed’s decision tonight. The RBA held, but turned slightly dovish, which pushed the Aussie dollar down. In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Commodities Strategist Soni Kumari looks at how record US oil output changes the outlook for oil prices this...

US Treasury yields and the dollar rose overnight as traders pared back expectations of the Fed’s rate cuts. Japan’s Nikkei closed up over 2.5% on expectations of a dovish Bank of Japan hike today, and the RBA is set to hold, but maintain a tightening bias In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Senior Economist Miles Workman says New Zealand is at risk of a credit rating downgrade because of a high...

The Bank of Japan, the Reserve Bank of Australia, the US Federal Reserve and the Bank of England are all scheduled to make rates decisions this week. The BoJ may even hike. In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ strategist Soni Kumari analyses how China’s shift to renewable power is shifting demand for commodities. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at https://www.anz.com/ins...

US producer price inflation data was hotter than expected. US bond yields are up, as is the US dollar. US stocks are down. House prices in New Zealand are flat, although net migration to NZ set new record highs. Iron ore could fall under US$100/tonne. In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Chief Economist for Greater China Raymond Yeung wraps up his analysis of China’s National People’s Congress an...

Oil prices surge after Ukrainian attacks on Russian refineries. US stocks dip ahead of key retail sales data. The Bank of Japan is set to hike to 0.0% as wages surge. The ECB is seen cutting in June. Inflation in New Zealand may beat the RBNZ’s forecast. In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Chief Economist for Greater China Raymond Yeung explains how a two-tiered property system is emerging in Ch...

US core inflation was stronger than expected in February. Bond yields rose, but stock markets shrugged it off. India’s CPI was held up by food prices. Australian businesses see price rises, while consumers feel better. New Zealand retail spending drops. In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Chief Economist for Greater China Raymond Yeung explains how China’s property supply is running well ahead o...

Markets are in a holding pattern as traders wait to see how sticky US inflation was in February. Japan’s recession was revised away. The Bank of Japan is expected to end negative rates in next Monday or in April. India’s inflation rate is expected to be steady. In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Economist Dhiraj Nim explains how the Reserve Bank of India may have over-delivered on its inflation...

US non-farm payrolls were mixed, allowing markets to keep betting the Fed will start cutting in June. The ECB may cut before the Fed. The yen is rising on talk the Bank of Japan may finally hike. RBA watchers are focused on business confidence this week. In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Economist Sanjay Mathur looks at how ASEAN economies can overcome a fading demographic dividend by investin...

US stocks and gold surge to fresh record highs. The ECB is set to cut rates in June. China’s exports beat expectations and all eyes are on US non-farm payrolls tonight for 200,000 jobs growth. In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Economist Maddy Dunk looks at what’s driving a divergence in the economic and budget performances of Australia’s states and territories.  Before accessing this podcast,...

Jerome Powell say the Fed can cut rates this year, sending stocks up and Treasury yields down. Australian growth may be bottoming out. Gold rose over US$2,150/oz to a new record highs overnight. All eyes are on the ECB rates decision tonight. In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Senior International Economist Tom Kenny reviews the most recent fiscal projections for the US Government and explains...

China is targeting 5% GDP growth again, but debate is intense on how it’ll get there. Gold and bitcoin hit record highs. Australian exports are helping GDP growth. South Korea’s factories are humming. Prices in the Philippines rose more than forecast. In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Economist Krystal Tan explains how Asian central banks are bracing for the Fed’s first rate cut.  Before acces...

Global stock and bond markets are mostly steady ahead of Fed testimony and non-farm payrolls data later this week. Gold lurched up to near record highs of over US$2,100/oz. All eyes in China are on the National People’s Congress for a new GDP target. In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Senior China Strategist Zhaopeng Xing highlights the role climate policy will play in this week’s National Peop...

Interest rate markets are poised for interest rate decisions in Europe and Canada this week. US stocks hit fresh record highs, as did gold after more falls in US bond yields. China’s National People’s Congress meets In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ’s Head of Sustainable Finance Katharine Tapley talks about green bond issuance in 2024 in the wake of last year’s COP.  Before accessing this podc...

US inflation data met forecasts and markets still see the Fed cutting later this year. India’s GDP growth data overnight was much stronger than expected, but there’s a statistical quirk. Australian business investment intentions are rising. In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Senior Commodities Strategist Daniel Hynes explains why demand for copper will stay strong, even as China’s demand fades....

The Kiwi dollar falls 1.3% after the RBNZ pivots away from rate hike talk. The Aussie dollar is down 0.75% after softer-than-expected inflation data. The S&P 500 is flat ahead of key US inflation data tonight. In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Commodities Strategist Soni Kumari explains why central banks are buying more gold, and why it will continue to push the precious metal’s price towards...

Global markets are wary as another Fed President sees “no rush” to cut rates. Japan’s inflation data is surprisingly warm. AI chip demand drives surprise rise in Taiwan exports. Australia’s annual inflation rate is set to rise, and it’s a ‘live’ decision day for the RBNZ’s Official Cash Rate. In part two of our bonus deep dive interview on Australia’s housing market, ANZ Senior Economist Adelaide...

Global stocks are treading water as traders turn their attention to critical US inflation data later this week. In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Senior Economist Adelaide Timbrell takes a closer look at the housing supply and demand drivers behind slower price growth expected in 2024. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at https://www.anz.com/institutional/five-in-five-p...

Global stocks are paused on their global highs. Markets are turning their focus to a potential hike in the RBNZ’s cash rate and Australian inflation figures on Wednesday. In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Pacific Economist Kishti Sen finds a lack of funding for infrastructure investment is holding back the Pacific’s economies. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at https:...

Global stocks surging to record highs after Nvidia’s very strong results. US yields and US$ rise after FOMC minutes and speakers are cautious about an early rate cut. In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Economist Arindam Chakraborty reviews strong growth of foreign direct investment into Vietnam, particularly from Chinese firms setting up manufacturing there. Before accessing this podcast, pleas...

Australian wages rose faster than prices for the first time in three years. Chinese stocks jump after new selling bans were imposed. A Fed President makes hawkish comments. Indonesia holds its main policy rate. In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Group Chief Economist Richard Yetsenga looks at opportunities in 2024 from politics, Asia and climate trends — it’s not all just about interest rates....