5 in 5 with ANZ

Oil prices slip overnight on renewed hope the Iran conflict may not escalate. China’s inflation peaks in June, but not enough for an easing, and New Zealand’s manufacturing sector comes roaring back at the end of the June quarter. In our deep-dive interview, ANZ Economist Henry Russell explains why a record fall of 2.1 million in the US labour force in the first six months of 2026 matters for the...

Oil prices rise as much as 9% after the US and Iran trade strikes, and after Donald Trump says negotiations to re-opening of the Strait of Hormuz are over. US and European rate hike expectations grow, and the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) hikes for the first time since 2023. In our deep-dive interview, ANZ Senior Commodities Strategist Daniel Hynes explains why the scarcity of LNG tankers mea...

Oil prices rise 3% after two ships are hit in the Persian Gulf, including an LNG tanker at risk of exploding. Japanese real wages keep rising, Taiwan’s inflation is above forecasts, and Australian consumer confidence falls. In our deep-dive interview, ANZ Economist Sophia Angala unravels the growth stories of Australia’s states in the first quarter, including how housing market weakness is a facto...

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand is expected to hike tomorrow for the first time in more than three years, but expectations are split. Australian job ads are stable, and Thailand’s headline inflation rate is below forecasts. In our deep-dive interview, ANZ Economist Krystal Tan unpacks how a very strong El Nino could ripple across Southeast Asia’s economies into inflation and lower incomes. And one...

Market expectations for a Fed rate hike this year soften after last week’s lower-than-expected US jobs growth. New Zealand consumer confidence rebounds, and a strong El Nino is set to affect Southeast Asia economies later this year. In our deep-dive interview, ANZ Economist Maddy Dunk unpacks what’s driving Australia’s housing market - downwards for now. Before accessing this podcast, please read...

US jobs growth is weaker than expected June, reducing market expectations the Fed will hike in September. South Korean inflation edges higher last month, and Australian building approvals are falling as builders face higher costs and higher interest rates. In our deep-dive interview, ANZ Head of Asia Research Khoon Goh points to a switch in headwinds for Asia’s currencies from oil to the US dollar...

New Fed Chair Kevin Warsh says inflation pressures have eased, which drives short term market rates down. The yen’s fall to 40-year lows adds to the Bank of Japan’s inflation challenge, and China’s economy was humming in June. In our deep-dive interview, ANZ New Zealand Chief Economist Sharon Zollner previews next Wednesday’s rates decision by the RBNZ, where most expect a rate hike, but not all....

The yen falls to a new 40-year low amid intervention fears. New Zealand business confidence surges right through June. The RBA issues hawkish minutes, and there are signs housing lending is slowing in Australia. In our deep-dive interview, ANZ FX Analyst Kausani Basak explains why the Philippines’ central bank, the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas or BSP, will have to hike again. Before accessing this...

Oil prices are up, but stabilise after the US and Iran call off their strikes. The US dollar is near record highs vs the Yen, with the market on eggshells in case of intervention, and the NZ dollar is near six-month lows, but may be about to get some support. In our deep-dive interview, ANZ Senior Economist Matt Galt explains why New Zealand’s housing market has been more resilient in recent month...

Oil is in focus in early Asian trade after Iran and the United States traded strikes over the weekend, endangering a truce to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. And the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is on hold after a week of reassuring data. In our deep-dive interview, ANZ Senior Asia Rates Strategist Jennifer Kusuma explains why ANZ Research has upgraded its GDP growth forecast for Asia in 2026 to 5...

Oil prices bounce from lows last seen in late February. US inflation data is soft enough to leave the Fed on hold. Australian jobs and spending data is weaker than headlines looked, also leaving the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) on hold. In our deep-dive interview, ANZ Group Chief Economist Richard Yetsenga steps back to assess the global economic outlook, now oil prices are back near pre-confli...

Oil prices fall another 4% as more tankers get out of the Persian Gulf. Australian inflation data sends mixed signals in May, which is keeping the RBA on alert for inflation. And Australia’s unemployment rate is forecast to fall, albeit slightly. In our deep-dive interview, ANZ’s Head of Geopolitical Risk Cameron Mitchell analyses the stuttering end to the Iran conflict. Before accessing this podc...

Tech stocks are down on AI over-valuation fears, while oil fell as more ships exit the Strait of Hormuz. Australian CPI figures today will be watched for second round inflation from March’s energy price pulse. Singaporean inflation is less than forecasts. In our deep-dive interview, ANZ Senior Commodity Strategist Daniel Hynes analyses just how long it will take for oil supplies from the Persian G...

UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer announces his plan to resign. The market reaction is benign, on hopes his expected replacement, new Labour MP Andy Burnham, will run a tight budget. And the US dollar is on a roll against the yen. In our deep-dive interview, ANZ’s Head of Asia Research Khoon Goh, sees the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) responding again to inflation pressures by tightening poli...

Oil is in focus this morning after Iran closed the Strait of Hormuz over the weekend. ANZ Research shifts its forecast for Fed rate cuts out to June 2027 from December. And Malaysian inflation is subdued. In our deep-dive interview, ANZ Group Chief Economist Richard Yetsenga takes a wider look at a deal to end the Iran conflict, including why bond markets haven’t moved much, despite the deal. Befo...

Oil falls and stocks rise again as a deal to re-open the Strait of Hormuz is signed. The Bank of England holds. Central banks in Indonesia and the Philippines hike. And New Zealand’s economy grows solidly in the March quarter. In our deep-dive interview, ANZ Chief Economist for Southeast Asia and India Sanjay Mathur analyses India’s attempts to address a worsening balance of payments position and...

The Fed holds rates, but cuts look off the table as half of the rate-setters favour a hike this year. US Treasury yields rise and stocks are down. Meanwhile, New Zealand releases first quarter growth data today, with growth of about 1.0% expected. In our deep-dive interview, ANZ Economist Maddy Dunk explains why ANZ Research has tuned down its Australian house price forecasts. Before accessing thi...

Oil falls below $80 a barrel on expectations the Strait of Hormuz will open soon. The RBA holds rates at 4.35%, but keeps a hawkish tone. And the Bank of Japan hikes rates to a 31-year-high of … 1%. In our deep-dive interview, ANZ Commodities Strategist Soni Kumari explains why gold prices haven’t traded as expected through the Middle East conflict. Before accessing this podcast, please read the d...

Stocks rally to new record highs and oil falls to almost $80 after the US and Iran confirm they’ll sign a deal on Friday to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. The Reserve Bank of Australia is expected to hold today, but the Bank of Japan is seen hiking. In our deep-dive interview, ANZ Group Chief Economist Richard Yetsenga looks back and ahead at a swathe of central bank decisions, starting with the RBA...

Donald Trump says a deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz will be signed later today, but Iran has yet to confirm it and new Israeli strikes in Lebanon have introduced more doubt. And India’s inflation rate rises. In our deep-dive interview, ANZ Head of Asia Research Khoon Goh looks at how Asia equity portfolio outflows in May have continued into June. Before accessing this podcast, please read the...

Oil prices fall 3% and US stocks bounce after Donald Trump calls off fresh air strikes on Iran, and says Iran’s leaders have approved an unspecified deal. And the European Central Bank hikes rates, as expected. In our deep-dive interview, ANZ Head of Agribusiness Mark Bennett analyses the outlook for Australia’s beef and sheep sectors as winter sets in. Before accessing this podcast, please read t...

Oil rises as Middle East worries grow, so US stocks are down. US core inflation shows higher energy prices are not flowing through to the economy. And China’s factory input prices jump on higher energy costs. In our deep-dive interview, ANZ Commodities Strategist Soni Kumari highlights how nickel supply is being affected by tighter rules in Indonesia. Before accessing this podcast, please read the...

Oil is down around 3%, although Middle East conflict and tech worries send stocks down. Australian price pressures fall in May. New Zealand manufacturing bounced in the March quarter. And Indonesia makes a surprise rate hike. In our deep-dive interview, ANZ Group Chief Economist Richard Yetsenga analyses the significance of the AI boom to recent GDP growth globally. Before accessing this podcast,...

US stocks rebound overnight, but oil is slightly higher this morning after conflict between Iran and the US & Israel erupted again yesterday, although a cease fire is in place again now. And strong US jobs data shifts Federal Reserve rate expectations. In our deep-dive interview, ANZ’s Senior Asia Rates Strategist Jennifer Kusuma examines the slump in Indonesia’s rupiah to record lows in recent da...

There’s more conflicting news from the Middle East, with ongoing fighting in Lebanon, but hope for a deal drags oil prices down. The yen is perched on its precipice of 160 to the US dollar. And the Reserve Bank of India may hike today to support the rupee. In our deep-dive interview, ANZ’s Head of Asia Research Khoon Goh looks what what is behind the Korean won falling to its lowest level since 20...