Schwab Network

Chris Watling points to multiple signs of short-term exuberance taking place in the markets. He discusses recent options flows, all-time highs and a counter-trend bounce in the U.S. dollar as signs that the market could point to some turbulence ahead. He says "don't fall in love" with the U.S. dollar trend, sensing further downside is still to come. Chris believes the labor market lo...

Commentary from Jerome Powell on the banking space spurred some headlines but did little to move vastly unchanged futures. Kevin Hincks points to Big Tech earnings from Alphabet (GOOGL) and Tesla (TSLA) to be the biggest movers of the week. They face one headwind: an SPX and NDX moving into overbought territory. Kevin also touches on the EU and Japan seeking to continue tariff talks with the U.S....

Defense stocks are on the move after earnings. Lockheed Martin (LMT) moved to the downside after posting a big profit miss, not helped by a one-time $1.6 billion pre-tax loss. Jenny Horne takes a closer look at the sharp sell-off and how peers like Northrop Grumman (NOC) are rallying Tuesday morning. She also talks about General Motors' (GM) tariff tactics, which includes absorbing $1.1 billio...

Texas Instruments (TXN) has lagged the overall tech and semiconductor sectors so far in 2025, but Rick Ducat examines the recent uptrend channel taking place ahead of earnings. Additionally, Rick says open interest is focusing on the Aug. 15 monthly strikes. Later, Tom White illustrates an example trade using a put calendar. He maps out the reasons why it is bearish and why the trade is structured...

Steven Dickens says recent A.I. announcements from Amazon (AMZN) make him "really bullish" on the AWS segment alongside a record-breaking Prime Day sales event. He says the ecommerce event drives consumers to its platform as a "digital watering hole" to spend time engaging with its services. Steven says Alphabet (GOOGL) earnings will help paint a picture for a chief competitor...

JPMorgan downgraded Lululemon (LULU) to Neutral citing field work in which consumers are not responding to new core-seasonal colors. On the LULU chart, Ben Watson uses the company's yoga apparel as inspiration and calls its recent pullback a "downward dog" triangle. On the 5-day chart, he highlights the $221 level as a broken level of previous support and says investors should watch...

Jay Woods and Sam Vadas kick off Morning Movers from the NYSE to discuss this week's all-time highs. Jay says "we're not taking that next leg higher" and believes investors are slowly digesting incremental gains. He points to next week's tariff deadline as the biggest watch list item right now weighing on investors' mindsets. Jay says the "back and forth" headli...

Cyber attacks on Microsoft's (MSFT) SharePoint platform are "not a shocking surprise" to shareholders, says Jed Ellerbroek. He believes the muted reaction in the stock is due to anticipation for the company's earnings. Jed expects to see "aggressive" capex spend from Microsoft and other Big Tech firms as earnings season heats up. He adds that the SPX will "chug alo...

Jack Mallers joins Jenny Horne on the latest episode of Market Overtime to cover Bitcoin, the role of cryptocurrency in the modern world and the future of money. From the utility of Bitcoin to the differences between money and currency, Jack jumps into it all as he maps out the reasons why Bitcoin is at the heart of his businesses. ======== Schwab Network ======== Empowering every investor and tra...

What started as a strong open led to weakness throughout the day, with the $DJI and RUT losing steam. Microsoft (MSFT) closed flat despite its SharePoint service getting targeted by hackers over the weekend. CoreWeave (CRWV) gained on the session after offering $1.5 billion in senior notes to cover debt. Block (XYZ) rallied after the SPX tapped the company to join the index starting this Wednesday...

Jeanette Garretty thinks the end of earnings season will show markets “surviving and possibly even thriving” despite trade uncertainties. She’s not sure we’ll see any trade deals before the August 1 deadline. She looks at tariff impacts so far to Europe and Japan and what she expects from negotiations. Jeanette also talks the possibility of retaliatory tariffs from U.S. trading partners. ========...

George Tsilis turns to a company he sees as a stock not getting much attention in the A.I. race: Astera Labs (ALAB). The company has a wide array of partners across the tech front, including Nvidia (NVDA), AMD Inc. (AMD), and TSMC (TSM). George takes a closer look into the company's fundamentals and explains its near-20% rally on Monday's session. ======== Schwab Network ======== Empowerin...

With the FOMC not expected to release any new information until next week's interest rate meeting, @CharlesSchwab's Collin Martin doesn't see a cut coming for July. He points to a slew of economic data support the case against cuts. Mike Townsend offers an explanation of the CLARITY and GENIUS Acts, the latter of which was signed into law by President Trump on Monday. He later turns to...

Scott Bauer notes that “gold is really, really breaking out again.” On the U.S. dollar, he emphasizes 96 as a critical level to watch. “This is a sell-first environment” for the dollar, he adds, at least until some trade deals are resolved with our bigger partners. For crude oil, “demand is just not racking up” and the underlying fundamentals are still imbalanced even with new E.U. sanctions on Ru...

Philip Morris (PM) has been a "notable outperformer" compared to the SPX, says Rick Ducat. And it's not just Philip Morris — Rick points out that "sin stocks" across the board rallied more than its peers across indices. He gives investors a glimpse into investor interest and charts for the company ahead of Tuesday's earnings. ======== Schwab Network ======== Empowering...

David Whiston from Morningstar previews General Motors (GM) earnings and discusses the auto industry overall. He thinks GM is good at managing its production levels and compares it to Stellantis’ (STLA) disappointing guidance announcement. Morningstar has a 4-star rating and $75 fair estimate value for GM. Overall, his forecast after last quarter is on the lower end of analysts. ======== Schwab Ne...

The delayed August 1 trade deadline is pushing back any potential Fed rate cuts, says Thierry Wizman. He thinks there should be more easing and does expect at least one cut this year, citing a weakening consumer and labor market. Right now, he sees opportunities “outside of the normal business cycle” and betting on the yield curve steepening. ======== Schwab Network ======== Empowering every inves...

Ben Werkman calls the passage of the CLARITY and GENIUS Acts a defining moment for the crypto space. He believes the legislation isn't just bullish for assets like Bitcoin, but also for the U.S. dollar and stocks tied to cryptocurrencies. Kai Wu gives investors insight into why diversifying in the crypto space is critical. ======== Schwab Network ======== Empowering every investor and trader,...

Kyle Bergacker shares what he’s watching in markets as earnings season ramps up. He calls Alphabet (GOOGL) “compelling” and a “forgotten name” in AI. He is also bullish on Thermo-Fisher (TMO), a “leader in life sciences,” and Edison International (EIX). “Even at all-time highs, you can find some opportunities out there.” ======== Schwab Network ======== Empowering every investor and trader, every...

“We’ve had a phenomenal recovery,” Paul Schatz says, with new highs hitting well before he expected. He thinks the foundations of the market are still solid but thinks there will be a 3Q pullback of 2%-5% before a rally in 4Q. He also expects market tailwinds through 2026. In general, he’s looking for positions in less volatile stocks while “pruning” gains from portfolio winners. He likes Waste Ma...

Seema Shah with Sensor Tower gives investors insight into the latest social media and streaming trends affecting stocks. She points to Netflix's (NFLX) user base being the biggest driver for its growth, saying its 75% quarter-over-quarter retention far exceeds other streamers. Seema adds that Alphabet's (GOOGL) YouTube platform gives the Mag 7 giant an edge that most of its peers don't...

Block (XYZ) will replace Hess Corp. (HES) in the SPX starting this Wednesday. While the inclusion will likely draw more institutional investors to the fintech company, Marley Kayden points to growth being its biggest headwind. She notes Block's "extreme volatility" and sensitivity to macro conditions serving as key headwinds. ======== Schwab Network ======== Empowering every investor...

Likefolio’s Megan Brantley covers the consumer giant Coca-Cola (KO) before earnings. “These are brands that are so engrained” in consumer shopping habits, she says, but she is “shocked” by the amount of traction Coca-Cola has had recently. “It’s been receiving a ton of interest in its Fairlife brand,” she notes, calling it evidence of the GLP-1 effect. They have a bullish tilt towards KO ahead of...

Jim Thorne argues the Fed is “asleep at the wheel” because tariffs aren’t inflationary, and they should have cut rates already. He thinks the Fed has become academic with a very narrow view of economics. Mark Giambrone agrees, saying the Fed has been “behind the curve consistently,” though he laments the politicization of rate cuts. He says we need to start seeing cuts before the end of the year....

Francis Gannon looks at opportunities in small caps, arguing they’ve been in a recession the last few years but will begin outperforming in the second half of 2025. “You have to think about more than the Russell 2000,” he adds, comparing it to the Russell 3000. He also discusses investing in small caps internationally. He also emphasizes finding small caps that don’t need exposure to capital marke...