Colton Thomas

Charged Alpha Stock Encyclopedia

Charged Alpha reviews earnings for each stock in the Russel 1000 every quarter. Each podcast gives thorough analysis, along with an in-depth profile in the beginning of the episode of the company, what they do, how they earn money and what to look for.

Koniecznie odwiedź stronę podcastu i wesprzyj twórcę: chargedalpha.podbean.com

Autor

Colton Thomas

Kategoria

Business

Strona podcastu

chargedalpha.podbean.com

Ostatni odcinek

16 paź 2026

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Odcinki

IMPP Stock: Who Owns the Cash Windfall? — Q2 2026 14.09.2026

Imperial Petroleum Inc. (IMPP) Q2 2026 — September 11 regular close $5.79. Company release September 10; SEC acceptance September 11. June financials and August shares are labeled separately. Imperial Petroleum earned more, but who owns the cash windfall? We trace liquidity through vessel commitments, preferred priority and warrants to common-share value. THE CALL: HOLD (2/5, LOW) — base-case valu...

USAU Stock: Who Pays to Build CK Gold? — Q1 FY2027 11.09.2026

U.S. Gold Corp. (USAU) Q1 FY2027 — September 11 regular close $15.20, +0.86% from $15.07. The daily move includes trading before and after the filing; it is not an isolated filing reaction. A permitted mine still needs someone to pay for it. We follow U.S. Gold’s Q1 FY2027 loss, cash use, CK Gold financing requirements and potential dilution from project NPV to common-share value. THE CALL: HOLD (...

FIZZ Stock: Pricing Held Sales. Can Profit Recover? — Q1 FY2027 11.09.2026

National Beverage Corp. (FIZZ) Q1 FY2027 — September 10 regular close: $30.91, before the filing. No verified executed post-print reaction price. Pricing holds sales as case volume falls and aluminum squeezes profit. We test the recovery against cash quality, concentrated control and three valuation routes. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5, MODERATE) — base-case value ~$28.50 vs ~$30.91 today. KEY METRICS: - R...

UNFI Stock: Profit Recovered. Why Is the Cash Guide Lower? — Q4 FY2026 11.09.2026

United Natural Foods, Inc. (UNFI) Q4 FY2026 — September 10 close $44.11: +0.4% from the pre-print close after an initial +2.3% release-day gain. Operating profit recovered, but next year’s cash-flow midpoint is lower. We test distribution efficiency, recurring adjustments, investment and shareholder claims. THE CALL: HOLD (2/5, LOW) — base-case value ~$49 vs ~$44.11 today. KEY METRICS: - Q4 revenu...

DBI Stock: Who Keeps the Tariff Windfall? — Q2 FY2026 11.09.2026

Designer Brands Inc. (DBI) Q2 FY2026 — DBI closed at $5.99 on September 10, up 14.75% that day; exact release clock and causal attribution not independently established. Designer Brands has a genuine operating recovery and a complicated tariff windfall. We reconcile the Investor financing, retained refund inside adjusted profit, Topo minority rights, finance leases and potential awards to value th...

LOVE Stock: The Refund Made the Profit. Can Retail Make the Cash? — Q2 FY2027 11.09.2026

The Lovesac Company (LOVE) Q2 FY2027 — September 10 reference: $14.26, down 11.04%. Exact release time and causal attribution unverified. A $21M tariff refund lifted profit while underlying margin fell. We value the recurring business after holiday funding, reinvestment and potential share claims. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5, MODERATE) — base-case value ~$14.50 vs ~$14.26 today. KEY METRICS: - Q2 revenue...

LPTH Stock: Backlog Tripled. Shareholders Funded the Cash. — Q4 FY2026 11.09.2026

LightPath Technologies, Inc. (LPTH) Q4 FY2026 — LPTH reference quote: $9.68 on September 10. The exact release hour is not independently established, so this quote and the vendor day change are not presented as a post-earnings reaction. LightPath finishes FY2026 with $110.9M backlog and $93.2M cash. Our Q4 analysis follows acquisition-driven revenue through manufacturing margins, earnout obligatio...

ORCL Stock: Who Funds Oracle’s $23 Billion Cash Quarter? — Q1 FY2027 11.09.2026

Oracle Corporation (ORCL) Q1 FY2027 — ORCL closed September 10 at $153.17. The saved after-market trade is $160.97 at 21:57:20 UTC, up 5.09% from that close. This is an early post-print observation, not a completed next-session reaction. Oracle reports $23.103B operating cash, including $11.363B customer prepayments with a significant financing component. Our Q1 FY2027 analysis follows strong clou...

ADBE Stock: One Billion Users, What Reaches Owners? — Q3 FY2026 10.09.2026

Adobe Inc. (ADBE) Q3 FY2026 — ADBE closed the regular September 10 session at $248.83. The saved after-market trade is $244.20 at 20:33:38 UTC, down 1.86% from that close; a full next-session reaction is pending. Adobe reports one billion monthly active users across creativity and productivity offerings. Our Q3 FY2026 analysis asks how that reach becomes owner value: paid AI conversion, comparable...

CPRT Stock: More Free Cash, Less Operating Cash — Q4 FY2026 10.09.2026

Copart, Inc. (CPRT) Q4 FY2026 — CPRT traded at $33.6103 in the September 10 after-hours snapshot saved at 20:34:35 UTC, 9.3% above the $30.75 regular close. This is a thin-session snapshot, not a completed next-day return. Annual free cash flow improved by $36.4M, but operating cash fell $195.3M. Lower capital spending supplied the difference. We follow Copart’s service fees, geographic profit, bu...

SIG Stock: Profit Up Beyond the Jewelry Counter — Q2 FY2027 10.09.2026

Signet Jewelers Limited (SIG) Q2 FY2027 — SIG rose 23.96% to $102.48 on September 9. The saved September 10 intraday quote is $98.11, down 4.26% from that close. Signet raised its annual adjusted operating-profit midpoint by $50M while leaving sales guidance unchanged. Tariff refunds and a renewed credit partnership help explain the improvement. Our analysis separates those benefits from cost prog...

FLWS Stock: A $7M Refund, Almost No Earnings Cushion — Q4 FY2026 10.09.2026

1-800-FLOWERS.COM (FLWS) Q4 FY2026 — FLWS traded at $2.955 in the September 10 intraday snapshot, down 15.33% from the September 9 close of $3.49. The snapshot is not a closing price. A roughly $7M tariff refund helped gross profit, yet full-year adjusted EBITDA was only $2.9M. Inventory reductions supported operating cash, free cash flow remained negative, and management is evaluating debt, equit...

CHWY Stock: Profit Rose, Free Cash Fell — Q2 FY2026 10.09.2026

Chewy (CHWY) Q2 FY2026 — CHWY closed at $20.75 on September 9, down 10.83% from the prior close despite raised full-year guidance. Chewy increased operating profit and raised its outlook, but quarterly free cash flow fell. The new $600M term loan nearly offsets cash and securities, while recurring stock compensation creates a large claim between adjusted profit and owner cash. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5,...

SAIL Stock: AI Demand Grows, but Cash Flow Falls 19% — Q2 FY2027 10.09.2026

SailPoint, Inc. (SAIL) Q2 FY2027 — SAIL closed September 9 at $17.58, down 1.18% from $17.79. SailPoint grew ARR 25% and SaaS ARR 36%, but quarterly free cash flow fell 18.6%. We follow commission investment, stock compensation and the diluted share count to test what reaches common owners. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5, MODERATE) — base-case value ~$16.50 vs ~$17.58 today. KEY METRICS: - Revenue $308.813M,...

AVAV Stock: The Factory Bill Behind a $1.5B Backlog — Q1 FY2027 09.09.2026

AeroVironment (AVAV) Q1 FY2027 — Fixed valuation price: $140.80, September 9 regular close before results. The regular-session decline preceded the release. Later indicative quotes were bid $144.02 / ask $144.29 at 6:13:55 p.m. Eastern; these are quotes, not a verified trade or next-session return. Funded orders are not cash already collected. Hudson and Lana examine the Autonomous Systems growth,...

ASO Stock: What Is Behind the Tariff Cash Boost? — Q2 FY2026 09.09.2026

Academy Sports and Outdoors (ASO) Q2 FY2026 — At the fixed September 9, 2026 intraday snapshot, ASO traded at $49.99, up 11.8% from its September 8 close of $44.71. This is an intraday observation, not the final closing earnings reaction. Earnings rose, but the tariff cash needs a closer look. Hudson and Lana separate profit growth from buyback arithmetic, trace the financing remittance outside op...

CASY Stock: A 15% Drop Still Leaves a Premium — Q1 FY2027 09.09.2026

Casey's General Stores (CASY) Q1 FY2027 — At 10:48:09 a.m. ET on September 9, 2026, CASY traded at $620.50, down 15.4% from its September 8 close. This is a fixed intraday snapshot, not the closing earnings reaction. Profit jumped, but the cash left after capital spending fell 27.7%. Hudson and Lana test whether high fuel margins, slower inside-store growth and heavier reinvestment justify a premi...

CIEN Stock: A $2.9B Zero-Coupon Bond Funded This Margin Tripling — Q3 FY2026 07.09.2026

Ciena Corporation (CIEN) Q3 FY2026 — The stock fell 10.36% the reaction session, from $354.16 to $317.46, despite beating on both revenue and earnings. Ciena just raised nearly three billion dollars at a zero percent coupon and poured almost all of it into paying off debt and buying stock protection, in the same quarter its operating margin nearly tripled. THE CALL: BUY (3/5, MODERATE) — base-case...

HPE Stock: Margin Doubled, Stock Sold Off, Then Reversed 5% — Q3 FY2026 07.09.2026

Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) Q3 FY2026 — The stock opened down nearly 7% intraday, then reversed to close up 5.04% the same session. Cloud & AI segment operating margin more than doubled year over year, from 7.0% to 17.0%, while the stock nearly sold the news before reversing hard into the close. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5, MODERATE) — base-case value ~$55.00 vs ~$52.00 today. KEY METRICS: - Reve...

NTAP Stock: NetApp Q1 FY2027 Earnings - The 30% Growth Rate Isn’t Real 07.09.2026

NetApp (NTAP) Q1 FY2027 — Since the print the shares are up less than 3% - the tape had already run 42% above its 200-day average coming in. NetApp's headline 29.9% revenue growth includes a 14th fiscal week (FY2027 is a 53-week year) plus price increases pushed through in a memory shortage. Divide by weeks worked instead and growth is 20.6%. Free cash flow fell 35% to $401M while net income rose...

Baozun (BZUN): The Market Prices Its Business at Less Than Zero 06.09.2026

Baozun Inc. (BZUN) Q2 2026 — Revenue RMB2.74B / $404.3M (+7.5% YoY). Non-GAAP operating income up 11x. GAAP EPS RMB0.29 vs non-GAAP RMB0.42. The ADS rose ~7.09% on the print, then gave back most of it, closing most recently at $2.87. Baozun just swung to an operating profit, non-GAAP operating income up 11x, and raised its long-term profit target ~30%. Yet it trades below its own net cash: ~$231M...

BBY Stock: NEUTRAL Call — The Beat Was A Tariff Refund, Q2 FY2027 06.09.2026

Best Buy Co., Inc. (BBY) Q2 FY2027 — The stock fell 4.4% on the print even though it beat and raised guidance — and every analyst who covered it raised their price target anyway. Best Buy beat its adjusted EPS bar and raised full-year guidance, but a $34 million Supreme Court tariff refund accounts for most of the earnings beat and the margin expansion — strip it out and the quarter missed. THE CA...

MTRX Stock: Matrix Service Q4 FY2026 Earnings -- Profitable Again, Book-to-Bill Just 0.7x 05.09.2026

Matrix Service Company (MTRX) Q4 FY2026 — Shares fell about 2.9% in the session after the print, from $10.86 to $10.55. Matrix Service posted its second straight profitable quarter, grew revenue 13%, and carries zero debt -- but company-wide book-to-bill was just 0.7x, and the stock fell anyway. THE CALL: BUY (3/5, MODERATE) — base-case value ~$12.50 vs ~$10.55 today. KEY METRICS: - Q4 revenue $24...

MTRX Stock: Matrix Service Q4 FY2026 Earnings -- Profitable Again, Book-to-Bill Just 0.7x 05.09.2026

Matrix Service Company (MTRX) Q4 FY2026 — Shares fell about 2.9% in the session after the print, from $10.86 to $10.55. Matrix Service posted its second straight profitable quarter, grew revenue 13%, and carries zero debt -- but company-wide book-to-bill was just 0.7x, and the stock fell anyway. THE CALL: BUY (3/5, MODERATE) — base-case value ~$12.50 vs ~$10.55 today. KEY METRICS: - Q4 revenue $24...

American Outdoor Brands (AOUT) Jumped 44.66% — But Organic Growth Was Only 4.3% 05.09.2026

American Outdoor Brands, Inc. (AOUT) Q1 FY2027 — Net sales $37.254M (+25.4% headline, but +4.3% organic once a $6.0M prior-year order pull-forward is backed out). Gross margin 53.0% vs 46.7% (+630 bps). GAAP net loss narrowed to $(1.528)M from $(6.829)M. Non-GAAP swung to net income of $415K from a $(3.305)M loss. Adjusted EBITDA swung to $1.159M from $(3.116)M. FY2027 Adjusted EBITDA guidance RAI...

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