Tonys Picks

Houston at Georgia Southern by Tony T. Houston has the most complete offensive advantage: 527.3 yards per game, 9.0 yards per pass and 6.4 per rush. Georgia Southern plays even faster, but its 6.1 yards per pass attempt and 4.2 per rush indicate far less efficiency. That pace can help the favorite create margin while also leaving a backdoor open.

 New Mexico at New Mexico State by Tony T. The rivalry matchup presents competing offensive identities. New Mexico runs on 68.4% of snaps, while New Mexico State has generated 282 passing yards per game. The Lobos’ quarterback rotation has protected the ball, but last week’s six-point output shows the downside when the run game is contained.

Utah at Iowa State by Tony T. Utah combines pace, balance and quarterback efficiency. The Utes run 15.3 more plays per game and have produced 518.3 yards per contest. Iowa State’s 67.3% run rate can shorten the game, but the Cyclones may have to leave that comfort zone if Utah establishes an early lead.

Oklahoma at Georgia by Tony T. Georgia owns the strongest efficiency profile in the slate: 10.8 yards per pass, 7.3 per rush and 12 passing touchdowns without an interception from its listed quarterbacks. Oklahoma’s 3.3 yards per rush makes it difficult to stay balanced if the Sooners fall behind.

 TCU at UCF by Tony T. Quarterback availability is the central handicap. TCU brings a stable passer averaging 9.8 yards per attempt, while UCF must adjust without Barnett. The Knights can still stress TCU with Watson and a run game averaging 6.8 per carry, but a backup quarterback can narrow the playbook on third down and in the red zone.

 Boise State at Western Michigan by Tony T. Boise State’s 258.3 rushing yards per game and 5.9 per carry are built for a road-favorite script. The Broncos also average 10.7 more plays, giving their depth more chances to separate. Western Michigan counters with a quarterback who has not thrown an interception and a run-heavy structure that can shorten the game.

Ole Miss at Florida by Tony T. Both offenses have genuine explosive profiles. Florida has produced 544.3 yards per game with 11.0 yards per pass attempt and 6.0 per rush, while Ole Miss averages 444.7 yards and can force defenses to defend Chambliss outside structure. The Gators’ rushing advantage is the cleanest matchup edge.

Iowa at Michigan by Tony T. The total is extremely low because both teams can shorten the game and defend field position. Iowa’s early rushing numbers are eye-catching, but the opponent adjustment rises sharply in Ann Arbor. Michigan’s offense has run only 58.7 plays per game, which reduces the favorite’s margin for error.

UConn at Miami (Ohio) by Tony T. UConn has the more balanced offense and the stronger rushing floor. Osborne’s dual-threat profile has produced 10 total touchdowns, while the Huskies average 443.4 yards per game. Miami’s 10.4 yards per pass attempt is explosive, but its lower play volume and 3.5 yards per rush create more dependence on chunk completions.

Hawai’i at Wyoming by Tony T. This is a sharp style clash. Hawai’i averages 16.7 more snaps and throws on 63.5% of plays, while Wyoming tries to compress the game with a 55.8% run rate. Elevation, travel and Alejado’s arm status materially affect both the side and the total.

 Notre Dame at Purdue by Tony T.  Notre Dame OT Charles Jagusah, S Brauntae Johnson and DT Jason Onye are out; WR Quincy Porter is questionable. Purdue CB Mister Clark and OT Joey Tanona are out; TE Kylan Fox is out for the season. Matchup and Betting Analysis Purdue’s passing production makes this more interesting than a routine four-touchdown spread. Browne is completing 73.3% wit...

Northern Illinois at Georgia State by Tony T. NIU QB Taron Dickens: 56-of-78, 517 yards, 2 TD, 2 INT. RB Telly Johnson: 168 yards, 4.0 per carry. WR DeAree Rogers: 22 catches, 145 yards, 1 TD. Georgia State QB Cameran Brown: 61-of-90, 725 yards, 4 TD, 3 INT, plus 94 rush yards. RB Lanear McCrary Jr.: 227 yards, 6.0 per carry. WR Rodshaun Dorsey: 11 catches, 120 yards, 2 TD.

College Football Week 4 Part 2 Picks and Predictions for September 26, 2026 Saturday by Tony T.

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Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters 9/23/26 NPB Japan Pick Today by Ron Crawford.

KIA Tigers vs Doosan Bears 9/23/26 KBO Prediction for Bet by Ron Crawford.

Miami Marlins at Chicago Cubs by Tony T. Janson Junk has logged 23 starts in 24 appearances. Shota Imanaga enters with 30 starts across 30 appearances. The individual starter cards detail the workload, ERA, WHIP, strikeout rate, walk rate, ground-ball rate and home-run rate for this matchup .

San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers by Tony T. Michael King has logged 31 starts in 31 appearances. Roki Sasaki enters with 23 starts across 23 appearances. The individual starter cards detail the workload, ERA, WHIP, strikeout rate, walk rate, ground-ball rate and home-run rate for this matchup.

Minnesota Twins at San Francisco Giants by Tony T. Taj Bradley has logged 30 starts in 30 appearances. Anthony Molina enters with 4 starts across 5 appearances. The individual starter cards detail the workload, ERA, WHIP, strikeout rate, walk rate, ground-ball rate and home-run rate for this matchup.

Los Angeles Angels at Athletics by Tony T. Yusei Kikuchi has logged 12 starts in 12 appearances. Brady Basso enters with 6 starts across 24 appearances. The individual starter cards detail the workload, ERA, WHIP, strikeout rate, walk rate, ground-ball rate and home-run rate for this matchup.

Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies by Tony T. Michael Soroka has logged 19 starts in 20 appearances. Kyle Freeland enters with 24 starts across 24 appearances. The individual starter cards detail the workload, ERA, WHIP, strikeout rate, walk rate, ground-ball rate and home-run rate for this matchup.

New York Mets at Texas Rangers by Tony T. Sean Manaea has logged 17 starts in 31 appearances. MacKenzie Gore enters with 32 starts across 32 appearances. The individual starter cards detail the workload, ERA, WHIP, strikeout rate, walk rate, ground-ball rate and home-run rate for this matchup.

Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals by Tony T. Anthony Kay has logged 29 starts in 31 appearances. Daniel Lynch enters with 8 starts across 54 appearances. The individual starter cards detail the workload, ERA, WHIP, strikeout rate, walk rate, ground-ball rate and home-run rate for this matchup.

Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves by Tony T. Brandon Williamson has logged 7 starts in 10 appearances. JR Ritchie enters with 9 starts across 15 appearances. The individual starter cards detail the workload, ERA, WHIP, strikeout rate, walk rate, ground-ball rate and home-run rate for this matchup.

St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates by Tony T Andre Pallante has logged 27 starts in 27 appearances. Jared Jones enters with 19 starts across 19 appearances. The individual starter cards detail the workload, ERA, WHIP, strikeout rate, walk rate, ground-ball rate and home-run rate for this matchup.