The Brown Note

It's been eight years since I got an election wrong, and the irony of the last time being Trump winning in 2016 is not lost on me. One thing I didn't get wrong is that Democrat voter apathy would decide this election and by a mile it did. With Trump's vote near unchanged from his massive 2020 defeat, over 10 million Biden voters failed to turn up for Harris. 13 takeaways from this epoch defining e...

The parallels between Donald Trump in the 2024 US presidential election and Adolf Hitler in the Germany 1933 election are overwhelming. From the treatment of vote counters, to the judiciary, to opposition politicians to the media to the weaponization of race. This time though it's with the benefit of hindsight. The outcome could shape the Western world for a generation, lead to civil war and the e...

After being promised a landslide victory in Queensland, once again, the Liberal vote fell way short of both the polls and the media predictions. Aussie PM Anthony Albanese would've been smiling broadly at the result. If this were repeated at next years federal election, Albo will walk it. Sadly for the people of Queensland, with a lackluster win, the right-wing, onward Christian soldiers in the Li...

In a modern world crushed by anxiety, election cycles are unbearable. But that's because the news media and polling companies need to sell a lie - that things are really close and changing every day. But they aren't, they just wouldn't have anything to sell if they didn't say that. I've got elections right for eight years now, and here's my stress free way to do so - with the benefit of you still...

The news media and polls in Australia, will tell you opposition leader, Peter Dutton, is leading a resurgent right wing Liberal party on the road to victory. The public and the elections do not. Two overnight results in show if anything he's going backwards with the electorate.

Australian prime minister, Anthony Albanese has honorably launched the fight against the appalling, economy trashing welfare cheque for the wealthy, negative gearing. Predictably the Australian news media, particularly the usual suspect the Sydney Morning Herald, has come out swinging in defense of all their delicious money. What will you do this time Australia? Wake the hell up or let yourselves...

Even after a year of genocidal mass murder in Gaza, the West has shown it can fall even lower morally, as Netanyahu's war mongering government expands its attacks to terrorism and bombing of a sovereign nation it is not at war with. Amazingly, the West's silence is even louder than for the deaths of Palestinians.

Trump has almost solely specialised on inflammatory rhetoric for 8 years, leading to incidents like Charlottesville and the attempted insurrection on Jan 6, but we've all been waiting for when this explosive atmosphere would result in political assassinations. Well, now there have been two back to back attempts, and both on Trump. Like Fox News before him, has he created a monster now beyond his c...

Part of my infrequent series, "How to make friends":, including such vote winners as, "It's Time to Forgive Kevin Spacey" and, "Why I stand With JK Rowling".

The recent Venezuelan elections - as always a fight between socialists who want to keep their oil and Western back right wing candidates that want to sell it - was the closest in years. With the electoral council claiming victory for the incumbent leftist Nicolás Maduro, but that they cant release a breakdown of the votes, due to a cyber attack, the West has predictably - and with no credible evid...

In olden times the filthy rich were content with opening museums and remaining politely quiet. This last decade has seen the rise of the new sociopath-narcissist billionaire class, obsessed with attention and fame. Whilst they were simply trying to out do each other, that was one thing, now they are coming for political influence. No one embodies this more than desperado of cringe, Elon Me-Too Mus...

Opposition leader and devout right-wing populist, Peter Dutton, had his own Gazan children overboard moment, harking back to those honorable days of his lord and savior - no not Gina Rinhart - John Howard, when conservatives realised they could weaponise the race for political gain. Heroic independent Teal, Zali Steggall, magnificently shirt-fronted him in parliament, with accusation of being a li...

Elon Me-Too Musk maybe the most desperate-for-attention man on planet Earth, next to Piers Morgan and Donald Trump ironically. An attention seeking ambulance chaser who tries to wed himself to any trending topic. When Donald Trump destroyed Biden in the debate, Elon's leg started twitching. When Trump got shot Elon went all in, on both a personal and a professional level, wedding his future inextr...

As at 13-Aug-24 I'm calling the US election for Kamala Harris, and by virtue of that, the end of the Trump era. The greatest reversal of political fortune in modern history. I have an 8 year track record of calling elections correctly, including in 2 months out for Joe Biden last time (see below). Here are a hundred reasons why Trump has already lost and can't do anything about it.   https://youtu...

A look at one of the dominant sports stories of the year and in particular the often pathetic and hypocritical response to it, from a wildly polarised public. my piece from a few years back on trans women in sports https://youtu.be/ADjMB9pYoi4

Taking our country back from immigrants is nothing new to the UK. There was the National Front protests in the 1970s, the Nazi sympathizers in the 1930's. The difference this time, is the internet. After the tragic murder of two children in Southport, was incorrectly linked to a Muslim immigrant, 30% of the internet traffic promoting the initial protests was from the UK, 40% was from the USA. We n...

Oh well, I was, as I predicted at the start, a few hours late in getting this online but my thoughts anyway. THANK GOD Kamala dodged the biggest bullet she will face, choosing Josh Shapiro - who was favorite - as VP. She really hasn't put a foot wrong and I was terrified picking a pro-Netanyahu VP would fracture a newly healed Democrat party. Now, with such a well balanced ticket of Kamala/Walz re...

A belated hero's welcome to the most important and iconic journalist of the century, WikiLeaks founder, Julian Assange. Finally free, after more than a decade of being de-facto tortured at the hands of the State, in order to destroy the threat of a good example.

It's either the luckiest or most genius move in political history, but replacing Joe Biden is a masterstroke on every level. It kills the relentless momentum Trump built up from the debate debacle and being shot, it focuses the biggest weapon the Republicans has against the Democrats, Biden's age, right back on their own candidate, and it re-energizes the Democrat vote. Trust me, Trump wishes he'd...

The Achilles heel of both the UK and Australian Labor parties is their slavish obsequence at the top, to the Israel lobby. No one should ever be excluded from Labor for upholding Labor values, let alone opposing genocide. Anthony Albanese has failed spectacularly to read the room here - telling the Muslim voters of Western Sydney to ignore whats happening in Gaza because he's giving them free TAFE...

I think I'd better post this one before it's too late! He could be gone in hours.

For the next twenty years, the media will tell us about the glorious victory of Keir Starmer. They will say only a Tony Blair, pro-Tory Labour party will ever get elected in the UK and we must forget all about those horrible (actually Labour) Jeremy Corbyn socialists. This is the truth, even after the most calamitous four years in UK political history, from Boris "Party-gate" Johnson getting the b...

The only thing I am surprised is it took this long for things to explode, with Trump and his supporters playing with fire for eight years. But honestly (in the first shooting of its kind the right aren't calling a false flag!) they've been exploding for years. The likes of the mainstream media and the Democrats will wring their hands at how such a terrible thing could happen, blind to the fact it...

I previously stated that Australian opposition leader Peter "potato" Dutton had already lost the next election, over a year out. This was for a number of reasons - a major one being his re-igniting of the climate change wars with his take it or leave it mandate for nuclear power, but why did he commit such a brazen act of political suicide? And this in an era where opposition leaders try to stand...

I've posted at length about my love for the Jeremy Corbyn side of the UK Labour party and my hatred of the Tony Blair side, most egregiously embodied by current Labour leader and Thatcherite Tory Keir Starmer. With Labour pretty much guaranteed an election victory, I posted I hoped they'd lose, just so the media wouldn't spend the next 20 Years claiming only a Blairite could win for Labour. What i...