Macro Horizons

Ian Lyngen and Ben Jeffery bring you their thoughts on the U.S. Rates market for the upcoming week of September 12th, 2022, and respond to questions submitted by listeners and clients.

Margaret Kerins along with Ian Lyngen, Ben Reitzes, Greg Anderson, Stephen Gallo, Dan Krieter, Dan Belton and Ben Jeffery from BMO Capital Markets’ FICC Macro Strategy bring you their outlook for Treasury rates, the shape of the yield curve, IG credit spreads, Canadian rates, and foreign exchange as the Fed and other central banks continue tightening campaigns and the Fed’s QT reaches maximum SOMA...

Ian Lyngen and Ben Jeffery bring you their thoughts on the U.S. Rates market for the upcoming week of September 5th, 2022, and respond to questions submitted by listeners and clients.

Dan Krieter and Dan Belton discuss the upcoming September supply wave and what it likely means for high grade corporate and SSA markets. Other topics include the recent resilience in credit and whether the market is adequately priced to the macro outlook, the Fed’s Corporate Bond Market Distress Index (CMDI), and swap spread seasonality.

Ian Lyngen and Ben Jeffery bring you their thoughts on the U.S. Rates market for the upcoming week of August 29th, 2022, and respond to questions submitted by listeners and clients.

Dan Krieter and Dan Belton discuss the recent performance in credit spreads and what the impending Jackson Hole Symposium is likely to bring for the asset class. Other topics include recent trends in fundamentals and supply, swap spreads, and a possible exemption to the supplementary leverage ratio.

Ian Lyngen and Ben Jeffery bring you their thoughts on the U.S. Rates market for the upcoming week of August 22nd, 2022, and respond to questions submitted by listeners and clients.

Ian Lyngen and Ben Jeffery bring you their thoughts on the U.S. Rates market for the upcoming week of August 15th, 2022, and respond to questions submitted by listeners and clients.

Dan Krieter and Dan Belton discuss the July CPI report and what it means for credit spreads. Other topics include, market technicals, fundaments, and the near-term impact of quantitative tightening.

Ian Lyngen and Ben Jeffery bring you their thoughts on the U.S. Rates market for the upcoming week of August 8th, 2022, and respond to questions submitted by listeners and clients.

Margaret Kerins here with Ian Lyngen, Ben Reitzes, Greg Anderson, Stephen Gallo, Dan Krieter, Dan Belton and Ben Jeffery from BMO Capital Markets’ FICC Macro Strategy team to bring their debate on heightened geopolitical risks and fears over a global growth slowdown in the backdrop of a Fed that is solidly committed to fighting inflation at all costs and how this impacts our outlook for US and Can...

Ian Lyngen and Ben Jeffery bring you their thoughts on the U.S. Rates market for the upcoming week of August 1st, 2022, and respond to questions submitted by listeners and clients.

Dan Krieter and Dan Belton discuss their reactions to the July FOMC meeting including the risk-on response and Chair Powell’s suggestion that the Fed would offer less clear guidance going forward. Other topics include the implications for credit and what might drive spreads in the near-term.

Ian Lyngen and Ben Jeffery bring you their thoughts on the U.S. Rates market for the upcoming week of July 25th, 2022, and respond to questions submitted by listeners and clients.

Dan Krieter and Dan Belton discuss the recent recovery in credit spreads and whether market technicals have fully rebounded. Topics include the return of high grade supply and what it means for future issuance, record low primary dealer positions in corporates, and the impact of net client selling interest.

Ian Lyngen and Ben Jeffery bring you their thoughts on the U.S. Rates market for the upcoming week of July 18th, 2022, and respond to questions submitted by listeners and clients.

Margaret Kerins along with with Ian Lyngen, Ben Reitzes, Greg Anderson, Stephen Gallo, Dan Krieter, and Dan Belton from BMO Capital Markets’ FICC Macro Strategy team to bring you their outlook for the second half of the year for US and Canadian Rates, IG credit, and foreign exchange as the market grapples to price the terminal rate and beyond. Most certainly, the Fed is unlikely to back down until...

Ian Lyngen and Ben Jeffery bring you their thoughts on the U.S. Rates market for the upcoming week of July 11th, 2022, and respond to questions submitted by listeners and clients.

Dan Krieter and Dan Belton discuss to drivers of the recent weakness in credit including their medium-term targets for index spreads and what might drive the next move in credit spreads. Other topics include the challenging technical backdrop facing the market and second half supply outlook.

Ian Lyngen and Ben Jeffery bring you their thoughts on the U.S. Rates market for the upcoming week of July 5th, 2022, and respond to questions submitted by listeners and clients.

Ian Lyngen and Ben Jeffery bring you their thoughts on the U.S. Rates market for the upcoming week of June 27th, 2022, and respond to questions submitted by listeners and clients.

Dan Krieter and Dan Belton discuss the recent performance in credit, including why defensive sectors have not performed as well as they typically do during selloffs. Other topics include the recent decline in SOFR and when the downward pressure on the new benchmark might normalize.

Ian Lyngen and Ben Jeffery bring you their thoughts on the U.S. Rates market for the upcoming week of June 21st, 2022, and respond to questions submitted by listeners and clients.

Dan Krieter and Dan Belton discuss their takeaways from the Fed’s first 75bp rate hike since 1994. Topics include Chair Powell’s apparent change in tone around a soft landing, the commitment to fight headline rather than core inflation, and the likely cadence of upcoming Fed rate hikes.

Ian Lyngen and Ben Jeffery bring you their thoughts on the U.S. Rates market for the upcoming week of June 13th, 2022, and respond to questions submitted by listeners and clients.