Harvard Harris Poll Debrief with Mark Penn and Bob Cusack

So, what's happening with the job approval of President Trump, given all of the chaos and issues and the partisan fights that we're seeing over impeachment? Well, this poll was taken just before the formal inquiry really was announced, but during the buildup and already information out about the whistleblower. So given all that, would we be expected a significant change in President Trump's job ap...

Presidential Pollster Mark Penn shares findings from a new Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll, which asked 2,009 American voters what they thought about the controversy surrounding President Trump's alleged request to Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelensky that they try to find and expose damaging information about former Vice President (and presidential candidate) Joe Biden's son Hunter's business dealings i...

Each month, presidential pollster Mark Penn shares an overview of the latest Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll. This survey was conducted online within the United States from September 22-24, 2019 among 2,009 registered voters. Sign up at https://harvardharrispoll.com/ to have this and future survey reports delivered directly to your inbox. The Harvard CAPS / Harris Poll is a monthly poll released by Harva...

As the Ukraine situation was developing, we managed to get here some of the earliest data, just before the full release of all the materials and of the whistleblower complaint. We were able to capture what the American public was thinking. First, we asked them have you heard anything involving issues related to the investments of Joe Biden's son? About half had. We asked them, in contrast, have th...

Let's talk a look at guns. Guns has been rising as an issue. Two thirds of people believe that murder by gun in America in the last five years has gone up. And when you ask them what do you think is such an increase related to, 21% say urban gangs, 30% say mental illness, and 48% say, hey, easy access to guns. Underscoring a lot of people believing that if access to guns were more limited, that yo...

Let's specifically look at public attitudes towards China and towards trade deals. Do you think it's necessary or unnecessary to confront China over its trade policy now? 67% say it's necessary, so there's significant backing of the policy of confronting China. Do you think President Trump is too tough, 40%. Too lenient, 41%. Or just right, 19%, when it comes to negotiating with China. A divided A...

Perhaps at this point the hottest issue in terms of the partisan battle between the two parties and the president, is that of immigration. And so, we did a deep dive into immigration this month. Once again, we find overwhelming support for what is generally called comprehensive immigration reform, 73%. Generally, that means finding a path to work permits, possibly citizenship, for those who are he...

Now let's delve into election fraud. An issue that's talked about, and so I thought well, it'd be pretty interesting just to see what does the public think is really going on? I mean, that's quite different, we don't know really whether there's fraud and how much. A lot of studies show not much, but everybody on one side says that people are voting who shouldn't be allowed to vote. The other side,...

Let's launch into the trends that we're seeing on the approval and mood of the country. In general, we haven't seen a lot of changes over time on the overall approvals of the key political figures in this country. President Trump remained this month at 45% job approval, where he's been for the last, really, three months within a point, coming down from a bump when we had 3.2% growth in the economy...

Another major area that has been in the news has been racial tensions. 77% believe that racial tensions in this country are increasing. President Trump gets called out for this by 69%, who believe that he is helping to cause an increase in racial tensions. Only 31% decrease. Surprisingly, the news media is at 75%, higher than President Trump, as being a disruptor of race relations in the United St...

When you're looking forward on the road to 2020, only 39% say they're voting for President Trump. Definitely, 28. Probably, 11. Right, and you've got 42% saying they're going to vote for the Democrat, you've got 9% voting for an independent, and 10% unsure. So no clear winner, but for an incumbent president with a good economy and 3.7% unemployment to have only 39% saying that they're going to vot...

Let's take a look at antitrust, and perhaps the newest target of antitrust, big technology companies. Do you think that Internet giants such as Google, Facebook and Amazon, among others, are helping or hurting innovation in the economy? Good news, tech companies can look at this, 62% say that they are helping innovation in this country, and only 37% say hurting. Do you believe that Internet giants...

Perhaps at this point the hottest issue in terms of the partisan battle between the two parties and the president, is that of immigration. And so, we did a deep dive into immigration this month. Once again, we find overwhelming support for what is generally called comprehensive immigration reform, 73%. Generally, that means finding a path to work permits, possibly citizenship, for those who are he...

Let's specifically look at public attitudes towards China and towards trade deals. Do you think it's necessary or unnecessary to confront China over its trade policy now? 67% say it's necessary, so there's significant backing of the policy of confronting China. Do you think President Trump is too tough, 40%. Too lenient, 41%. Or just right, 19%, when it comes to negotiating with China. A divided A...

Well, let's take a look at Greenland. I personally haven't been to Greenland. But I think that we asked the American public a few questions about it. Do you believe the Arctic is today a region of global competition? Yes, 45. No, 55. Are you concerned that Russia and China are using new Arctic routes through the melting ice to gain economic advantage? 56, yes. But the most important question, do y...

This month we also did a short section on the Russian investigation. Something that has been less and less in the news compared to it having dominated the media for over two years. Do you think that the Russia investigations are hurting the country or helping the country? 64% hurting, an uptick. 36%, helping. What should happen to President Trump for his actions? Impeach, 36%. Censured, 21%. No ac...

Now let's delve into election fraud. An issue that's talked about, and so I thought well, it'd be pretty interesting just to see what does the public think is really going on? I mean, that's quite different, we don't know really whether there's fraud and how much. A lot of studies show not much, but everybody on one side says that people are voting who shouldn't be allowed to vote. The other side,...

Let's launch into the trends that we're seeing on the approval and mood of the country. In general, we haven't seen a lot of changes over time on the overall approvals of the key political figures in this country. President Trump remained this month at 45% job approval, where he's been for the last, really, three months within a point, coming down from a bump when we had 3.2% growth in the economy...

Let's talk a look at guns. Guns has been rising as an issue. Two thirds of people believe that murder by gun in America in the last five years has gone up. And when you ask them what do you think is such an increase related to, 21% say urban gangs, 30% say mental illness, and 48% say, hey, easy access to guns. Underscoring a lot of people believing that if access to guns were more limited, that yo...

When you're looking forward on the road to 2020, only 39% say they're voting for President Trump. Definitely, 28. Probably, 11. Right, and you've got 42% saying they're going to vote for the Democrat, you've got 9% voting for an independent, and 10% unsure. So no clear winner, but for an incumbent president with a good economy and 3.7% unemployment to have only 39% saying that they're going to vot...

Another major area that has been in the news has been racial tensions. 77% believe that racial tensions in this country are increasing. President Trump gets called out for this by 69%, who believe that he is helping to cause an increase in racial tensions. Only 31% decrease. Surprisingly, the news media is at 75%, higher than President Trump, as being a disruptor of race relations in the United St...

Well, let's take a look at Greenland. I personally haven't been to Greenland. But I think that we asked the American public a few questions about it. Do you believe the Arctic is today a region of global competition? Yes, 45. No, 55. Are you concerned that Russia and China are using new Arctic routes through the melting ice to gain economic advantage? 56, yes. But the most important question, do y...

This month we also did a short section on the Russian investigation. Something that has been less and less in the news compared to it having dominated the media for over two years. Do you think that the Russia investigations are hurting the country or helping the country? 64% hurting, an uptick. 36%, helping. What should happen to President Trump for his actions? Impeach, 36%. Censured, 21%. No ac...

2,000 Americans were asked their thoughts on President Trump's use of Twitter. Each month, Presidential Pollster Mark Penn shares findings from the latest Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll, which is released by the Center for American Political Studies at Harvard and The Harris Poll. To sign up for regular updates and to learn more about poll results and coverage, visit harvardharrispoll.com and follow @Ma...

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