Finance TL;DR Daily

Core PCE inflation holds at 3.3% just days before Fed Chair Warsh's Jackson Hole speech, Treasury Secretary Bessent's bond buyback move adds pressure on the Fed, and Meta settles teen social media addiction lawsuits with 29 states for $16.7 billion. In this episode: • Fed’s preferred inflation gauge shows core prices rose 3.3% annually in July — https://www.cnbc.com/2026/08/26/feds-preferred-infla...

New U.S. sanctions on Iran barely move markets while China's role stays murky, Treasury eyes its $1 trillion cash account to fund bond buybacks, gold and Bitcoin surge on the 'debasement trade,' and tech stocks slide ahead of Nvidia earnings and Alibaba's discounted share sale. In this episode: • U.S. expands sanctions on Iran, but markets shrug as China's role remains unclear — https://www.channe...

Treasury Secretary Bessent's oversized bond buyback plan spooked inflation expectations instead of calming them, raising the stakes for Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's Jackson Hole debut. Plus, U.S.-Canada trade talks collapse as 50% tariffs and retaliation kick in. In this episode: • Bessent's bond buyback plan backfires, sparking inflation fears and pressuring the Fed — https://www.cnbc.com/2026/08/21/b...

Japan's inflation hits a 2026 high and puts the Bank of Japan on track for a September rate hike, while U.S. housing starts post their steepest drop in years. Plus, why Nvidia's earnings next Wednesday could decide the market's direction, and the U.S.-Canada trade deal coming down to the wire. In this episode: • Japan headline inflation rate hits highest this year as energy prices bite — https://w...

The July Fed minutes show officials open to hiking rates if inflation stays hot, even as Trump renews his push for cuts and the national debt crosses $40 trillion. Plus, why Walmart shares fell despite raised guidance. In this episode: • Fed minutes show officials ready to hike rates if inflation remains elevated — [cnbc.com](https://www.cnbc.com/2026/08/19/fed-minutes-july-2026-officials-saw-need...

The UAE severs trade with Iran after a missile strike, sending oil and safe-haven flows into motion, while the U.S. Treasury doubles debt buybacks to calm a jittery bond market. Plus: Moderna and Merck's melanoma vaccine data sends the stock soaring, Google eyes a $12.2 billion stake in Marvell's custom chips, and India's central bank signals hikes are coming. In this episode: • UAE severs trade w...

A surprise jobs miss and cooler wholesale inflation have traders betting the Fed holds rates in September, sending stocks to record highs even as 30-year Treasury yields sat at 19-year highs earlier in the week. Plus, Russia's state development bank fires its chief economist after he warned Moscow is losing the economic war of attrition. In this episode: • Fed may hold rates steady as cooling infl...

Fed rate hike odds for September plunge to roughly 30% after a shock jobs loss, sending the dollar to a two-month low ahead of Wednesday's FOMC minutes — plus why futures still price in a year-end hike, and fresh signs China's economy is losing steam. In this episode: • September Fed Rate Hike Odds Plunge as Inflation and Jobs Data Cool — https://www.top1markets.com/news/september-fed-rate-hike-od...

Soft inflation data has traders leaning toward a Fed hold in September, even as a surprise drop in July retail sales adds to the cooling-economy narrative. Plus, Applied Materials shares slide on weak guidance despite beating earnings, and global equity funds notch a 12th straight week of inflows. In this episode: • Cooler inflation data may force Warsh's divided Fed to hold the line on rates — ht...

A surprisingly flat Producer Price Index report boosts hopes for a September rate cut, but Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack's dissent shows the inflation fight isn't settled. Plus, Databricks hits a $190 billion valuation, and the U.S. budget deficit posts its biggest July shortfall since 2021. In this episode: • Wholesale prices were flat in July, below expectations for 0.2% increase — https:...

July CPI cools to 3.4% and eases pressure on the Fed, sending the S&P 500 to fresh record highs on blowout AI earnings from Palantir, CoreWeave and Nebius, while mortgage rates finally stop climbing. In this episode: • U.S. inflation cools to 3.4% in July, easing pressure on the Federal Reserve — https://www.cnbc.com/2026/08/12/cpi-inflation-report-july-2026.html • Wall Street rallies to record hi...

A shock 23,000-job loss in July sends gold to a seven-week high near $4,400 and slashes September Fed hike odds, while the Trump administration's escalating fight with Chair Jerome Powell and a twisting Treasury yield curve complicate the rate outlook ahead of this week's CPI test for Fed Chair Kevin Warsh. In this episode: • Gold steadies after scaling two-month high as weak jobs data slashes Sep...

Berkshire Hathaway breaks a 14-quarter selling streak and starts deploying its nearly $400 billion cash pile, TSMC's sales jump 45% on AI demand, Intel plans a $15 billion stock offering to fund its AI push, and rising Iran tensions push oil prices higher as the Strait of Hormuz standoff drags on. In this episode: • Berkshire Hathaway ends 14-quarter selling streak, starts spending massive cash pi...

A surprise 23,000 drop in July payrolls and a fall in unemployment to 4.1% have gutted expectations for a September Fed rate hike, sending Treasury yields and hold-rate odds sharply lower. Finance TL;DR Daily breaks down the jobs shock and the bond market's reaction. In this episode: • U.S. economy unexpectedly lost jobs in July, dimming prospects for a September Fed rate hike — https://www.cnbc.c...

Fed Governor Lisa Cook says she's prepared to back a rate hike over inflation, even as fresh productivity data complicates the picture. Plus, 30-year Treasury yields hit levels not seen since 2007, and Apollo's $7.7 billion EasyJet buyout heads toward a Friday deadline. In this episode: • Fed Governor Cook says she's 'prepared to act' on rate hike to address inflation — https://www.cnbc.com/2026/0...

Fed dissenter Neel Kashkari pushes for a September rate hike even as ADP shows private hiring slowing sharply; the Treasury's $100 billion in 'Liberation Day' tariff refunds mostly flow to corporations, not consumers; and Eli Lilly's weight-loss drug boom sends earnings and guidance sharply higher. In this episode: • Fed's Kashkari says 'now is the time to start slowly moving' rates up — https://w...

ISM manufacturing hits a four-year high but stokes inflation fears, Palantir jumps 27% on blockbuster AI-driven earnings, Philly Fed's Anna Paulson signals a hawkish pause, and Caterpillar's record quarter shows the AI buildout lifting heavy industry too. In this episode: • US manufacturing activity hits more than four-year high, but inflation worries intensify — https://finance.yahoo.com/economy/...

The US and Japan launch a rare joint intervention to prop up the yen, the Fed holds rates steady at 3.50-3.75%, Amazon crosses a $3 trillion market cap on AWS strength, oil prices tumble after Trump calls off an Iran strike, and Visa buys fraud-detection firm BioCatch for $2.4 billion. In this episode: • U.S. and Japan conduct first joint yen intervention since 1998 to support the currency — https...

Three Fed presidents publicly break ranks to demand a rate hike as inflation stays hot, Apple suffers its worst post-earnings drop in 13 years on chip shortages, Iran-linked tanker attacks send oil higher, Amazon passes along $600 million in tariff refunds, and Coinbase posts a $359 million quarterly loss. In this episode: • Fed officials who voted to hike rates say action is needed now against in...

The Fed holds rates but three officials dissent for a hike, sending the 30-year Treasury yield to its highest since 2007. Plus, Q2 GDP slows to 1.5% even as consumers keep spending, and Big Tech earnings split the AI trade as Meta drops 9% while Microsoft jumps 15%. In this episode: • Fed holds rates steady but with three dissents, signaling 'hawkish hold' — https://apnews.com/article/economy-infl...

The Fed heads into a high-stakes rate decision under new Chair Kevin Warsh as inflation lingers above target, oil prices jump more than 6% after Trump vows retaliation against Iran following strikes in Iraq, and Procter & Gamble's revenue miss shows value-conscious shoppers are trading down. In this episode: • Federal Reserve decision looms with rates expected to hold, but a hike remains possible...

A $1 trillion semiconductor sell-off led by Korea's Kospi and Nvidia's slide headlines a day where the Fed's rate decision and Trump's pressure on Chair Warsh loom large, Boeing rallies despite a big loss, Coca-Cola raises guidance, and Apple launches an iPhone leasing plan with Klarna. In this episode: • Markets brace for Fed decision amid Trump's calls for lower rates and political pressure — ht...

Surging oil prices driving up expectations for a September Fed rate hike overshadow solid corporate earnings. Today, we cover Intel's record revenue growth, Verizon's guidance upgrade, and Oracle's massive new Pentagon contract. In this episode: • Odds of Federal Reserve rate hike surge as oil prices rip higher - CNBC — https://www.cnbc.com/2026/07/23/fed-interest-rate-odds-oil-jobless-claims.html...

Alphabet and Tesla shares tumble on ballooning AI spending and negative free cash flow, the ECB holds rates at 2.25% while flagging a possible September hike, and the 10-year Treasury yield hits its highest level since January 2025 as oil breaks $90 a barrel. In this episode: • Tech stocks tumble as S&P 500 and Nasdaq dive on Alphabet and Tesla earnings, AI capex fears — https://www.investors.com/...

Global oil prices spike past ninety-five dollars amid intensifying Middle East conflict, AMD announces a massive five billion dollar partnership with Anthropic, and Wall Street drops as tech earnings face an AI spending reality check. In this episode: • Brent crude surges past $95 as escalating Middle East conflict threatens two key energy shipping corridors — https://www.cnbc.com/2026/07/22/oil-p...