Aviation Intelligence Weekly

The Strait of Hormuz is still broken, and this week the aviation sector handed us the invoice. Jet fuel at a hundred and fifty-two dollars a barrel average for the year, airspace banned across most of the Middle East, and the earnings season splitting the industry right down the middle between carriers who can absorb this and carriers who cannot. We're going to get into the bifurcation story — air...

A flash analysis of General Dynamics's 10-Q filing for 2026-Q2. Our hosts break down what investors should look for in this quarterly report.

Defense just had its best week in years, and it happened at the same time airlines are getting crushed by a fuel shock that's cutting industry profits in half. That's the paradox this week, and it tells you everything about where aerospace capital is flowing right now. We've got Farnborough orders, Q2 earnings from the carriers, and a defense rally that was frankly stunning. Let's get into it. Thi...

The fuel shock from the Iran conflict is now sorting winners from losers in real time — and this week, the gap got wider. We've got airline bankruptcies cascading across three continents, Boeing posting its strongest delivery quarter since 2018, and a one-point-two-billion-dollar debt raise that tells you exactly who has access to capital right now. A lot to unpack. This week's narrative was bifur...

A dozen airlines bankrupt. Fuel costs still double what they were eighteen months ago. And this week, the industry's weakest operators stopped pretending they can survive it. We've got the OEM side finally moving in the right direction — Boeing's fourth MAX production line went live this week — but the commercial carrier landscape is being carved up in real time. We'll get into what that bifurcati...

Defense stocks just put up their best week of the year, and the question isn't whether the rally was real — it's whether the aviation sector as a whole is repricing around a new operating reality driven by the Strait of Hormuz crisis. We've got a Honeywell spinoff that started trading, an Allegiant guidance flip that turned a fifty-cent loss into a dollar-twenty-five profit, and defense primes up...

Fourteen percent. That's what United Airlines put up this week, leading the entire aviation sector — and it didn't happen in a vacuum. No, it didn't. The major carriers are having a moment, and we need to talk about why, because the macro backdrop has never been more complicated. IATA cut the global airline profit forecast in half. Fuel is the story of 2026. And yet the stocks are screaming higher...

Honeywell just announced the biggest aerospace spin-off in a decade, and the stock's down nearly ten percent. That tells you everything about how this market views corporate restructuring right now. Yeah, and it's not just Honeywell. We've got FedEx spinning off their freight business, Spirit collapsing entirely, and fuel prices that have basically doubled since February. The whole sector's gettin...

Spirit Airlines' liquidation just triggered the biggest capacity exit in U.S. aviation since 9/11, while American Airlines raised nearly two billion in seven-year capital — and the market is repricing who survives versus who doesn't. Right, and it's not just Spirit. We're seeing a global wave of bankruptcies hitting the smaller carriers while the majors are actually rallying. United up fifteen per...

American Airlines up twelve percent this week — that's not a dead cat bounce anymore. No, that's a sector rotation. When American leads the charge and you've got Delta, United, Southwest all moving in lockstep, something fundamental shifted. This week's narrative was the market pricing in margin expansion as fuel costs finally stabilized while demand held firm. We're seeing the first real evidence...

Allegiant just completed its acquisition of Sun Country for four-ten a share, FedEx spun off its freight division, and crude oil is still trading north of a hundred and six dollars a barrel. I'm Sarah. And I'm Mike. This week showed us what aviation looks like when capacity gets pulled out of the system while costs stay elevated. We've got insider buying across multiple names, defense contractors...

A flash analysis of Archer Aviation's 10-Q filing for 2026-Q1. Our hosts break down what investors should look for in this quarterly report.

A flash analysis of Alaska Air Group's 10-Q filing for 2026-Q1. Our hosts break down what investors should look for in this quarterly report.

A flash analysis of Kratos Defense & Security's 10-Q filing for 2026-Q1. Our hosts break down what investors should look for in this quarterly report.

A flash analysis of Allegiant Air's 10-Q filing for 2026-Q1. Our hosts break down what investors should look for in this quarterly report.

A flash analysis of Joby Aviation's 10-Q filing for 2026-Q1. Our hosts break down what investors should look for in this quarterly report.

A flash analysis of United Parcel Service's 10-Q filing for 2026-Q1. Our hosts break down what investors should look for in this quarterly report.

A flash analysis of Frontier Airlines's 10-Q filing for 2026-Q1. Our hosts break down what investors should look for in this quarterly report.

Airlines don't usually fail because people stop flying. That's the strange thing about this industry. The planes can be full, the brand can be familiar, the routes can still have demand, and the company can still run out of road. That's what makes airline failures so confusing from the outside. People see passengers in the terminal and assume the business must be working. But in aviation, activity...

A flash analysis of Sun Country Airlines's 10-Q filing for 2026-Q1. Our hosts break down what investors should look for in this quarterly report.

A flash analysis of American Airlines's 10-Q filing for 2026-Q1. Our hosts break down what investors should look for in this quarterly report.

A flash analysis of Southwest Airlines's 10-Q filing for 2026-Q1. Our hosts break down what investors should look for in this quarterly report.

A flash analysis of General Dynamics's 10-Q filing for 2026-Q1. Our hosts break down what investors should look for in this quarterly report.

A flash analysis of JetBlue Airways's 10-Q filing for 2026-Q1. Our hosts break down what investors should look for in this quarterly report.

This was the week defense contractors learned that geopolitical tailwinds can't rescue fundamentally stretched valuations. Twenty percent drops across the board. Lockheed, Northrop, Raytheon — all getting hammered despite what should be the perfect operating environment. And that's exactly what makes this fascinating. On paper, you've got the Iran conflict, massive defense spending authorizations,...