Risk Parity Radio

In this episode we address a cornucopia of topics in emails from Alex, Superb Diamond Range, and Mark.  We discuss the Risk Parity Radio Reddit forum started by listener Adrian, an OPTRA-inspired portfolio with lower leverage and real-world tax location choices, extending managed futures history for better portfolio testing and expectations, why covered call ETFs usually change payouts more than o...

In this episode we answer emails from Multi-family Investor, Nathan, and John.  We discuss dual momentum strategies, equity glide paths and the Bengen, Pfau, and Kitces research, letting equity drift higher to reduce rebalancing and transactions, managed futures proxy limits and why commodities are imperfect stand ins, and SDMF versus DBMF. Links: Dual Momentum Explanation Video:  DUAL MOMENTUM |...

In this episode we answer emails from Dave, Bob, and Waldo.  We discuss how Monte Carlo simulations differ depending on their basis and how they differ from historical back-tests, the problem of trusting retirement calculators without understanding the assumptions inside them and choosing the correct assumptions, why the Golden Ratio portfolio is built for bad decades, and why a scary brokerage wa...

In this episode we answer emails from Geraldo, Robin, Roy, and Daniel.  We catch up on where we've been and our Camino and the Walk For McKenna, and then shift into discussions of donor-advised funds for charitable giving, a new-fangled auto-callable “income” ETF (a/k/a another "shiny object" -- also check out Episode 504), and review a retirement portfolio and a proposal to shift f...

In this episode we answer emails from Michael, Matt, and Ron.  We discuss books for a 30-something family man and practical advicbe for approaching non-fiction more efficiently in the age of AI ChatBots, the world's most famous Easy Chair, and how EDV can work in a risk parity style portfolio.  And THEN we our go through our weekly portfolio reviews of the eight sample portfolios you can find...

In this episode we answer emails from Mike, Jack, and Andrew.  We discuss how to do forecasting using the risk of a personal injury lawsuit as an example, why historians are generally bad a forecasting and a better approach than assuming causation, reveal Ferguson's Law to be a slippery slope argument, and explain how the 25x expenses rule fits real human behavior better than a mathematically...

In this episode we answer an email from Cameron.  First, we consider the long history of consumer marketing and how the retail financial services industry fits into it, including reviewing developments in financial services business models over the past century.  In that context, we then break down why the current most popular business models are fear-based, which leads to retirement planning firm...

In this episode we answer emails from Jon, David, and Trevor.  We discuss teaching teens personal finance without boring them and learning by doing, an early retirement checkup for a high-saving household confirming a $3.6M portfolio can support retirement plans, getting granular on expenses and planning for health care costs, asset location basics, and a useful managed futures white paper. Links:...

In this episode we answer two emails from Stephen and one from Melanie.  We walk through the eight sample portfolios and talk about what each one represents, discuss how different portfolios are appropriate for different goals and the relevant comparison between two withdrawal rates is the relative difference (e.g., 6.0% versus 4.3% is a 40% difference in annual spending, not a 1.7% difference), a...

In this episode we answer emails from David, Olavo, and Nick.  We discuss evaluating a sample portfolio and transitioning, helping parents and other relatives with their situations and milk-shake drinkers, being careful with leverage, large cap growth and small cap value funds for U.K. listeners and adding a 5% allocation of managed futures to a mix. Links: Afford Anything Risk Parity Portfolio Bl...

In this episode we answer emails from Optimus Bill, Sin Nombre, Darren, and George.  We discuss sizing small bitcoin ETF allocations, identify resources to learn more about managed futures, and talk about how underspending or hoarding strategies are often dressed up in various ways that often have surface appeal, but are ultimately unnecessarily restrictive and lack meaningful or useful purpose. ...

In this episode we answer emails from Geraldo, Mark, and Zack.  We revel again in their generosity, talk through reinvesting a big cash balance, setting up liquidity backstops with brokerage collateral, and using variable retirement withdrawal rules and a Portfolio Charts calculator to model the Bob Clyatt 95% rule with a Golden Ratio style portfolio. Links: Father McKenna Center Donation Page (pl...

In this episode we answer emails from Pete, Mark, and Jack.  We thank our generous donors and share the preliminary results of the Top of the T-Shirt campaign for the Father McKenna Center, discuss recent machinations of the US Treasury Department and why its more of the same old story, and discuss some basics of accumulation portfolios and the preeminence of the Macro-Allocation Principle, and us...

In this episode we answer emails from Kelly and Jose (Joe).  We discuss simple spreadsheet applications for organizing portfolios, review a planned risk-parity style portfolio, discuss issues with transitioning and international fund choices and proportions, and why you should not fear "high market valuations" because risk-parity portfolios already solve for that exact problem, unlike si...

In this episode we answer emails from Optimus Bill, Mark, and Drew.  We discuss a paper about value factor investing from Wes Gray, Section 351 exchanges, how to stick with the horse your rode in on, a long-run correlation analysis of various assets, and a listener's new financial practice. And THEN we our go through our weekly portfolio reviews of the eight sample portfolios you can find at...

In this episode we answer emails from Optimus Bill, Pete, and Andy.  We discuss SBLOCs vs margin accounts for liquidity in retirement, what "jumping the shark" looks like in blog form and why its a bad idea for all involved, and a listener's endowment-inspired variable withdrawal strategy (that should work just find). Links: Father McKenna Center Donation Page (please mention Risk P...

In this episode we respond to emails from Thirsty Horse, Joanne, Matt and Alan.  We share our gratitude for our listeners and reflect on how a listener community can become one of the most meaningful outcomes of a long-term investing project. We also provide an update on the Top of the T-Shirt fundraising campaign for the Father McKenna Center.  Next we answer two portfolio design questions about...

In this episode we answer emails from Eli, Optimus Bill, and James.  We discuss variations in fund approaches for adding leverage, when fees are more likely to matter, what kinds of people and goals can benefit from risk parity style approaches, the trade-offs in lower and higher equity approaches (with a recent insight from Bill Bengen), and a ChatGPT analysis from a listener. Links:  Father McKe...

In this episode we answer emails from Luc, (from Quebec!), Nick, and Isaiah.  We discuss surviving ugly drawdowns and bad decades, building a risk parity portfolio that still grows, momentum funds, avoiding fund hopping, and treating health like a real priority. And THEN we our go through our weekly portfolio reviews of the eight sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio . L...

We close season six by walking through our annual July rebalancings of the first four sample risk parity style portfolios and talking about their raison d'être. We also share a practical reverse glide path strategy that we plan to apply to the sample Golden Butterfly portfolio over the course of the next ten years, starting with this one. And we also thank our listeners for their kind words a...

In this episode we answer emails from The Nameless One, Jebenizer, and C.M. We discuss practice drawdown portfolios, an unusual deferred pension cash build-up situation and how to handle it, assets that benefit from inflation, and simple rules for contributions and rebalancing that reduce taxes and stress.  And we share an update about Frank's Mom. Links: Father McKenna Center Donation Page (...

In this episode we answer emails from I Have No Name, Shellie, Midwest Nice, and Mr. Ed (a motley crew indeed!).  We discuss some massively funny generosity to our Top of the T-Shirt Campaign for the Father McKenna Center, an odd small cap value fund in a 401(k) and the issues surrounding holding too much cash, how stocks and long-term treasury bonds can both rise while still showing negative corr...

In this episode we answer emails from Ethan, Joe, and Jim.  We discuss a plan for young teachers to reach early financial independence with the right accounts and a little encouragement, the peculiar benefits of 457s and Roth contributions, a critical read of an academic article about an impractical TIPS ladder strategy, and the real-world problems with 30-year TIPS ladders, including complexity,...

In this episode we answer emails from Joe, Ashley, and Chris.  First, we celebrate the early retirements and generosity of our listeners, spotlighting what retirement feels like when it is driven by joy and choice instead of fear. Then we answer a near-retirement question about bubble warnings, international investing, the proper way to use expert opinions, and how to build a risk parity style por...

In this episode we answer emails from Sarah, Tyler and Luc.  We Sarah's detailed plan to take a one to two year family gap year, travel, and unpack tax-smart ways to fund short-term spending, why we keep long-term money invested simply, more cowbell, and why complicated advisor math can be more noise than help how it can mask conflicts of interest.  We also touch on the Cederberg paper (yes,...