Centre For Risk Analysis
CRA Update
Economic, political, and geopolitical analysis from the Centre for Risk Analysis - a South African think tank with a global perspective.
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Centre For Risk Analysis
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22 вер 2026
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Poland and France just issued the same warning about Russia 22.09.2026 5:15
CRA Executive Director Chris Hattingh unpacks the deteriorating security situation in Europe. Subscribe to the CRA Risk Alert: https://cra-sa.com/subscribe#risk-alert-subscription
US targets South African officials with new visa ban 16.09.2026 4:11
CRA Executive Director Chris Hattingh unpacks a new US visa policy that lets Washington bar individual South African officials over land seizures, race-based discrimination, and violent rhetoric. Subscribe to the CRA Risk Alert: https://cra-sa.com/subscribe#risk-alert-subscription
Global diesel prices just hit a record high 16.09.2026 4:06
CRA Executive Director Chris Hattingh looks at the latest disruptions to oil and refined petroleum facilities in the Middle East and the impact on global diesel prices. Subscribe to the CRA Risk Alert: https://cra-sa.com/subscribe#risk-alert-subscription
How the ANC locked itself out of the ballot 14.09.2026 4:24
CRA Executive Director Chris Hattingh looks at the latest issues affecting the ANC in the run-up to the November local elections. Subscribe to the Risk Alert: https://cra-sa.com/subscribe#risk-alert-subscription
While Russia hits Poland's border, Ramaphosa sits with Putin at BRICS 14.09.2026 6:31
From Warsaw, Poland, CRA Executive Director Chris Hattingh provides an update on the Russian invasion of Ukraine, further flashpoints in the Middle East, and BRICS.Subscribe to the CRA Risk Alert: https://cra-sa.com/subscribe#risk-alert-subscription
Demographics | Socio-Economic Survey 10.09.2026 4:09
The latest update to the Socio-Economic Survey of South Africa is now available. This CRA audio note, exclusive for CRA clients, provides the key takeaways for the Demographics chapter.
Less ANC, more coalitions 02.09.2026 10:46
CRA Research Associate Ofentse Davhie lays out the correlation between declining ANC support and increasing number of hung municipalities. He explains that as the ANC is expected to lose more seats in councils across the country come the 4 November election, that more coalition governments are going to be set up. Subscribe to the CRA Risk Alert: https://cra-sa.com/subscribeBook a briefing or publi...
Living Conditions | Socio-Economic Survey 20.08.2026 5:04
The latest update to the Socio-Economic Survey of South Africa is now available. This CRA audio note, exclusive for CRA clients, provides the key takeaways for the Living Conditions chapter.
South Africa-Zambia trade relations after Hichilema's re-election 20.08.2026 3:53
CRA Risk Associate Ofentse Davhie unpacks SA-Zambia trade relations and what to expect after Hichilema’s victory Subscribe to the CRA Risk Alert: cra-sa.com/subscribeContact Ofentse: ofentse@cra-sa.com
Manufacturing index hits seven-month low 04.08.2026 5:20
CRA Executive Director Chris Hattingh unpacks South Africa's latest manufacturing data. Subscribe to the CRA Risk Alert today: https://cra-sa.com/subscribe#risk-alert-subscription
The ANC’s decline is not just a turnout story 23.07.2026 21:25
CRA Research Associate Ofentse Davhie shows that the ANC's long decline is two separate problems, not one. Falling turnout masked a party losing supporters to abstention rather than to rivals. Measured against the full voters’ roll, the ANC's mandate fell from 52.8% in 2004 to 23.6% in 2024, and the arrival of “credible" alternatives has converted dormant disaffection into outright defection at bo...
South African households taking strain 23.07.2026 5:54
CRA Executive Director Chris Hattingh unpacks new data showing the increasing strain under which South African households find themselves.
From rivers to substations: Gauteng's infrastructure is failing in real time 14.07.2026 4:50
CRA Executive Director Chris Hattingh examines the ongoing infrastructure failings in Gauteng, with a focus on river pollution and sub-station vandalism and theft. Schedule a CRA briefing today: chris@cra-sa.com
Eskom's transmission standoff 08.07.2026 6:04
CRA Executive Director Chris Hattingh unpacks the public fallout between Eskom and BLSA, and the wider implications for electricity security in South Africa. Schedule a CRA briefing today: chris@cra-sa.com
Treasury freezes municipal grants 08.07.2026 5:11
CRA Executive Director Chris Hattingh unpacks National Treasury's decision to freeze July payments to more than 60 municipalities - including Johannesburg. Schedule a CRA briefing today: chris@cra-sa.com
Your July bill is going up 07.07.2026 22:58
IRR researcher Anlu Keeve joins Chris Hattingh to discuss the latest rates and tariffs increases facing households in Johannesburg, as well as the tariff calculator she built for the CRA.Access the calculator here: https://jhb-tariff-calculator.cra-sa.comSchedule a CRA briefing today: chris@cra-sa.com
72% of South Africa's municipalities can't pay their bills 26.06.2026 5:44
CRA Executive Director Chris Hattingh unpacks the Auditor Genera's latest findings on South African municipalities. Schedule a CRA briefing today: chris@cra-sa.com
R1.5 billion and counting: the cost of South Africa's export paralysis 24.06.2026 27:20
Paul Matthew, CEO of the Association of Meat Importers and Exporters of Southern Africa, joins Chris Hattingh to unpack restrictions on SA meat exports and the impact on the economy.
JRA fleet grounded 24.06.2026 5:09
The CRA's Chris Hattingh unpacks the City of Johannesburg's fuel crisis, with the Johannesburg Road Agency fleet effectively grounded and other departments and operations impacted across the boardSchedule a CRA briefing today: chris@cra-sa.com
Iran's real weapon - CRA Update 18.06.2026 4:05
CRA Executive Director Chris Hattingh discusses the geostrategic fallout of the deal signed this week between the US and Iran. Schedule a CRA briefing today: chris@cra-sa.com
South Africa's 2026 growth window is closing 10.06.2026 7:16
CRA Executive Director Chris Hattingh unpacks the Q1 2026 GDP data. Schedule a CRA briefing today: chris@cra-sa.com
Johannesburg: Rates increases across the board - CRA Update 28.05.2026 4:27
CRA Executive Chris Hattingh unpacks the City of Johannesburg's latest budget, tabled on 27 May 2026.Schedule a CRA briefing today: chris@cra-sa.com
Paper army - CRA Update 27.05.2026 18:34
The IRR's Ricardo Teixeira joins Chris Hattingh to discuss the Cabinet approved “Journey to Greatness” - a 30-year strategy to modernise and rebuild the South African National Defence Force. Schedule a CRA briefing today: chris@cra-sa.com
One private security officer per 91 citizens - CRA Update 27.05.2026 5:17
CRA Executive Director Chris Hattingh presents key findings from the Crime and Security chapter of the CRA's 2026 Socio-Economic Survey of South Africa. Schedule a CRA briefing today: chris@cra-sa.com
Ramaphosa's Nkandla moment 11.05.2026 6:53
CRA Executive Director Chris Hattingh unpacks the immediate implications of the Constitutional Court judgment delivered on 8 May 2026.
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