On The Market

America could enter what nobody wants—a “lost decade.” No huge gains, no massive price drops, just a slow, stagnating market where inflation eats away at the returns we once thought were normal. Stocks are already massively overpriced according to the CAPE Ratio and the Buffett Indicator, real estate is unaffordable and already seeing real price declines, and commercial has fallen off the proverbi...

For years, we’ve been told that the United States is short millions of homes, and that building more units is the key to solving the affordable housing crisis. But a 2024 study from Kirk McClure and Alex Schwartz reaches a different conclusion and suggests that the housing shortage narrative may be built on a shakier foundation than we’ve been led to believe.   Kirk, professor emeritus at the...

AI could lead to an extinction event, but don’t worry, the stock market will be hitting all-time highs on the way there! We’re entering a new phase of the artificial intelligence race where now CEOs from OpenAI and Anthropic are practically begging for industry-wide regulation. This all seems too… convenient. What’s really behind this new AI regulation push, and how close are we to a society-shaki...

8% mortgage rates are now on the table, and unfortunately, that’s not even the high end of estimates for where we’re going next. With bond yields hitting 20-year peaks and no end in sight for rising inflation, we may be stuck here for a while. If you’re starting to sweat, don’t worry—we are, too. Thankfully, it’s not all bad news for the housing market, because those who pivot will profit. After a...

The housing market correction is about to get worse. Before, the Northeast and Midwest markets were insulated from the sizable price drops happening in places like Texas and Florida, but not anymore. The correction is spreading, and the once “safe” markets are creeping closer and closer to price cuts, concessions, and desperate sellers becoming the norm. The question is: does this snowball into a...

The Federal Reserve hiked rates last week, but did it actually help the housing market? Our panel of real estate investing experts isn’t all that bummed by potentially higher rates and less housing market activity—why? Because new opportunities are forming thanks to the Fed’s recent rate hike—opportunities that could make deals even better to buy in 2026 and into 2027. We’re back discussing the bi...

The U.S. government may have just lost the war on mortgage rates.  Last week, the U.S. Treasury announced one of its biggest bond buyback programs in years—a whopping $6 billion allocated to (hopefully) lower bond yields, and by proxy, interest rates. Not only did it backfire, but it may have angered the bond investors so much that the market’s recovery is now in jeopardy. Do we still have an...

The rules of real estate investing have changed. For years, investors were using the one-percent rule to quickly determine if a real estate deal would cash flow. But the one-percent rule, rent-to-price ratio, and other common rules of thumb have a glaring blind spot. They account for purchase price, but they don’t account for expenses. Meanwhile, mortgage rates, taxes, and insurance have all risen...

Are the price cuts deeper than you think? Do buyers have even more power than we’ve been led to believe?  National housing data tells us one thing, but local-level expertise can paint a completely different picture. While national data points to marginal price cuts, brokers in major markets are seeing significantly more volatile numbers. We wanted to know what’s actually happening in big mark...

The housing market is sending mixed signals—or so it seems. Foreclosures are rising, yet many investors are pulling back. Cash buyers are retreating, competition is cooling in many markets, and affordability challenges appear to be catching up with investors. Are these signs of another 2008-like collapse, or is there context behind the numbers?   This week’s headlines largely point to waning...

AI is bringing 6,000 jobs to a small Texan town, and home prices are seeing a sizable jump…but what happens once the job is done? Is this just a mini housing bubble waiting to happen, or is buying near an AI boomtown actually worth the risk? These scenarios may begin popping up more and more—what happens when it’s in your neck of the woods? We’re back with more headlines on what’s affecting the ho...

Today’s guest is buying a perfect BRRRR tomorrow. Even with today’s interest rates, even in this housing market, Zach Kepes is still making serious money with the strategy everyone has assumed is dead—the BRRRR method. He’ll walk away with tens of thousands in equity, get a trophy rental property that will bring in rent for decades, and add to his already impressive 300+ single-family home portfol...

You invested in a real estate syndication, fund, or partnership. Now, the operator is coming to you asking for more cash. Whether expenses went up, income went down, mortgage rates had to be refinanced, or a combination of all three, you’re on the line—do you put more cash into the deal with hopes it saves your principal, or do you walk away, take a loss, and try again? This is what we do when the...

Builders are struggling to survive, let alone sell homes, in 2026. Prices aren’t keeping pace, home sales are falling, and nobody can find the labor to build the houses in the first place. With concessions rising, buyers who stayed in the market are getting great deals. With the potential to boomerang back to regional undersupplied housing markets, the deals may very well be worth it.  It’s a...

JPMorgan Chase, America’s largest bank, just made a big bet on housing—a $750B bet to be exact. At a time when most people hope home prices will fall, JPMorgan is gearing up to lend and invest in a huge way. Could this be a sign that those who buy now will be thanking themselves in the years to come? We’re getting into the details in today’s show. It’s another housing market update! First, we’re t...

This is a game changer for real estate investing. In minutes (or even seconds), you can find every motivated seller in your area, see how desperate they are to sell, and even find new markets with discounted real estate deals. This used to take hours, even days, before—now you can do it in minutes. We can’t really even believe that this is so easy.  Today, Dave is walking through the new “Mot...

National rent prices are down year-over-year, but that’s not telling the whole story. Different properties in different markets are seeing an opposite reality. Some markets are seeing 3%-5% rent increases, while others are seeing that flipped negative. There are definitive reasons why some markets are growing while others are slowing and outright declining. Today, Dave is going to show you how to...

Most investors understand that real estate is local. While the national headlines usually tell one story, regional and local data often tell a very different one.   This week’s headlines only reinforce this idea. On a national level, asking prices are declining at the fastest pace in nearly a decade, inviting many buyers to participate in the summer housing market despite ongoing affordabilit...

Vacation rental markets were some of the biggest winners of the housing boom several years ago. But where are those real estate markets today?   New data suggests that many of the operators who chased cash flow in the Airbnb gold rush are now looking to cut their short-term rentals loose. As it turns out, running a profitable Airbnb is much harder than it looks. So, does that make this the pe...

If you’re investing in real estate, you’re probably asking, “How much can this property make me?” But in 2026, it’s the opposite question that actually builds your wealth: “How much can this property cost me?” You’re seeing discounted deals on the listing sites; realtors and brokers may even be sending you off-market listings that look like steals. How do you know whether you should pass on them o...

Nearly 50% of mortgages in the U.S. flow through Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac—but a push from the Trump Administration could sell shares of these government enterprises and put them in the hands of the public. The side effects could be significant to those getting or refinancing a mortgage—from interest rates to regulations.  Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac alone take up about half of the mortgage ma...

This isn’t a “good” housing market for anyone. Affordability remains a major barrier to homeownership. Sellers aren’t getting what they want for their homes. Now, builders are signaling that the current housing shortage could get even worse. It’s bad news for aspiring homeowners, but could it finally put a floor on this housing market correction?   This week’s headlines highlight how affordab...

The average American will not be able to retire. 50% are going into their golden years with less than $500,000—significantly short of what would even be considered a livable retirement amount. Social Security only has so long before payments begin to get cut, and retiring during a stock market crash, or even a correction, can put you at sizable risk of returning to work.  But one asset can he...

Zillow is seeing “signs of life” emerging in the housing market. Strong demand, days pending hitting pre-pandemic levels, and serious cash flow in specific markets. How long will this last, and what happens when new construction completions fall off a cliff in the near future? Will rents and home prices reverse, going from stable (and even falling) to rising as demand outpaces supply even more? Or...

You won’t believe why mortgage rates are going back up. It’s not because of the war, it’s not because of gas prices, and it’s not because of the Federal Reserve. Something nobody is talking about is playing a much bigger role in mortgage rates than most Americans think. It’s making big corporations richer while the average American continues to struggle to buy a home. What is the hidden factor nob...