S3 Partners

Risk and Return with Charlie Gasparino and Bob Sloan

Charlie Gasparino and S3 Partners Founder Bob Sloan break down the biggest business headlines and actionable insights that give listeners an inside edge on the markets.

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S3 Partners

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Business

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8 oct. 2026

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Episoade

Shorts Quit Big Tech and Go Hunting in the Small Caps 08.10.2026

Bob Sloan and Charlie Gasparino of Fox Business and the New York Post cover the headlines and data moving markets. This week: short sellers are covering the hyperscalers and pressing everything else. Bob walks through why short interest in the Nasdaq 100 keeps falling as the index rises while the Russell 2000 gets shorted harder, why Oracle has turned into a battleground stock with shorts and acti...

Short Sellers Are Betting Against the Data Center Buildout 01.10.2026

Bob Sloan and Charlie Gasparino of Fox Business and the New York Post cover the headlines and data moving markets. This week: the AI data center buildout becomes a midterm wedge issue, and S3 data shows short sellers moving in behind it. Bob walks through which buildout sectors made money this year and which ones shorts are now pressing, why hedge funds short life insurers and BDCs when they want...

Short Sellers Are Betting Against the AI Data Center Buildout 01.10.2026

Bob Sloan and Charlie Gasparino of Fox Business and the New York Post cover the headlines and data moving markets. This week: the AI data center buildout becomes a midterm wedge issue, and S3 data shows short sellers moving in behind it. Bob walks through which buildout sectors made money this year and which ones shorts are now pressing, why hedge funds short life insurers and BDCs when they want...

The Oracle of Langley Returns: Jack Devine on Iran, Ukraine and the AI Arms Race 24.09.2026

Former CIA acting director Jack Devine is back on Risk & Return, six months after he called the Iran conflict almost move for move. This week he tells Bob Sloan and Charlie Gasparino why there is still no deal on the table, why Tehran thinks it has the upper hand heading into the midterms, and what he would do about it. Then it's Ukraine and the drone math that changed the war, a ten-year...

AI Panic, the Crowded Shipping Long, and the Oil Trade That Broke 18.09.2026

Bob and Charlie discuss why the loudest voices in the AI debate are the ones with the weakest hand, Larry Ellison's reversal on his Oracle stock sale, the fight over the Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery deal, and the return of San Pietro, plus S3 positioning data on shipping, oil and the Treasury curve. Shipping active longs up 94% on the year to $23.2B while short interest sat at 13-month...

Remembering 9/11, 25 years later 11.09.2026

On the 25th anniversary of 9/11, Charlie Gasparino and Bob Sloan set the data and headlines aside to share their firsthand accounts of that day. From the trading floor to Ground Zero, they reflect on the first responders, the lives lost, and why that morning still matters. Regular Risk & Return episodes return Wednesday, September 16th at 4pm.

An MLB Lockout Bet, $40T in Debt & the Paramount Endgame 20.08.2026

The U.S. national debt crossed $40 trillion — the alert literally hit mid-recording. So why aren't markets panicking? Bob Sloan breaks down the basis trade quietly keeping the debt machine running, the symbiosis between Wall Street and the Treasury, and the thing to watch as September funding pressure builds: banks starting to tell hedge fund clients "no." Plus: the arbs are back in...

SpaceX's Big Unwind and Paramount's Threat to Leave LA/New York 13.08.2026

Charlie Gasparino of Fox News and NY Post and S3's founder and managing partner Bob Sloan on the leverage fight behind the $110B Warner Bros. Discovery deal — and the short unwind in the biggest IPO on record. Bob reveals SpaceX shorts have covered hard since the August 6 unlock — 40 million shares in two days, roughly a fifth of the position — after S3 called the print at 210M shares against...

SpaceX Beat the Quarter. Shorts Await the Unlock. 06.08.2026

SpaceX broke to new lows this week and the shorts aren't going anywhere before Thursday's pre-IPO lockup expiry. S3's data told the story before the tape did: the highest short interest as a percentage of float in the Magnificent 8, and roughly $9 billion in short-seller profits — S3 numbers Elon Musk responded to on X.com! Charlie Gasparino and S3 Partners founder & CEO Bob Sloan...

The $24 Billion Bet Against SpaceX, South Korea Wipeout & U.S. Sector Positioning Map 30.07.2026

The Fed held rates steady — and markets resumed the sell-off. The warning was already in the positioning data: Korea's single-stock ETF blowup and a crossing Korea–Hong Kong spread foreshadowed the move before it reached U.S. shores. Charlie Gasparino and S3 Partners founder & CEO Bob Sloan break down the week's biggest market stories using S3's proprietary positioning and short-in...

Microsoft's Ten-Year-High Short Interest and the Positioning Break in AI 23.07.2026

Microsoft is down 19% on the year while Alphabet is up 11% and Amazon is up 7% — big CapEx bets, different outcomes. Bob Sloan takes Charlie Gasparino through what S3's data shows underneath it: short interest up 68% to a ten-year high, and active hedge fund longs heading for the exits at the same time. Both sides of hedge fund positioning, one direction: Sell Microsoft. Bob explains why. In t...

Positioning Turns Bearish: Oracle, CoreWeave PLUS Rich Greenfield on the Paramount Battle 20.07.2026

Media analyst Rich Greenfield joins Charlie Gasparino and Bob Sloan to break down California's lawsuit challenging the Paramount-Skydance merger and why timing—not necessarily the legal merits—could determine the deal's future. Charlie and Rich discuss Netflix's competitive position, the economics of theatrical films, AMC's ongoing challenges, and the future of media consolidation....

Crowded Shorts, Trapped Longs: The Positioning Map from U.S. Crypto to Hong Kong 09.07.2026

S3 Partners founder Bob Sloan flagged Strategy's (MSTR) funding problem months ago. With Bitcoin near $60K and Saylor's break-even around $70K, Bob and Charlie Gasparino break down the negative carry, the asset-liability mismatch, and the "holes in the boat": if his 4% of all Bitcoin starts hitting the tape, the ~$20K technical floor of the last crypto winter comes back into play...

Selloffs, Squeezes & a July 4th Bull Case for America! 02.07.2026

Bitcoin's been cut in half — is the crypto winter just getting started? Charlie Gasparino and S3 Partners founder Bob Sloan break down the data behind the selloff, and why S3's positioning numbers on Strategy (MSTR) signal more pain ahead: a dilution spiral where the company issued shares, converts and then preferred shares, forcing an endless hunt for funding to hold the price up. Bob tie...

Positioning Is Everything: The Seventh Category of Market Data 25.06.2026

Charlie Gasparino opens with the headlines he's been breaking: the Paramount-Skydance bid for Warner Bros. getting a pass from the Trump administration, why two progressive state AGs could still tie up the $81 billion deal, and the puzzle of why Cory Booker is fighting Trump's bipartisan college sports reform. Then S3 Partners founder and managing partner Bob Sloan makes the case for &quot...

The $2 Trillion Space IPO, and the Most Crowded Trade Nobody's Talking About. 19.06.2026

Charlie Gasparino and Bob Sloan open on the biggest IPO event in years: SpaceX going public at a $2 trillion-plus valuation, a deal Charlie frames as a cultural moment and "a referendum on how the country feels about itself." They dig into the S-1 — the AI buildout, the Starlink and xAI pieces folded in, the ~$100B raised across debt and equity — and Bob's central question for any pr...

The SpaceX IPO, APAC Long/Short Positioning & What Iran Means for the 10-Year 12.06.2026

Charlie Gasparino and Bob Sloan broadcast from their respective vacations for a wide-ranging vacation edition of Risk & Return. Charlie opens with a media spat over his California election comments and a broader critique of the mainstream press before pivoting to the real market story: the SpaceX IPO priced at a staggering $75 billion. Bob breaks down how the KOSPI short call from last week pl...

Market Positioning, the Short Seller on Trial & Media's Power Shift 04.06.2026

Charlie Gasparino and Bob Sloan break down the week's biggest market and media stories — from the criminal conviction of short seller Andrew Left to the AI positioning battles playing out across space, software, and satellite stocks. Bob unpacks why S3's "battleground stocks" framework — the seventh category of market data — matters more than ever in an index-dominated market, wi...

Iran at the Point of No Return, AI's Atomic Moment, and the S3 Earnings Model 28.05.2026

Charlie Gasparino and Bob Sloan are back together for a wide-ranging episode covering the Iran standoff, Fed Chair Warsh's long game, David Solomon's DJ return (?), and S3's earnings model scorecard. Bob breaks down why economic pressure beats military force ("I'll trade treasure for blood any day"), and walks through last week's 2-for-3 earnings calls. Then Bob gets...

Semi Shorts Hold the Line, Wendy's Heats Up & Warsh's "Triple Mandate" 21.05.2026

Charlie Gasparino and S3's Sam Pierson break down what the positioning data says heading into a packed earnings week — plus Charlie's takes on the new Fed chair's impossible mandate, Wall Street CEOs interacting with NYC's mayor, and the Iran/oil purgatory weighing on markets. This week: → Kevin Warsh's triple mandate: inflation, employment, and Donald Trump→ Why Jamie Dimon an...

The Narrative Says Moon. The Positioning Says Not So Fast. 14.05.2026

The narrative says to the moon — but the positioning says not so fast. Charlie Gasparino and Bob Sloan break down the growing credibility gap between what Wall Street is saying and what the money is actually doing. This week: the most shorted stocks are quietly outperforming every index, semiconductor short positions are accelerating faster than longs, S3 data is flashing major warning signs on Bl...

Milken Dispatch: DeSantis, Tim Scott, and Griffin's Exit from NYC — Plus Maersk, Semis, and Figma 06.05.2026

Charlie Gasparino reports live from the Milken Institute Conference in Los Angeles with the latest from his fireside chats with Florida Governor Ron DeSantis and Senator Tim Scott, plus reporting on Ken Griffin's announcement that Citadel is scaling back its $6B NYC expansion. Bob Sloan walks through last week's S3 earnings model results, the math on Ryan Cohen's GameStop bid for eBay,...

Narrative vs. Positioning: Where Data Drives Alpha 30.04.2026

Bob Sloan and Charlie Gasparino on Iran's economic collapse, Powell's basement-office off-ramp, the college sports money grab, how positioning data cuts through narratives like the SaaS apocalypse, how short positioning called the Big Tech print, the real story behind the Avis squeeze, KOSPI overheating, and the $950M mystery trade fueling corruption claims. 00:00 Opening01:16 Iran on the...

The Avis Squeeze, Kevin Warsh Breakthrough, Pot Goes Schedule 3, Software Bottom? 23.04.2026

Bob Sloan (S3 Partners) and Charlie Gasparino (Fox Business / NY Post) break down this week's biggest stories — Charlie's exclusive on the Kevin Warsh confirmation breakthrough, the DOJ rescheduling marijuana from Schedule 1 to 3, the insane Avis Budget (CAR) squeeze mechanics, signs of a bottom forming in software stocks, AMC's Battleground status and highlights from last week's CZ sitdown.

CZ Speaks: Bitcoin's Future, Jail & SBF — Plus S&P 7,000 & the Iran Trade 16.04.2026

Binance founder CZ (Changpeng Zhao) joins Charlie and Bob for one of the most candid conversations in crypto. He covers the real story of Sam Bankman-Fried's desperate and erratic plea for billions, what four months in federal prison actually did for him, why Michael Saylor is a genius he can't fully explain, and why Satoshi Nakamoto should probably never reveal himself. He also breaks down his ne...

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