UBS On-Air: Market Moves

A social media post from a semi-official China account suggested that China, Japan, and South Korea would present a united front against US trade taxes. Korean officials suggested this might be exaggerated, but the fact that this is remotely plausible reflects the reconfiguration of how the world works (or does not work). China and Japan are the two largest central bank holders of US dollar assets...

Jason previews what will be a busy few days ahead for the markets, including an impending announcement of reciprocal tariffs by the Trump administration, along with key economic data such as the March employment report. This all against a backdrop of persistent investor concern over slowing growth and recession risk. Jason shares CIO’s latest market outlook, along with positioning recommendations...

Overnight US President Trump’s influential donor Musk reiterated a desire to “end the Fed.” Abolishing the Federal Reserve is part of the reported Project 2025 blueprint. This sort of talk, immediately ahead of significant trade taxes, is potentially disruptive. A central bank is probably necessary for reserve currency status.

Hear from Henry McVey, Head of Global Macro, Balance Sheet & Risk and CIO of KKR’s Balance Sheet, and Solita Marcelli, CIO Americas for UBS Global Wealth Management, as they discuss and share their outlooks for the rest of 2025 and beyond, including key opportunities and risks.

Shane recaps this week’s developments surrounding auto tariffs and previews potential additional tariff-related announcements set for next week. We also discuss the aftermath of this week’s Signal leak, and provide updates on the Russia-Ukraine war, and the Israel-Hamas war. Featured is Shane Lieberman, Senior Governmental Affairs Advisor, Governmental Affairs US. Host: Daniel Cassidy

In 1971, US President Nixon imposed a trade tax on imports into the US, and froze US wages and prices. This was not a success. Faced with rising costs and no ability to adjust pricing, businesses stopped supplying goods. Controls collapsed, and inflation soared. Overnight media reports suggest US President Trump has told US auto companies not to raise prices in the wake of aggressive taxes on impo...

President Trump is gearing up to impose a new slew of tariffs on trade partners on April 2, a day he has dubbed “Liberation Day” to signify that America will free itself from unfair trade practices. This day certainly looms large for European nations. The American President has been scathing about European Union’s trade policies. So how hard could Europe be hit? How might the region respond? And h...

US President Trump announced an aggressive tax increase for US consumers, with a 25% tariff on imported cars. Officials later clarified it also covers car parts. The tax will raise US inflation and lower growth, but the full impact will take time.

Joe and Jason exchange views and thoughts on a wide range of topics, including the health of the US economy, the implications of US trade policy, the road ahead for monetary policy, and more. Plus, a review of investment recommendations for the current environment. Featured are Jason Draho, Head of Asset Allocation Americas, UBS Chief Investment Office, and Joe Davis, Global Chief Economist, and G...

UK February consumer price data was slightly below expectations—before the weirdness of the UK government’s capped energy pricing adds to inflation in April. Producer price data was not published, owing to quality issues. Labor market data is not being published, owing to quality issues. There will be revisions to wage data, owing to quality issues.

Brian Levitt serves as a Global Market Strategist at Invesco. Brian shares his take on a wide range of topics that have recently influenced investor sentiment and moved markets, including US trade policy, growth concerns, and the progression of artificial intelligence. We also outline a market outlook and discuss asset allocation considerations. Host: Daniel Cassidy Recorded on 03.20.25.

Reports that the US vice president and cabinet members discussed war plans on a public chat channel with a journalist in attendance do not directly impact markets. However, the chat messages reveal administration officials’ attitudes (e.g. toward Europe), and raise general questions about the conduct of policy. Any lessening of international security cooperation may impact broader (economic) polic...

As markets showed signs of stabilizing last week, investors weigh whether the correction is behind us or has temporarily paused. Jason shares his thoughts, along with recaps the FOMC meeting, the latest economic data, along with previews next week’s anticipated tariff news from the White House. Plus, a review of positioning recommendations. Featured is Jason Draho, Head of Asset Allocation America...

Media reports suggest that the rather haphazard attempts to restructure the US government could cost half a trillion dollars in lost tax revenues this year. Investors have not priced the restructuring as an efficiency improvement (more efficient government would boost both bonds and equities). While record wealth levels in the US suggest that the high fiscal deficit can be funded, losing tax reven...

Tune in monthly to hear from UBS Asset Management’s multi-asset team for thoughts on the global macro environment, and markets.

Hear views on the US equity markets from Jeremy Zirin, Senior Portfolio Manager of the House View Equity Portfolios, and Head of the Private Client US Equity Team, and Dominic Schagar, Senior Equity Investment Specialist.

South Korean export data for early March recovered from lunar new year distortions. Export strength was led by ships and chips—more-consumer-oriented sectors were not so robust. The data is a positive signal for Korea, but does not perhaps say much about global demand as trade taxes increase.

On this week’s episode of Viewpoints, Burkhard reflects on this week’s flurry of central bank activity, and what it means for the “big rotation” in global markets that we’ve been discussing in recent weeks. This includes thoughts on Wednesday’s press conference from Fed Chair Jerome Powell where he used the word “uncertainty” 16 times. We also spend time outlining the investment case for India by...

We check-in on recent performance of the municipal bond market against a backdrop of policy uncertainty and broader market volatility, including a look at a performance outlook, along with recommendations when it comes to positioning. Plus, a deep dive into the implications of D.C. policy to segments of the municipal market. Featured are Sudip Mukherjee, Senior Fixed Income Strategist Americas, an...

The Federal Reserve left rates unchanged, as expected. Forecasts cut economic growth projections for the next three years, to a rate well below that of the each of the last four years. Inflation forecasts were pushed up. The media will rush to declare “stagflation”—but this is hardly the 1970s. Tariffs will raise inflation and then lower growth, so the pattern is not unexpected, and of course ther...

As volatility persists across global markets, investors have become increasingly concerned about the risk of an economic recession. While it’s tempting to make changes to ones’ investment strategy during such periods of high uncertainty, Justin and Ainsely outline strategies to consider in light of the recent market selloff. Featured are Justin Waring, Senior Total Wealth Strategist, & Ainsley...

Hear from top portfolio managers and business heads from UBS Asset Management’s Muni, Taxable Fixed Income, and Liquidity teams. They share views on the markets and what they believe you should be focused on within the fixed income space. Recorded on 03.12.25

Yesterday, US President Trump sought to fire the two Democrat commissioners on the Federal Trade Commission. If successful, this might become a precedent that could challenge the political independence of the Federal Reserve.

Our conversation focuses on the landscape for residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS), including thoughts around investment considerations. Featured are Clayton Triick, Head of Portfolio Management of Public Strategies with Angel Oak Capital Advisors, and Leslie Falconio, Head of Taxable Fixed Income Strategy Americas with the UBS Chief Investment Office. Host: Daniel Cassidy

Dan Suzuki serves as the Deputy Chief Investment Officer of Richard Bernstein Advisors (RBA). Dan shares his take on a wide range of topics that have recently influenced investor sentiment and moved markets, including US trade policy, growth concerns, and the progression of artificial intelligence. We also outline a market outlook and discuss asset allocation considerations. Host: Daniel Cassidy R...