The TreppWire Podcast: A Commercial Real Estate Show

In this week's episode of The TreppWire Podcast, we take a mid-year pulse check on the commercial real estate market and revisit some of Trepp's biggest predictions for 2026. We explore why CMBS issuance continues to exceed expectations, what persistently stable delinquency rates tell us about today's credit environment, and whether the market is finally shifting from an "extend a...

In this week’s episode of the TreppWire Podcast, we mark 250 years of American commercial real estate with a special Fourth of July deep dive into the original 13 colonies and how their markets evolved. We also spotlight three historic properties still carrying active CMBS debt today. Before the history, we cover a softening macro backdrop, the New York City Rent Guidelines Board's freeze on r...

In this special guest episode of the TreppWire Podcast, we are joined by David Harrison, Chief Operating Officer and Head of Special Servicing at Midland Loan Services, for a discussion on commercial real estate servicing and market dynamics. David shares his non-traditional path from political science into commercial real estate finance and outlines what servicing entails, noting its focus on man...

In this week’s episode of the TreppWire Podcast, we examine what is becoming one of the defining themes of today's commercial real estate market: capital is still available, but it is moving far more selectively. We break down the Federal Reserve’s increasingly hawkish stance under new chair Kevin Warsh, following the latest inflation data, and reflect on the legacy of former Fed Chair Alan Gr...

In this week's episode of The TreppWire Podcast, we discuss Kevin Warsh's first FOMC meeting as Fed Chair and what the potential end of forward guidance means for CRE investors. We also examine Apollo's decision to wind down ARI, revisit key themes from our conversation with Scott Rechler on the "Age of Disruption" and why today's environment increasingly favors operators...

In a special episode of The TreppWire Podcast , we’re bringing you a keynote conversation recorded live at Trepp Connect (in NYC). RXR Chairman & CEO Scott Rechler joined Trepp CEO Annemarie DiCola on stage to discuss what he calls the "Age of Disruption" – a period defined by rapid technological change, shifting capital markets, evolving workplace trends, and new opportunities emerg...

This week marks a major milestone as we celebrate Episode 400 of The TreppWire Podcast. In this episode, we tackle one of the biggest questions facing commercial real estate today: are valuations beginning to stabilize, or is the market still searching for true price discovery? We break down May CPI data, recap key takeaways from the June CREFC conference, and discuss what healthy liquidity, stron...

In this week’s episode of The TreppWire Podcast, we break down macro data pointing to a resilient economy, with Institute for Supply Management (ISM) PMIs at multi-year highs, but employment components still in contraction and the Fed firmly on hold. We dig into corporate AI sticker shock, including one company's reported $500 million monthly bill, and discuss whether data center build-out del...

In this week’s episode of The TreppWire Podcast, we discuss elevated rates, inflation concerns, and surprisingly resilient equity markets as capital costs continue to shape commercial real estate. We cover JPMorgan’s plan to liquidate its 24-year-old real estate fund, new NYC hotel labor agreements ahead of the World Cup, and Chicago multifamily sales surging 117%. We then break down the proposed...

In this week's episode of The TreppWire Podcast, we unpack a sharp Treasury repricing that pushed the 10-year past 4.5% and what it means for the CRE recovery. We also cover consumer warning signs from Costco, the underwhelming results of LA's mansion tax, Google and Blackstone's new AI cloud venture, and the Ares-Scion $910 million student housing portfolio deal. In our 101 segment, &...

In this week’s episode of The TreppWire Podcast, we unpack a split picture: hotter-than-expected CPI and PPI prints set against a more constructive capital markets backdrop. We recap two days of our Trepp Connect (in NYC) conference, where the overall sentiment was positive on capital availability and deal activity, walking through the conference sessions on the economic outlook, capital deploymen...

In this week’s episode of the TreppWire Podcast, we explore the market forces shaping commercial real estate, with a focus on structure, control, and optionality in today’s investment landscape. We cover several major headlines, including a potential AvalonBay–Equity Residential combination, Starwood’s pause on redemptions at its S-REIT, and KKR’s launch of a $10 billion AI-driven data center fund...

In this week’s episode of the TreppWire Podcast, we unpack the latest macro uncertainties shaping markets, from the Federal Reserve’s rate outlook to the potential transition to a Warsh-led Fed. We also share a 101 on Trimmed Mean PCE, explaining how the metric works, why it matters, and why it is gaining attention as an alternative way to read underlying inflation trends. We also examine mixed si...

In this special guest episode of The TreppWire Podcast, we sit down with Chad Lavender, President of Capital Markets for North America at Newmark, to unpack how credit, liquidity, and pricing have recalibrated through the 2025 maturity wave and what that signals for 2026. With more than $50 billion in investment sales, recapitalizations, debt placements, and JV equity transactions to his name, Cha...

In this week's episode of The TreppWire Podcast, we examine the selective stabilization theme shaping CRE in 2026, with strong retail sales and pending home sales pointing to forward motion even as affordability still caps housing. We break down Blue Owl's $2.4 billion acquisition of Sila Realty Trust, dig into multifamily supply dynamics as the top 25 developers command a record share of...

In this special guest episode of The TreppWire Podcast, we’re joined by Justin Kennedy, Co-Founder and Managing Partner of 3650 Capital, to discuss the state of commercial real estate (CRE) through the lens of nearly three decades of experience. Justin outlines how 3650 Capital operates across stable cash flow lending, real estate credit solutions, and special situations. We dive into significant...

In this week’s episode of The TreppWire Podcast, we cover persistent inflation pressures tied to energy costs, improving liquidity in commercial real estate (CRE) financing and private credit markets, and key takeaways from bank earnings, where large banks continue to pull back from CRE lending while regional banks increase exposure. We also discuss the planned July 2026 launch of the Texas Stock...

In this special guest episode of The TreppWire Podcast, we sit down with Mike McDonald, Senior Managing Director of JLL Capital Markets, Americas, to unpack the current reality and outlook of the U.S. office real estate market. Mike shares his career journey, from managing boutique firms to co-leading JLL’s national office investment platform, and offers a 25-year perspective on how office real es...

In this episode of The TreppWire Podcast, we unpack the market reaction to the US-Iran ceasefire and examine whether the energy shock has already left its mark on upcoming inflation data. We analyze Jamie Dimon's annual shareholder letter and its warnings on geopolitics, AI, and banking regulations. We share highlights from our Trepp banking webinar on CRE lending trends and private credit dyn...

This week, the data is sending mixed signals about the state of the economy. In this episode of The TreppWire Podcast, we break down February retail sales coming in stronger than expected, suggesting the consumer was still holding up earlier in the year, even as more recent data points to some softening beneath the surface and rates remain volatile. We also take a step back to examine long-term cy...

In this week’s episode of The TreppWire Podcast, we break down a market defined by volatility and an “escalate‑to‑de‑escalate” dynamic playing out in real time. We unpack the sharp intraday reversals in rates as weak Treasury demand and inflation concerns push yields higher, only to be pulled back by intermittent hopes for de‑escalation. We also examine new Federal Reserve proposals aimed at reduc...

In this week’s episode of The TreppWire Podcast, we examine the Fed's decision to hold rates steady against a rapidly escalating geopolitical energy shock that is re-accelerating inflation and effectively taking rate relief off the table for CRE borrowers. We also look back six years to when COVID shocked the world and walk through Trepp data to review how each property sector held up, recover...

In this week’s episode of The TreppWire Podcast, we break down how the spike in oil is affecting the broader economy and discuss how the energy shock is adding new uncertainty to inflation, Fed policy, and market sentiment. We also analyze the state of the student housing market as March Madness approaches and examine proposed housing legislation that could reshape the single-family rental landsca...

In this week’s episode of The TreppWire Podcast, we examine rising Middle East tensions following US-Israeli strikes on Iran, including Iranian drone damage to Amazon data centers in the Gulf, and the ripple effects on oil prices and the 10-year Treasury. We cover the reversal of the 10-year Treasury back above 4%, rising oil prices, and record redemption requests at Blackstone's private credi...

In this week’s episode of The TreppWire Podcast, we explore whether current market conditions reflect resilience or the early stages of repricing. We break down mixed inflation signals, the Supreme Court’s tariff ruling, and what policy uncertainty means for rates and risk appetite. We dig into private credit volatility and rising selectivity, CMBS issuance sentiment coming out of the SFVegas conf...