Rai Sur

The Sentinel Podcast

Education EN ↓ 5 episodes

World-class forecasters make sense of the world and how events could escalate into globally-catastrophic events. blog.sentinel-team.org

Author

Rai Sur

Category

Education

Podcast website

blog.sentinel-team.org

Latest episode

Oct 9, 2025

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Episodes

How AI Will Transform Military Command and Control - Paul Scharre 09.10.2025

A conversation with Paul Scharre , author of Four Battlegrounds: Power in the Age of Artificial Intelligence , who joins us to talk about * how AI’s superhuman command and control abilities will change the battlefield * why offense/defense balance isn’t a well-defined concept * “race to the bottom” dynamics for autonomous weapons * how a US/taiwan conlict in the age of drones might play out * and...

Dangers of Recommender Systems - Ivan Vendrov 11.09.2025

Please subscribe to our new YouTube channel here !We speak with Ivan Vendrov about recommender systems and their impact on human attention and society. Five years after his post on aligning recommender systems, as they could be significantly augmented by generative AI, we revisit how these algorithms shape billions of hours of human time daily. Topics The Current State of Recommender Systems * Wha...

Iranian Regime Change? - Unpacking Broad Disagreement Between the Forecasters 27.06.2025

Transcript The following transcript is AI-generated and may differ from the original in slight ways. Welcome to the Sentinel podcast, where top forecasters discuss the potential for global catastrophic risks. I'm your host, Rai, and I'm joined today by my co-founder and Sentinel forecaster, Nuno Sempere, Sentinel forecaster Vidur Kapur... Vidur 00:00:44 Hello. Rai 00:00:45 And Sentinel forecaster...

Endgames and escalations of the US and Japan's expensive debt problem – Itay Vinik 31.05.2025

Itay Vinik is the cofounder and Chief Investment Officer of Equi, an alternatives investment fund that deeply considers rare market conditions in its investment strategies. He was was the cofounder of a long/short volatility hedge fund which made a famous bet on the 2018 volmageddon event. Transcript Rai 00:00:56 Welcome to the Sentinel podcast, where top forecasters discuss ongoing events with a...

The Risk of Nuclear War Between India and Pakistan 09.05.2025

Nuño Sempere , Vidur Kapur , and Lisa discuss the possibility of nuclear escalation between India and Pakistan. Timestamps (00:16:00) - Intro (00:43:00) - Background on the conflict (02:26:13) - Direct forecasts of nuclear weapons use (15:45:10) - The role of other nations (20:26:09) - What if Pakistan collapses? (22:45:16) - Russia's incentives in global conflicts (25:40:08) - What are the foreca...

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