The Real Investment Show (Full Show)

Tiring of overconsumption and desirous of paying off debt, more and more Americans are participating in the "no buy 2025" trend to reduce spending. Rich and Jonathan discuss strategies for improving household budgets, Money Saving Tips and Frugal Living Hacks, with Financial Discipline Strategies and Spending Freeze Guidance, plus tax traps to avoid as a result of the Social Security Fairness Act,...

Sunday's Super Bowl LIX delivered a lickin' to Kansas City at the hands of Philadelphia; what does the "Super Bowl Indicator" portend for markets (and does it really matter) Lance Roberts examines the veracity of the Super Bowl Indicator and other Stock market predictions, Financial market trends, Investment strategies, and Economic indicators. We also address the threatened Trump Tariffs next on...

Markets remain in a bullish trend for the moment, despite disappointing economic news in the Trade Deficit and the ISM Services Index. Improving relative strength is also providing lift for the market. Technically, everything is fine despite disappointing news from AMD, Google, and others. Money flows continue to creep upward with continued buying. Lance and Michael spend the remaining segments of...

Markets are recovering from tariff troubles on Monday; a brief history of Trump's past trade wars & results; Google's earnings miss & correction; earnings have been okay, but expectations are slipping. The China Trade War retaliation begins; it's all about posturing. Markets rally from Monday; if you're worried about the volatility, there's too much risk in your portfolio. Lance razzes Danny "Bull...

Well that was fast. Over the weekend, President Trump announced tariffs of 25% on both Canada and Mexico, as well as a 10% tariff on China. The announcement of tariffs set the market on its heels Monday morning as media writers quickly pushed narratives about the potential impacts. However, as suggested on the “Real Investment Show” before the market opened on Monday, the best thing to do would be...

It's the first week of February; Quarterly Reports Preview: About 80% of S&P will have reported by week's end, and the Buy Back Window more fully opens next week, providing additional market support. President Trump's 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico may be short-lived (indeed, following this morning's show, Mexico blinked, promising to send troops to the border, and Trump's tariff was suspended f...

Apple's outlook will set the tone for today's market action; the January effect will be set by the end of the day. Rich & Matt discuss tariffs & volatility; Mexico and Canada are targets. Inflation data due today with the PCE report. The Fed's target is still 2%, and there's no reason to lower rates for now. This is forcing markets to shift focus; why a little inflation is a good thing. The US Tax...

It's the end of the month, and the determining day for the January Barometer is tomorrow. Markets knee-jerked all over the board following yesterday's Fed announcements to hold firm at current rates. Economic news was not encouraging, with export up, imports down, suggesting the economy is weaker than thought; labor and demand dynamics. There is a lot of speculative money pouring into markets; nob...

Today is Mega-cap earnings Day, and there's also a lot of economic data to be revealed. Plus, this afternoon will see the latest announcement from the Federal Reserve. Expectations are for the Fed to hold firm on rates this time. Interestingly, despite Monday's selloff, money flows have continued to come into the markets. In fact, on Tuesday (1/28) the QQQ had its biggest inflow since 2021. Monday...

The race is on for dominance in the artificial intelligence arena with China's release of DeepSeek. Markets initially nose-dived Monday, but ended up slightly higher (with the exception of Nvidia). This volatility underlines the necessity for portfolio diversification. The pullback in an oversold market was not unexpected. The news resulted in the biggest single-day market cap loss for Nvidia, due...

The unfolding of China's DeepSeek technology, and history's shortest trade war (with Colombia) highlighted the weekend. What are the investing opportunities from DeepSeek? Too soon to tell; allow markets to sort it out today, and make no rash moves. What DeepSeek means to markets; what's the difference from AI? Lance compares the 1960's space race to the AI technology competition today: Is this Am...

Richard and Jonathan discuss markets' response to initial flurry of activity from the Trump White House; commentary on TrumpCoin and turbo-charged crypto: It's all about marketing. Richard reveals his penchant for scratch-offs (with discretionary money). Jeff Bezos, the CEO of Amazon, made big media headlines by suggesting that drones will be used to deliver light packages in the future, as oppose...

What does the $500-B Stargate announcment really mean for the economy (remember Carrier's "on-shoring" of jobs)? Lance recounts the benefits and innovations that came out of the US Space Race. Markets are back at all time highs; choose your entry point wisely. Lance & Michael review the concepts of trimming portfolios and taking profits; how to properly weight portfolios. What is your objective? P...

1-17-25 What Fiduciary Advisors Can Learn From Jimmy Carter by Lance Roberts

It isn’t just Wall Street analysts who are optimistic about 2025 returns. Retail investors are the most optimistic about higher stock prices in 2025 by the most on record. Unsurprisingly, that sentiment resulted in the psychological rush to overpay for assets, pushing forward 1-year valuations sharply higher. Lance returns from Houston's winter freeze with commentary on Donald Trump's flurry of ex...

Lance and Michael interpret the latest CPI, PPI, PCE, and GDP numbers: Which one is most-meaningful to the Fed? Earnings Season continues with Big Banks reporting; JPMorgan kills it, but how are regional banks faring? Stock buy backs this time around are expected to exceed $1-Trillion. mostly benefitting large cap stocks. Markets cling to 100-DMA, and aim for the 50-DMA to set up to rally. Michael...

It's CPI Day (December Core Inflation clocked-in at a lower than expected .2%) so let's pin it all on the Fed. Weaker PPI & Higher Trasnportation costs; Used car prices are keeping inflation elevated, thanks to storm and fire loss replacement demand. Markets flirting w 100_DMA, holiding support; what a weaker CPI print may mean. Lance pranks Danny with book sales for "Bull Dog" Ratliff; the NFIB S...

PPI & CPI Preview: Earnings season is about to commence, followed by the opening of the Buy Back window. Higher yields (and term premiums) are weighing on markets. Term premiums are just a measure of sentiment; watch what companies say, impacted by higher yields. Markets rally to just above the 100-DMA. Lance reviews investor sentiment, credit spreads, and market valuation (which charts). Noting t...

The Cleveland Fed's expectations for increased inflation; Oil prices rise on increased Russia sacntions (thanks, Joe Biden); economic impact of California wildfires & the Broken Window Theory: There will be a short-term uptick from rebuilding activity. Markets point lower on hawkish Fed tone; current correction process is normal. There is not data to support investor sentiment on inflation sparked...

Richard and Jonathan discuss the narratives that are driving the markets, and the fear factor for bond investors. Is the response to tariff threats an over-reaction? How to deal with emotions in investing. Menwhile, job satisfaction is highest among the 60+ crowd: The group has been working longer, and understands the value of socialization; retirement planning shold include qualitative elements....

Markets barely achieved a positive close on Wednesday, to create a string of positive action for the first five trading days in January. (Markets are closed today in honor of the late President Jimmy Carter.) There's a market consolidation underway, with the 20-DMA and 50-DMA about to cross. Lance & Michael discuss the Fed's sentiment shift about inflation, and the non-corellation between interest...

With Friday's December Employment Report waiting in the wings, it's fair to ask what happened to the December JOLTS Report. Investors are questioning whether we'll see continued growth from December. What does Q4 GDP at 2.7% really mean? Understanding the data and reading the January Barometer (so far). Lance shares his screen in commenting on sector rotations. Dan Niles' predciton of a 20% correc...

As we enter 2025, the financial markets are optimistic. That optimism is fueled by strong market performance over the last two years and analyst’s projections for continued growth. However, as “Curb Your Enthusiasm” often demonstrates, even the best-laid plans can unravel when overlooked details come to light. Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn discuss five reasons why a more cautious approach to inves...

We're baaack from our Winter Break, and it seemed as if Santa arrived on Christmas Eve, pushing the markets back above the important 50-DMA. However, by the end of the year, it seemed investors were naughty this year and received a “lump of coal,“ with markets selling off back toward recent lows. Despite Friday’s impressive reflexive rally, the market fell about 0.5% short of rallying enough to sa...

We're on vacation for the next two-weeks starting Monday (12/23); audio podcasts will be available on iTunes, Spotify, and a host of other audio platforms. Check our website, www.realinvestmentadvice.com for complete links. The House's Continuing Resolution fails to pass muster, thanks to pressure from president-elect Donald Trump and the emerging D.O.G.E. team. Meanwhile, the Fed cuts rates, as e...