The Pollsters

Poll of the week: Fox Republicans and Bill Maher GOP Fox News Viewers Say Trump Is Best President Ever (Navigator) Trump and White Nationalism Trump Favorable/Unfavorable (RealClear Policy) Fewer Than 20 Percent Of Americans Say Trump Opposes White Nationalism (HuffPost/YouGov) The Mueller Report 60 percent have some confidence in fairness of Mueller probe (The Associated Press/NORC Center for Pub...

Trump and a GOP primary? Trump Approval (RealClear Politics) Weld, Hogan lag far behind Trump in GOP contest (Monmouth) Iowa Poll: Registered Republicans like Trump but 40 percent want a GOP challenger ( Des Moines Register /CNN/Mediacom) O Canada! Canada Votes 2019 Poll Tracker (CBCNews) Across the Pond Most Britons see no improvement in May's latest plan (Sky News) Half of UK voters want Theresa...

How are things shaking out for Trump’s emergency declaration? U.S. Voters Oppose Trump Emergency Powers On Wall (Quinnipiac) 60 percent of Americans oppose Trump's emergency declaration to fund wall (NBC/WSJ via  The Hill ) Trump gets some good news from an NBC poll but bad news from Quinnipiac 2020 race will be uphill for Trump (NBC/WSJ) 64 Percent Of U.S. Voters Say Trump Committed A Crime (Quin...

Trump Job Approval Stabilizing, but what does it mean? (Real Clear Politics) The Manafort sentencing memo indicates 75 pages of polling data were shared with Konstantin Kilimnik, so we speculate wildly what it might have been. Kristin’s Washington Examiner  column 2020 Democrats, a Deep Dive Fewer than 3-in-10 Dems have 'strong opinion' about 2020 nominee (Politico / Morning Consult) The State of...

Civics education is struggling Happy Presidents Day! History is hard (Woodrow Wilson National Fellowship Foundation) Trump job approval, Mr 44%! And the national emergency becomes...more popular? President Trump Job Approval (Real Clear Politics) 6-In-10 Disapprove Of Trump's Declaration Of A National Emergency (NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist) And the Oscar for Top Issue goes to… Record High Name Governm...

Trump’s numbers have bounced back! Trump: Favorable/Unfavorable (Real Clear Politics) The work of Mueller and “Mister Peepers”! Mueller Poll Shows Very Few Republicans Believe Russia Interfered In 2016 Election (HuffPost/YouGov) Most Americans in new poll support Democratic investigations of Trump administration (Global Strategy Group /GBA Strategies for Restore Public Trust) More voters back Muel...

The State of the Union...does it ever move numbers? Was Tuesday’s speech the dawning of a new era or a soon-forgotten blip? Poll: More than half will definitely vote against Trump (Politico/Morning Consult) Speech audience was most partisan since 2001 (CNN/SSRS) Most viewers approved of Trump's second State of the Union address (CBS News) And what of 2020? With more and more contenders jumping in,...

Producers note: Margie was in a taxi and Kristen was out of the studio as well so the audio quality of this episode is well below our usual standards but we wanted to get the episode to you no matter what! The bleeding has stopped but the patient could use a transfusion...how will Roger Stone and the kick-the-can Shutdown delay impact POTUS numbers? ProtectTheInvestigation.org (GBS Strategies) Ame...

It’s Margie’s Birthday! Please donate to World Central Kitchen to help feed furloughed Federal workers! The shutdown continues to take its toll on federal workers and begins to take a more serious toll on the President’s political standing. Pelosi has edge over Trump on budget negotiations (CBS News) Shutdown, Russia drive Trump to all-time high disapproval (POLITICO/Morning Consult) 6 in 10 Ameri...

SHUTDOWN (and the Wall) We are now in the longest shutdown in the history of the US government. Is either side feeling political pain yet? And how widespread is the pain everyday people and government workers are feeling?  And what’s the shutdown over? The Wall of course. Still unpopular, but as people move into their partisan camps, different polls tell different stories about whether the wall is...

Manafort Why it would it—or wouldn’t it—be a big deal for a foreign intelligence operation to have internal polling data from a campaign? Shutdown Voters blame Trump, GOP for shutdown (POLITICO/Morning Consult) Trump Has Lost Ground In The Shutdown Blame Game (FiveThirtyEight) Congressional Priorities Government Gets an Upgrade (Navigator) Americans' Long List for Congress Spans Education to Incom...

Happy New Year! We're back from the holiday break, with lots of (good and bad) holiday stories...about animals eating the wrong things. Poll of the Week What do Democrats want in 2020? (USA TODAY/Suffolk University) The Shutdown Americans Give Everyone Negative Marks For The Government Shutdown (HuffPo/YouGov) Federal Employees Overwhelmingly Oppose Shutdown (Government Business Council & GovE...

Kristen speaks with Patrick Ruffini about Echelon Insights' Middle America Project , which ranks every county in the U.S. on how representative it is of the country as a whole. They discuss how the typical American community isn’t a small town that voted for Donald Trump to counterbalance Hillary Clinton’s lopsided margin in the cities. By definition, it’s something in between. This usually means...

This week The Pollsters welcome Abby Livingston, bureau chief for the Texas Tribune , to talk about her recent article in Politico Magazine , " The Hardest Glass Ceiling in Politics ".  The somewhat controversial article addresses the sexism challenges faced by women who work as politics consultants. Kristen and Margie share some of their own experiences with Abby and dig in to the journalistic me...

Holiday Polls Most Americans don't think that "Die Hard" is a Christmas movie ( Hollywood Reporter /Morning Consult) Personal Importance of Hanukkah Varies by Denomination among Jewish Americans (PRRI) Trump, Democrats, and the USA Trump Job Approval (HuffPo) Trump's Political Risk Spreads to Small-Town America (Selzer & Co./Grinnell College) Democrats Are Divided On The Ideological Future Of...

Poll of the Week: Results of the TIME Person of the Year Reader's Poll (BTS WINS!) Trumplandia and Political Divisions Trump Approval (HuffPo) Few Expect Country to Become United (Monmouth) Americans Want the New Congress to Provide a Check on the White House, Follow Facts in Investigations (Navigator) Many Americans Are Giving Trump The Benefit Of The Doubt On Manufacturing Jobs (HuffPo/YouGov) R...

#191: A Tale of Two Exit Polls First: Kristen has a new show on SiriusXM but The Pollsters will still be here for your data geek love! Civility & Division Most Democrats see Republicans as racist, sexist (Axios/Survey Monkey) Midterm Follow-up A Mandate for Democrats? (CNN/SSRS) Public Wants Congress to be a Check on Trump (Monmouth) T rump approval (HuffPo) 2020 (Already? Really?) Trump's 202...

The 2018 Midterm elections are over (mostly) and things turned out much like the pollsters (and The Pollsters ) expected, with Democrats taking the House and Republicans making gains in the Senate. While Democrats didn't win some close races, they still managed to do well in legislative chambers. The Pollsters grade the performance of polling across the country in this election and recognize that...

#189: Scary Midterms and Fortnite Costumes Poll of the Week Views of voting access linked to opinion on diversity in the U.S. (Pew Research) Youth Harvard IOP Youth Poll Fall 2018 (Institute of Politics, Harvard) Millennials Turnout (NBC/GenForward) Trump and Republicans Job Approval (Huffington Post) Partisan Polarization Dominates Trump Era (PRRI) 2018 Generic Congressional Vote (Real Clear Poli...

In this very special episode, we're joined by Republican House race expert Liesl Hickey and Democratic House race expert Ali Lapp, hosts of the House Talk with Ali and Liesl   podcast. We cover how political experts view house race polls compared to the Generic Ballot and the specifics of the upcoming midterm election. How much is President Trump helping or hurting Republican candidates? The Democ...

#187: Strong Feelings on Immigration and TV Reboots Midterms & Trump Approval Don’t expect a big Democratic wave this fall (CNBC) Voters say they are more likely to cast ballots in this year’s midterm elections ( Washington Post /ABC News) 2018 Generic Congressional Vote (Real Clear Politics) Trump Job Approval (Huffington Post) 2020 Democratic Primary More see Trump win likely as Biden leads...

Midterms Generic Congressional (Real Clear Politics) 2018 Midterm Voters: Issues and Political Values (Pew Research) Gender Differences (CNN/SSRS) Senate Latest Senate Polls (Real Clear Politics) Texas - Tennessee - New Jersey (CBS) Nevada (NBC/Marist) Arizona (ABC-15 / OH Predictive Insights) North Dakota (FOX News) Florida (Mason-Dixon) House House Battleground ( Washington Post - Schar School)...

Poll of the Week Trump Gets Negative Ratings for Many Personal Traits, but Most Say He Stands Up for His Beliefs (Pew Research) “ How you feel about GOP loyalty to Trump probably depends on your age ” (Kristen in The Washington Examiner ) Kavanaugh Confirmation Kavanaugh opinion hardens along partisan lines (Politico Morning Consult) Brett Kavanaugh, Christine Blasey Ford hearing spurs more divisi...

#184: New Florida Midterm Polls Florida Governor & Senate Poll: Andrew Gillum leads DeSantis by 4, Rick Scott and Bill Nelson tied ( Tampa Bay Times , UFN) Poll: Democrats have narrow lead in top Florida contests (NCBNews.com, Marist) Kavanaugh Majority of Americans oppose Kavanaugh nomination if Ford’s allegation is true, poll says (PBS, NPR, Marist) Voters in Battleground Districts Are Divid...

#183: Spring is a Lie, This Fall is Fakakta Poll of the Week Republicans, Democrats See Opposing Party as More Ideological Than Their Own (Pew)  Kavanaugh CNN poll (pre-Dr. Ford) The Week In Midterms House Generic Nate Cohn’s Poll Factory Senate Races Montana (CBS) Missouri (CBS) Arizona & Tennessee (CNN) The Week In Trump Job Approval (HuffPo) Democrats are twice as likely as Republicans to n...