The Money Runner - David Nelson

Stocks are hitting new highs, but stretched valuations, inflation fears, rising tariffs, and Fed drama have some investors flashing back to 1999. In this episode of The Money Runner, David Nelson breaks down why today’s market isn’t the dotcom bubble—yet. From earnings strength to valuation traps, learn why smart investors are staying in the game—and what could change that. Disclosure: "At th...

As U.S. carrier groups steam toward the Middle East and oil prices edge higher, investors are being forced to recalibrate—fast. In this episode of The Money Runner, David Nelson breaks down the high-stakes standoff with Iran, the Fed’s tightrope act under political pressure, and why capital doesn’t wait for geopolitical clarity. From rising risk premiums to AI bidding wars and Apple’s existential...

Trump’s tariff threats, Apple’s iPhone challenge, bond yields on the rise, and a $40 Billion bet on A.I. —this episode breaks down the week and how to adapt to the new market reality.  Welcome to The Money Runner with David Nelson. Disclosure: "At the time of this article I currently hold shares in some of the companies mentioned as part of investment portfolios in funds I manage for Belpoint...

Moody’s just downgraded the U.S. credit rating — after hours, ahead of tense budget talks. Markets are wobbling, but Trump’s whirlwind Middle East tour secured over $2 trillion in deals. Are we headed for new all-time highs — or is the rally built on borrowed time and borrowed money? 📉 Credit risk is rising 🌍 Geopolitics are shifting 📈 Markets are still climbing 🎧 Tune in as David Nelson break...

Wall Street’s riding an emotional rollercoaster—but one name keeps markets grounded: Scott Bessent. In this episode, David Nelson unpacks the tariff turmoil, shifting Fed bets, and why Bessent’s calm, clear messaging has traders reaching for the buy button. Disclosure: "At the time of this article I currently hold shares in some of the companies mentioned as part of investment portfolios in f...

Tensions are rising between President Trump and Fed Chair Jay Powell—but this isn’t the first time a president has clashed with the Federal Reserve. In this episode, David Nelson breaks down Powell’s sharp remarks, Trump’s push for rate cuts, and the long history of political pressure on the Fed—from LBJ to Nixon to Reagan. Plus, what it all means for markets, investors, and the road ahead. Disclo...

Wall Street is banking on a strong Q4 rebound — but is it too risky? In this episode of The Money Runner, David Nelson dives into the Fed’s renewed use of the word "transitory" and what it means for investors. With 2025’s market outlook heavily dependent on a late-year recovery, are we setting ourselves up for disappointment? Tune in as David breaks down the risks, the data, and the stra...

📉 Mutually Assured Destruction: The Market's Dangerous Balancing Act 📈 Markets are on edge, and uncertainty is wreaking havoc on investors. In this episode of The Money Runner, David Nelson breaks down the concept of Mutually Assured Destruction (M.A.D.) — a strategy that’s now playing out in global markets. From rising tariffs to economic volatility, learn how to navigate the chaos, manage...

The stock market is more divided than ever, with a 70-point dispersion between winners and losers. Simply beating the market won’t cut it this year—! 🚀 In this episode of The Money Runner, we break down:  ✅ Why the biggest stocks are struggling & what it means for YOU 📉  ✅ How to escape “dead money” and let your profits run 🚀 Don't settle for average.  Disclosure: "At the time o...

Is the Magnificent 7 dead? Every strategist is telling you to move into the other 493 stocks, but is that really the answer? In this episode of The Money Runner, David Nelson breaks down why a shotgun approach to the market won’t cut it in 2025. With market dispersion at extreme levels, stock picking and sector rotation matter more than ever. We’ll dive into the AI trade, shifting sector leadershi...

Is Apple losing its innovative edge? In this episode of The Money Runner, David Nelson dives deep into Apple's recent market moves, the rise of DeepSeek's AI challenge, and why investors are questioning Cupertino’s future. With analysts downgrading shares and whispers growing louder—has Apple played it too safe for too long? We explore: ✅ The AI revolution shaking up tech markets 🤖 ✅...

In this episode of The Money Runner, David Nelson, CFA, dives into the latest market trends, including the S&P 500’s performance, rising bond yields, and their impact on stock valuations. Discover what’s driving investor concerns, the sectors leading the charge in 2025, and the economic factors weighing on market momentum. From inflation data to Fed policy shifts, we break down the key insight...

In this episode, I dive into the challenges facing traditional 60/40 balanced portfolios and explore innovative alternatives to rethink how we invest. From the shortcomings of fixed income in today’s market to strategies like private credit, long/short equity, and structured notes, I break down practical solutions to diversify risk and enhance returns. If you're ready to think outside the bon...

"2025 Market Mission Brief! Your Biggest Risk Is Not Taking One" Step into 2025 with a game plan. We cover a lot of ground in this week’s podcast. AI Tech spending may be bigger than even bulls believe but every bull market has an Achilles Heel and this one is no different. Check out Enemy #1.  Disclosure: "At the time of this article I currently hold shares in some of the companies...

The week ended on a high note but stocks were up against some headwinds as the Fed changed their playbook. This week's Money Runner podcast covers a lot of ground including insider selling and why Wall Street predictions almost never pan out. - David Nelson "Join David Nelson, Chief Strategist of Belpointe and host of The Money Runner Podcast as he takes you 3,000 feet above Poughkeepsie...

"After two years of monster market returns, 2024 is coming to a close with big opportunities—and even bigger risks. What’s next for investors? In this episode of The Money Runner, David Nelson breaks down 4 key strategies to navigate the shifting market landscape, insights into the fading dominance of the Magnificent Seven, and how to prepare for 2025’s biggest challenges. Tune in for actiona...

In this episode of The Money Runner, David Nelson dives into Nvidia's latest earnings and the broader implications for the AI ecosystem. Are companies like Nvidia and the AI industry as a whole too big to fail? We also explore the challenges of market valuations, the rise of small caps, and what the 2024 S&P 500 targets mean for investors. Plus, the unexpected shifts in Fed policy, BRICS’...

"Elections have consequences, and so does the way our government operates. In this episode of The Money Runner, David Nelson dives into 'The DOGE Factor,' Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy’s bold mission to cut government waste, and how markets are reacting post-election. From defense spending to deregulation and the shifting yield curve, we explore the financial implications of big gov...

In this episode of The Money Runner, host David Nelson dives into the economic realities facing the U.S. as the election approaches. With a ballooning federal debt and interest payments projected to skyrocket it's clear the present course in unsustainable. David examines how SpaceX founder Elon Musk might play a role in making Washington more efficient. Disclosure: "At the time of this a...

Money Runner, host David Nelson, CFA, dives into a volatile day in the markets, discussing his experiences with two major stocks: Newmont Mining and Tesla. Hit from both sides being long Newmont and not owning Tesla made for a bad day. "That's the world we live in as an on the line portfolio manager." You have days like this. We all do." David also explores the broader market e...

In this episode of The Money Runner, David Nelson explores the latest trends shaping the stock market, including Warren Buffett's surprising moves, rising valuations, and the AI-driven productivity boom. David delves into how one website is revolutionizing workflows for content creators and what it reveals about the broader AI trade. Is AI just getting started, and what does this mean for fut...

David Nelson, CFA, Belpointe Chief Strategist and host of the Money Runner weighs in on the impact of inflation, earnings, and bond volatility. With CPI numbers hotter than expected and a benign PPI report, we explore what it all means for investors. David discusses the Fed's rate dilemma, earnings season kick-off with JP Morgan, BlackRock, and Wells Fargo, and how rising yields are affecting...

In this episode of The Money Runner, David Nelson, CFA breaks down the current market turmoil, asking the key question traders are facing: "Should I stay or should I go?" With geopolitical chaos, surprise jobs data, and a volatile earnings season ahead, investors are caught between risks of staying in the market and missing out on potential gains by leaving. David dives into everything f...

David Nelson, CFA host of the Money Runner Podcast breaks down the recent market volatility, offering a raw, unscripted analysis of the latest trends. From the S&P 500’s surprising rally to the role of institutional investors. This episode explores the impact of risk on and risk off sector positioning as well as shifting Federal Reserve policies. The latest inflation data and the Cornucopia co...

As the Fed signals imminent rate cuts, major market transformations are on the horizon. In this episode of The Money Runner, David Nelson breaks down expected shifts in the S&P 500, commodities, and small caps. Powell's speech at Jackson Hole changed the market narrative and now investors are piling into a trade that has worked only 2 times in the last decade. Questions and comments welco...