The Independent Advisors

In this episode, Mark and Matt dig into a wave of historic cash flows into money market funds, a sector-rotation signal in consumer discretionary versus consumer staples stocks that has historically preceded market pullbacks, and the latest update on Social Security’s funding timeline. Matt then shares why market drawdowns are a normal part of investing, walks through positioning and short-interes...

Mark covers last week’s sharp selloff in technology and AI stocks, and why history suggests this isn’t the start of something larger: October is historically the “bear killer” month, Q4 tends to be the strongest quarter, and this bull market just hit its fourth anniversary. He also looks at what history says about stocks under a split Congress, how different asset classes have performed when bond...

Episode 372 of The Independent Advisors Podcast: A Signal Not Seen Since the Financial Crisis. Mark and Matt cover a credit market signal not seen since before the financial crisis: stocks near highs while junk bonds and housing stocks diverge. They break down what credit spreads are and why they’ve been rising, a historical pattern showing stocks often lag after this setup, Q4 seasonality, record...

Mark and Matt cover the start of the strongest two-month stretch for stocks during a midterm year, a bearish Barron's magazine cover arriving alongside weak market breadth, and Q3 earnings growth estimates. They also look at a historically low reading on consumer sentiment and what it has meant for forward returns, surging US and China money supply, and a sharp selloff in municipal bonds. Taylor L...

Episode 370 of The Independent Advisors Podcast: The Bullish Case for Bad News. Mark covers a historic rush into money market funds and cash-like ETFs, at levels historically associated with major market bottoms. He also looks at what history actually says about stocks after the Fed's first rate hike, a wave of bearish sentiment on AI that could be a contrarian signal, and where the market expects...

Matt covers a big week for the Fed, breaking down the first interest rate hike in three years and what it could mean for markets. He also looks at a fresh reading on M2 money supply growth, a rare and historically negative correlation between stocks and bond yields, and a historical dataset that runs against the common narrative, showing stocks have actually performed better after Fed rate hikes t...

Episode 368 of The Independent Advisors Podcast: Legacy Giving with The Dayton Foundation. This special episode steps outside the usual market conversation for a conversation with Mike Parks, President and CEO of The Dayton Foundation, and Michelle Lovely, Senior Vice President of Development and Donor Services at The Dayton Foundation. The conversation covers the Great Wealth Transfer and what it...

Episode 367 of The Independent Advisors Podcast: Is the Market Really Expensive? Matt covers oil prices crossing $100 a barrel amid Middle East tensions, a stronger than expected jobs report, and rising Treasury yields. He then breaks down market valuations in detail, arguing the market isn't as expensive as headlines suggest once you factor in interest rates and earnings growth, and highlights th...

Episode 366 of The Independent Advisors Podcast: September Seasonality and the Presidential Cycle. Mark and Matt cover August's market performance and what history says tends to happen next, along with an update on the four-year presidential cycle and the historically stronger stretch that tends to follow in the fall. Also covered: why industrials, not tech, is currently the most expensive sector...

Episode 365 of the Independent Advisors Podcast. Aaron Cramer and Nick Whitaker cover a lot of ground this week, including the bond market, Treasury yields, and the Treasury Department's decision to double its bond buyback program after 30-year yields hit their highest level since 2007. Also covered: why more companies raising guidance than lowering it is a bullish signal, how 2026 compares to pas...

If you’ve been enjoying The Independent Advisors podcast for a while now and want to take the next step in your financial journey, I’d encourage you to head to our website, jessupwealthmanagement.com (https://www.jessupwealthmanagement.com/) . Matt offers a 15-minute initial call where you can discuss your financial goals and see if JWM is a good fit for your needs. Scheduling is easy—once you lan...

If you’ve been enjoying The Independent Advisors podcast for a while now and want to take the next step in your financial journey, I’d encourage you to head to our website, jessupwealthmanagement.com (https://www.jessupwealthmanagement.com/) . Matt offers a 15-minute initial call where you can discuss your financial goals and see if JWM is a good fit for your needs. Scheduling is easy—once you lan...

If you’ve been enjoying The Independent Advisors podcast for a while now and want to take the next step in your financial journey, I’d encourage you to head to our website, jessupwealthmanagement.com (https://www.jessupwealthmanagement.com/) . Matt offers a 15-minute initial call where you can discuss your financial goals and see if JWM is a good fit for your needs. Scheduling is easy—once you lan...

If you’ve been enjoying The Independent Advisors podcast for a while now and want to take the next step in your financial journey, I’d encourage you to head to our website, jessupwealthmanagement.com (https://www.jessupwealthmanagement.com/) . Matt offers a 15-minute initial call where you can discuss your financial goals and see if JWM is a good fit for your needs. Scheduling is easy—once you lan...

If you’ve been enjoying The Independent Advisors podcast for a while now and want to take the next step in your financial journey, I’d encourage you to head to our website, jessupwealthmanagement.com (https://www.jessupwealthmanagement.com/) . Matt offers a 15-minute initial call where you can discuss your financial goals and see if JWM is a good fit for your needs. Scheduling is easy—once you lan...

If you’ve been enjoying The Independent Advisors podcast for a while now and want to take the next step in your financial journey, I’d encourage you to head to our website, jessupwealthmanagement.com (https://www.jessupwealthmanagement.com/) . Matt offers a 15-minute initial call where you can discuss your financial goals and see if JWM is a good fit for your needs. Scheduling is easy—once you lan...

If you’ve been enjoying The Independent Advisors podcast for a while now and want to take the next step in your financial journey, I’d encourage you to head to our website, jessupwealthmanagement.com (https://www.jessupwealthmanagement.com/) . Matt offers a 15-minute initial call where you can discuss your financial goals and see if JWM is a good fit for your needs. Scheduling is easy—once you lan...

If you’ve been enjoying The Independent Advisors podcast for a while now and want to take the next step in your financial journey, I’d encourage you to head to our website, jessupwealthmanagement.com (https://www.jessupwealthmanagement.com/) . Matt offers a 15-minute initial call where you can discuss your financial goals and see if JWM is a good fit for your needs. Scheduling is easy—once you lan...

If you’ve been enjoying The Independent Advisors podcast for a while now and want to take the next step in your financial journey, I’d encourage you to head to our website, jessupwealthmanagement.com (https://www.jessupwealthmanagement.com/) . Matt offers a 15-minute initial call where you can discuss your financial goals and see if JWM is a good fit for your needs. Scheduling is easy—once you lan...

If you’ve been enjoying The Independent Advisors podcast for a while now and want to take the next step in your financial journey, I’d encourage you to head to our website, jessupwealthmanagement.com (https://www.jessupwealthmanagement.com/) . Matt offers a 15-minute initial call where you can discuss your financial goals and see if JWM is a good fit for your needs. Scheduling is easy—once you lan...

If you’ve been enjoying The Independent Advisors podcast for a while now and want to take the next step in your financial journey, I’d encourage you to head to our website, jessupwealthmanagement.com (https://www.jessupwealthmanagement.com/) . Matt offers a 15-minute initial call where you can discuss your financial goals and see if JWM is a good fit for your needs. Scheduling is easy—once you lan...

If you’ve been enjoying The Independent Advisors podcast for a while now and want to take the next step in your financial journey, I’d encourage you to head to our website, jessupwealthmanagement.com (https://www.jessupwealthmanagement.com/) . Matt offers a 15-minute initial call where you can discuss your financial goals and see if JWM is a good fit for your needs. Scheduling is easy—once you lan...

If you’ve been enjoying The Independent Advisors podcast for a while now and want to take the next step in your financial journey, I’d encourage you to head to our website, jessupwealthmanagement.com (https://www.jessupwealthmanagement.com/) . Matt offers a 15-minute initial call where you can discuss your financial goals and see if JWM is a good fit for your needs. Scheduling is easy—once you lan...

If you’ve been enjoying The Independent Advisors podcast for a while now and want to take the next step in your financial journey, I’d encourage you to head to our website, jessupwealthmanagement.com (https://www.jessupwealthmanagement.com/) . Matt offers a 15-minute initial call where you can discuss your financial goals and see if JWM is a good fit for your needs. Scheduling is easy—once you lan...

If you’ve been enjoying The Independent Advisors podcast for a while now and want to take the next step in your financial journey, I’d encourage you to head to our website, jessupwealthmanagement.com (https://www.jessupwealthmanagement.com/) . Matt offers a 15-minute initial call where you can discuss your financial goals and see if JWM is a good fit for your needs. Scheduling is easy—once you lan...