The Event Horizon Podcast

Did you know you can bet on Kalshi on how many Spotify streams artists will get? Well, of course you can, because you can bet on almost anything on Kalshi. But what happens when someone tries to manipulate the streaming metrics? We found that out last week! Daniel O’Boyle of InGame helps break down the latest nonsense. First, this at The Event Horizon https://nexteventhorizon.substack.com/p/how-ar...

Daniel O’Boyle of InGame and I did an “emergency” podcast today to deal with all of the news that dropped on Friday morning. That includes a deal between Kalshi and FIFA…or rather Kalshi and ADI Predictstreet, apparently? Kalshi and ADI Predictstreet Announce Strategic Partnership to Expand Global Prediction Market Footprint during World Cup™ and Beyond (press release): ADI Predictstreet, the Offi...

Daniel O’Boyle of InGame and I break down recent news in prediction markets, including Kalshi nearing $9 billion in weekly volume, new exchanges getting a green light, and a bad story for Polymarket. Kalshi volume (paywall at The Closing Line ) ProphetX Novig Rothera WSJ on Polymarket This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes...

Daniel O’Boyle of InGame and I are still trying to process that the prediction markets news cycle now includes George Santos, somehow. We break down all the recent news in in the industry. Plus I talk with Kindbridge Behavioral Health CEO Daniel Umfleet about prediction markets, addiction, and treatment. News recap and analysis at the start; Interview with Kindbridge CEO at 31:13. George Santos, l...

The Polymarket-Google fiasco: https://www.ingame.com/google-engineer-polymarket-insider-trading/ https://nexteventhorizon.substack.com/p/the-polymarket-google-case-and-insider-trading Trump talks prediction markets https://nexteventhorizon.substack.com/p/trump-some-prediction-market-opponents-are-scum Here come new exchanges: DraftKings... https://www.ingame.com/draftkings-self-certifies-first-con...

Senators talking prediction markets: https://closingline.substack.com/p/senators-were-fired-up-about-prediction-markets-at-hearing Combinatoric Athletic Outcome Contracts! https://nexteventhorizon.substack.com/p/its-not-a-parlay-its-a-combinatoric-athletic-outcome-contract Betting On Survivor: https://nexteventhorizon.substack.com/p/stop-letting-people-bet-on-survivor This is a public episode. If...

Breaking down Kalshi retail handle and parlays: https://www.ingame.com/kalshis-true-betting-handle-draftkings-fanduel/ https://www.sportico.com/business/sports-betting/2026/kalshi-parlays-retail-bettor-losses-rfq-1234894471/ Polymarket US is fully live: https://www.ingame.com/polymarket-us-live-without-waitlist/ This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or...

FanDuel and DraftKings on prediction markets: https://nexteventhorizon.substack.com/p/what-we-learned-about-fanduel-and-prediction-markets-q1 https://nexteventhorizon.substack.com/p/what-draftkings-and-genius-sports-said-about-prediction-markets-q1-earnings Parlay volume! https://nexteventhorizon.substack.com/p/most-of-kalshis-recent-volume-growth-from-parlays Maryland and Massachusetts vs. Kalshi...

Everyone had comments for the CFTC on prediction markets rule making: https://nexteventhorizon.substack.com/p/the-most-interesting-comments-on-cftc-rulemaking-for-prediction-markets Senate bans prediction market trading by senators: https://www.politico.com/live-updates/2026/04/30/congress/new-ban-on-prediction-market-trading-00901232 Robinhood Q1 earnings and prediction markets: https://nextevent...

Soldier arrested for Maduro betting: https://nexteventhorizon.substack.com/p/us-soldier-arrested-for-maduro-bets Three candidates caught betting on themselves: https://nexteventhorizon.substack.com/p/five-questions-after-kalshi-fines NY sues prediction markets: https://nexteventhorizon.substack.com/p/new-york-ag-sues-coinbase-gemini This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with...

Fox + Kalshi…but no elections? https://nexteventhorizon.substack.com/p/fox-news-has-a-kalshi-deal White House warns people not to insider trade on PMs https://www.wsj.com/politics/policy/white-house-warns-staff-not-to-place-bets-on-prediction-markets-amid-iran-war-3780668f NCAA is big for Kalshi https://www.ingame.com/2026-ncaa-tournament-volume-fees-kalshi/ $1.1 trillion for PMs? https://www.bloo...

This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit nexteventhorizon.substack.com

Kalshi’s Sports Insurance Play — Hedging, Not Betting (Sporting Crypto) Volume Doesn’t Pay The Bills (LinkedIn) This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit nexteventhorizon.substack.com

Pet Berisha's piece on the Prediction Market Singularity https://newsletter.sportingcrypto.com/p/prediction-market-singularity This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit nexteventhorizon.substack.com

This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit nexteventhorizon.substack.com

This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit nexteventhorizon.substack.com

This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit nexteventhorizon.substack.com

The number of platforms getting into prediction markets is growing by the day, with crypto exchange Gemini and sweepstakes casino MyPrize getting involved. Pet Berisha of Sporting Crypto joins me again to break down recent developments in prediction markets. This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit nexteventhorizon.su...

DraftKings signaled its intent to get into sports prediction markets this week, but deals by the NHL with Kalshi and Polymarket have changed the meta in the industry. Pet Berisha of Sporting Crypto helps me round up a wild week of news on this week’s podcast. Sports prediction markets face a new wave of fraud, from insider trading to syndicates and spoofed locations. Radar Protect helps platforms...

Friday morning’s news dump from Kalshi led me and Pet Berisha of Sporting Crypto to turn this in an emergency podcast. The news: * Kalshi is going live in 140+ countries, sharing a liquidity pool with the United States. * Kalshi also announced it recently raised more than $300 million at a $5B valuation, led by Sequoia and a16z. This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with othe...

When Polymarket launches in the US, what’s that going to look like and how disruptive might it be? Pet Berisha of Sporting Crypto also talks with me about Robinhood going international, Kalshi wanting to go crypto, and how much do state-regulated sportsbooks need to worry about all of this… particularly Kalshi’s launch of parlays. Of note: Polymarket.us now has a landing page, but the app is not y...

It’s take two of The Event Horizon podcast, as Pet Berisha of Sporting Crypto joins me again to talk about recent developments in prediction markets. Kalshi has surpassed Polymarket in trading volume, which has far more nuance to it than just the raw numbers. We also talk about what’s happening at the CFTC (Brian Quintenz was ousted as the nominee since we recorded it), how South Park was a big mo...

I recently started talking with Pet Berisha of Sporting Crypto , and we decided to start a podcast on a lark. The wide-ranging first episode was a fun conversation; we pick each other’s brains on where prediction markets might be headed in the US. This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit nexteventhorizon.substack.com