Byrne Hobart

The Diff

Business EN ↓ 323 episodes

The Diff is a newsletter exploring the technologies, companies, and trends that are making the future high-variance. Posts range from in-depth company profiles, applied financial theory, strategy breakdowns and macroeconomics.

Author

Byrne Hobart

Category

Business

Latest episode

Oct 26, 2026

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Episodes

Dead Airlines 04.05.2026

This is an audio version of the free newsletter. Read the newsletter at thediff.co, and subscribe for an additional 3 posts (and podcasts!) per week. (00:00) - Dead Airlines (04:46) - Synergy (06:02) - Indexes (06:58) - Warehousing (07:53) - Capacity (08:43) - Defense

Are the AI Labs Ready for the AI Backlash? 27.04.2026

This is an audio version of the free newsletter. Read the newsletter at thediff.co, and subscribe for an additional 3 posts (and podcasts!) per week. (00:00) - Are the AI Labs Ready for the AI Backlash? (06:27) - Barter (08:06) - State Hypercapitalism (09:05) - AI Pricing (10:05) - Reflexivity (10:48) - Complements

Ad-Based Platforms Have Mostly Solved Optimal Taxation 20.04.2026

This is an audio version of the free newsletter. Read the newsletter at thediff.co, and subscribe for an additional 3 posts (and podcasts!) per week. (00:00) - Ad-Based Platforms Have Mostly Solved Optimal Taxation (08:06) - The Infrastructure Put Option (09:14) - Monetization (10:03) - Headless SaaS (11:36) - Gazumped! (12:49) - Bits and Barrels

Ring, Cloudflare, and the Supply Chain of State Capacity 13.04.2026

This is an audio version of the free newsletter. Read the newsletter at thediff.co, and subscribe for an additional 3 posts (and podcasts!) per week. (00:00) - Ring, Cloudflare, and the Supply Chain of State Capacity (08:32) - Work Trials (09:43) - The Mezzanine Tranche (10:29) - Politics by Other Means (12:51) - Lawyers (13:51) - Token Shortages

Uncanny AI 06.04.2026

This is an audio version of the free newsletter. Read the newsletter at thediff.co, and subscribe for an additional 3 posts (and podcasts!) per week. (00:00) - Uncanny AI (05:39) - Organic Content (06:22) - Inconsistent Candor (07:28) - Liquidity (08:22) - Return to Office (09:06) - Long-Lead Time Hacking

Handy Robots 30.03.2026

This is an audio version of the free newsletter. Read the newsletter at thediff.co, and subscribe for an additional 3 posts (and podcasts!) per week. (00:00) - Handy Robots (08:25) - It's Personal (10:03) - Rationing (10:37) - Penny Stocks (11:47) - The Text Glut (13:34) - Sora

Apple, Occasionally a Commodities Trading House 23.03.2026

This is an audio version of the free newsletter. Read the newsletter at thediff.co, and subscribe for an additional 3 posts (and podcasts!) per week. (00:00) - Apple, Occasionally a Commodities Trading House (06:08) - How Inflation Spreads (07:50) - Reaching Your Target Audience (10:00) - Labor Substitution (11:05) - Agents (12:04) - Financing

Are We Already Building a Piecemeal AI Data Royalty Model? 16.03.2026

This is an audio version of the free newsletter. Read the newsletter at thediff.co, and subscribe for an additional 3 posts (and podcasts!) per week. (00:00) - Are We Already Building a Piecemeal AI Data Royalty Model? (05:30) - Refounding (06:20) - User Acquisition Costs (07:09) - Data Sharing (08:05) - Fees

America Has a Comparative Advantage in Handling Global Disorder 09.03.2026

This is an audio version of the free newsletter. Read the newsletter at thediff.co, and subscribe for an additional 3 posts (and podcasts!) per week. (00:00) - America Has a Comparative Advantage in Handling Global Disorder (08:14) - A Word From Our Sponsors (08:17) - Where We Are in the Cycle (09:47) - Insurer of Last Resort (10:27) - Marketplaces and Routers (11:10) - Getting a Bid (12:14) - Tal...

The Year of Convergence 27.10.2025

This is an audio version of the free newsletter. Read the newsletter at thediff.co, and subscribe for an additional 3 posts (and podcasts!) per week. (00:00) - The Year of Convergence (09:03) - Ads (10:10) - Maximalism (10:50) - Comparative Advantage (11:35) - Trader-in-Chief (12:20) - GenAI

Routers, Apps, AGI 20.10.2025

This is an audio version of the free newsletter. Read the newsletter at thediff.co, and subscribe for an additional 3 posts (and podcasts!) per week. (00:00) - Routers, Apps, AGI (23:09) - Peripheral Bets (23:59) - Fragmentation and Industry Maturity (24:35) - Deepfakes as Pull Quotes (25:12) - Benchmarks (26:15) - Platforms

In Defense of Generative Video Accelerationism 13.10.2025

This is an audio version of the free newsletter. Read the newsletter at thediff.co, and subscribe for an additional 3 posts (and podcasts!) per week. (00:00) - In Defense of Generative Video Accelerationism (14:12) - Notifications (15:14) - IP (16:09) - Hyperliquidated (17:45) - DOGE (19:11) - Painting the Tape

Technological Progress is a Stack of S-Curves; Diffusion is a Stack of J-Curves 06.10.2025

This is an audio version of the free newsletter. Read the newsletter at thediff.co, and subscribe for an additional 3 posts (and podcasts!) per week. (00:00) - Technological Progress is a Stack of S-Curves; Diffusion is a Stack of J-Curves (10:01) - AI Efficiency (10:54) - Dollar Diplomacy (11:48) - Sora (12:44) - Capital Structure (14:12) - Reshoring Paradoxes

Media Gluts Happen at the Level of Distribution, not Content 29.09.2025

This is an audio version of the free newsletter. Read the newsletter at thediff.co, and subscribe for an additional 3 posts (and podcasts!) per week. (00:00) - Media Gluts Happen at the Level of Distribution, not Content (09:16) - Headline Risk (10:02) - The Crypto Treasury Trade (11:10) - The Paradox of Decentralization (12:08) - TikTok (13:04) - Signal and Noise

A Sense of History 22.09.2025

This is an audio version of the free newsletter. Read the newsletter at thediff.co, and subscribe for an additional 3 posts (and podcasts!) per week. (00:00) - A Sense of History (09:30) - Coasian Labor Markets (12:06) - Industrial Policy (13:05) - Trading (13:41) - TikTok (14:52) - Crypto Treasury M&A

On Faking It 'Til You Make It 15.09.2025

This is an audio version of the free newsletter. Read the newsletter at thediff.co, and subscribe for an additional 3 posts (and podcasts!) per week. (00:00) - On Faking It 'Til You Make It (08:01) - GPU Clouds (08:55) - Going Global (09:51) - Prediction Markets (10:41) - Revenge Trading (11:41) - Authenticity

The Autistic Half-Century 08.09.2025

This is an audio version of the free newsletter. Read the newsletter at thediff.co, and subscribe for an additional 3 posts (and podcasts!) per week. (00:00) - The Autistic Half-Century (11:58) - Burn Rates (13:06) - Round-Tripping (13:41) - AI and IP (14:36) - IPOs and Network Effects (15:46) - Spinoffs

Rumor Markets 02.09.2025

This is an audio version of the free newsletter. Read the newsletter at thediff.co, and subscribe for an additional 3 posts (and podcasts!) per week. (00:00) - Rumor Markets (08:14) - Legitimacy (10:25) - Tariffs (11:26) - AI and Complements (12:21) - Tariffs and Elasticity (13:15) - Economic Nationalism

Figure and the Crypto Mullet Strategy 25.08.2025

This is an audio version of the free newsletter. Read the newsletter at thediff.co, and subscribe for an additional 3 posts (and podcasts!) per week. (00:00) - Figure and the Crypto Mullet Strategy (09:17) - Billions (10:09) - Intel (11:09) - Negotiating the AI Transition (11:47) - Price Discrimination (12:52) - Sanctions

Corporate Populism 18.08.2025

This is an audio version of the free newsletter. Read the newsletter at thediff.co, and subscribe for an additional 3 posts (and podcasts!) per week. (00:00) - (04:19) - Credit Spreads (04:57) - Retail and Institutions (05:38) - Scale (06:12) - Non-Tariff Barriers (07:11) - Technology Adoption

Concentrate 11.08.2025

This is an audio version of the free newsletter. Read the newsletter at thediff.co, and subscribe for an additional 3 posts (and podcasts!) per week. (00:00) - Concentrate! (07:31) - Coasian Geopolitics (09:00) - Relaunching (10:13) - Tariff Inversion (11:16) - Crypto Holdcos (12:22) - Buybacks

What Would the Aftermath of the AI Bust Look Like? 04.08.2025

This is an audio version of the free newsletter. Read the newsletter at thediff.co, and subscribe for an additional 3 posts (and podcasts!) per week. (00:00) - What Would the Aftermath of the AI Bust Look Like? (09:37) - Succession (10:29) - The Stats (12:58) - Going Direct (13:40) - Banks are Back (14:17) - Young Founders

Strip-Mining the Maybesphere 28.07.2025

This is an audio version of the free newsletter. Read the newsletter at thediff.co, and subscribe for an additional 3 posts (and podcasts!) per week. (00:00) - Strip-Mining the Maybesphere (09:28) - Regulatory Clarity (10:15) - Eurobonds (11:17) - Just-In-Time (11:59) - Ratings (13:14) - The Crypto Credit Cycle

The Finance of Alchemy 21.07.2025

This is an audio version of the free newsletter. Read the newsletter at thediff.co, and subscribe for an additional 3 posts (and podcasts!) per week. (00:00) - The Finance of Alchemy (08:01) - SPACs, Back (08:46) - Sanctions and Supply Chains (09:17) - AI Filtering (10:13) - Measurement Errors (11:19) - Data Labeling

Compensation as Game Design 14.07.2025

This is an audio version of the free newsletter. Read the newsletter at thediff.co, and subscribe for an additional 3 posts (and podcasts!) per week. (00:00) - Compensation as Game Design (13:00) - More on Talent (14:21) - Financial Engineering (15:06) - Where We Are in the Cycle (15:46) - Product/Service Complementarity (16:41) - The Missing Panic

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