The Care for My Wealth Show

Could the PAIN TRADE be higher from here??!! Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support .

Could we really see rates rising into 2040? Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support .

Is the AI train starting to produce real productivity and ROI? Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support .

S&P 500 EQUAL WEIGHT - down 7 weeks in a row. TIme for a bounce? GROWTH - Atlanta Fed dropped Q3 GDP estimate from 5% to 3.7% S&P 500 Q 4 Set up - Strong Q2, positive Q3, has ended up positiove for Q4 for every other instance in histiry wiht the same set up. Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support .

RATES - companies handling higher rates really well! Growth - growing! Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support .

Bad Breadth...but where is it isolated? Stock and rates correlation. What changed? US Dollar...if it is going to correct...this is the spot. Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support .

Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support .

5%...isn't something supposed to break!  Not when you look at the cost of money though the correct lens. Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support .

MOVE Index Moved hard! Last time coincided with stock market bottoms...or close to it. BREADTH - sucks in the short term view. But zoom out and look at price! New highs or near new highs. FLASH PMIs - US Business is BOOMING! Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support .

Metals - Gold & Silver don't like accelerating CPI data or risng 2YR rates Sentiment - AAII data says lots of investors are bearish...similar to what we saw in spring 2025. Right before a very powerful rally Seasonality - OCT NOV are best 2 months in mid-term years going back to 1950. Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/supp...

YIELD CURVE - hammered down.  OIL - 10YR / OIL correlation highest since 1990. Iran dependent more than Fed. SEMICONDUCTORS - -13% discount to the S&P! Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support .

AI spending is just beginning Transports looking sickly with $650+ diesel. Copper - rise continues as global growth is still...growing Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support .

Fed - changed directions. Will history repeat like in Sept 2024 only in an inverse way? GDP - Atlanta Fed see 5.1%! Acceleration. That'd be best since Q4 2021. When compared to capex, Dividends are rising faster than in the late 1990s...the golden era. Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support .

Fed Day! Hike is likely Oil Futures Curve - steep backwardation suggests oil settles down Global debt - socialist style governments are paying the price Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support .

Postioning - still looks like people are not hiding Short term risks - CTAs Gold - does not like high rates. But gold NOT ripping is NOT a signal that stocks are in trouble. Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support .

Bonds - failing to provide diversification from stock moves Rates - not stopping yet! VIX - Ready to fail at trend?! Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support .

Is this bubble good? Have we seen anything like this before? Yes! Dr Copper saying global growth is just fine Rates - Fed meets next week and even though markets are betting they raise rates...I say they won't. Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support .

Risks Rising? Volatility waking up? Japan - rates and Yen keep rising. Yes carry trade risks Oil...still moving on momentum. $108 strong resistance Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support .

1.) US DOLLAR = Weak...no flight to safety, no rate hike 2.) SENTIMENT - no euphoria. AAII Bull ratio looks constructive 3.) OIL- Tankers moving thru the Strait? Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support .

Debt - NOT a fleeing from US debt. This is a repricing of soverign solvency risk Oil - probably headed higher as WTI, Brent breakouts...now Shanghai futures above Brent. China a buyer again? Zoom out. Markets look fine Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support .

Debt - NOT a fleeing from US debt. This is a repricing of soverign solvency risk Oil - probably headed higher as WTI, Brent breakouts...now Shanghai futures above Brent. China a buyer again? Zoom out. Markets look fine Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support .

POSITIONING in markets is what matters. You see euphoria? Nope Rates - rising everywhere..not just in US. Inflation AND growth tend to come hand in hand. GDP - Atlanta Fed pushing GDP estimates higher Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support .

Be a contrarian...you'll live longer Too many shorts in the system to see a -10% correction Valuations - market is NOT expensive Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support .

Yields - saying something...just not what they have been Bonds NOT doing their job Bitcoin...getting closer to that bear market bottom Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support .

credit spreads saying everything is ok US Dollar still in a downward bias confirming everything is still ok KOSPI - South Korea - telling us that demand is still good. Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support .