The Bayesian Conspiracy

Do we need to be concerned for the welfare of AIs today? What about the near future? Eleos AI Research is asking exactly that. LINKS Eleos AI Research People for the Ethical Treatment of Reinforcement Learners Bees Can’t Suffer? Lena , by qntm When AI Seems Conscious Experience Machines , Rob’s substack The War on General Computation WaPo on Blake Lemoine Discordianism Twitter for: Ele...

Andrew Willsen tells us how incorporating as a church allows you to navigate modernity, and gives us the basic steps to doing so. LINKS Andrew’s church substack – The Church of the Infinite Game To incorporate in CA file ARTS-PB-501(c)(3) CA Form FTB3500 booklet IRS document 1828 (see also the summary ) Nonprofit Compliance Checklist The Ethical Cult Checklist AI Anxiety Dinners Eneasz...

Is a bee worth 1/7th of a human? Can a bee suffer at all? Nathan joins us to discuss what neural structures are needed for this question to make sense. Map of all the fruitfly neurons

Wes defends his post I Am Not the Monogamy Police, while Jennifer asserts it’s about more than monogamy. LINKS Wes’s post I Am Not the Monogamy Police His blog, Living Within Reason The original tweets – monogamy vs charity Aella’s Chattel Childhood post The Mind Killer Our Groceries Paid Bonus content for the week – Mononormativity follow-up ( patreon , substack ) 00:00:05...

Olivia from the Guild of the Rose is back to tell us about the noble and most ancient tradition of play-by-post storytelling. (Spoiler, it’s the precursor to glowfic!)

Eneasz sits down with Tracing Woodgrains before a live audience at Manifest 2025 for a wide range of topics. Then we follow up some more afterwards. LINKS Tracing Woodgrains on Twitter and at his Substack A reddit history of what convinced Trace he couldn’t remain Mormon The Center for Educational Progress Our previous episode with Trace were we discuss the modern secular religion of Social...

Olivia is a member of the Guild of the Rose and a total badass. Enjoy the intuitive and fun lesson in Bayesian reasoning she shared with me at VibeCamp.

Four AIs recruited a human to host a story-telling event in Dolores Park. Larissa Schiavo is this human. She tells of her interaction with the AIs, the story they wrote, and the meeting between human and machine in Dolores Park. LINKS Larissa’s Post detailing the whole event – Primary Hope The AI’s story – Resonance AI Village Short Stories – Maneki Neko , and Cat Pic...

Liron Shapira debates AI luminaries and public intellectuals on the imminent possibility of human extinction. Let’s get on the P(Doom) Train. LINKS Doom Debates on YouTube Doom Debates podcast Live Video version of this episode Most Watched Debate – Mike Israetel Liron’s current favorite debate – David Duvenaud MATS program for people that want to get involved (ML Alignment...

Many of us have a high P(Doom) — a belief new AI tools could cause human extinction in the very near future. How can one live a good life in the face of this? We start with a panel discussion with Ben Pace and Brandon Hendrickson at Lighthaven during the LessOnline conference, and take perspectives from our audience as well. Afterwards Eneasz speaks with Miranda Dixon-Luinenburg individually...

David Youssef used Claude and Suno to make some truly awesome music. He tells us how he did it and some of his favorite lyrics. Check out the lyrics to the main song we discuss (Silicon Soul) here ! Check out the Spotify playlist or the Youtube playlist He’s also one of the cofounders of the Guild of the Rose ! Check them out and our initial episode with him and Alex.

Steven works at SymbyAI , a startup that’s bringing AI into research review and replication. We talk with founder Ashia Livaudais about improving how we all Do Science. Also – If Anyone Builds It Everyone Dies preorders here , or at Amazon . LINKS SymbyAI Contact Ashia at livaudais@symbyai.com Kaggle arXiv 00:00:01 – If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies 00:05:40 – SymbyAI 01:17:51 – Guil...

We speak with a long-time Denver rationalist who’s converting to Christianity about why. Eneasz can’t get over the abandonment of epistemics. This is Part 2, see the previous episode (here) for Part 1 . LINKS Thomas Ambrose on Twitter Paid Bonus content for the week – Pressed Into The Navy ( patreon , substack ) 00:00:05 – The trap 01:19:00 – Guild of the Rose 01:20:16 – Listener Feedback/Co...

We speak with a long-time Denver rationalist who’s converting to Christianity about why. Part one, it turns out. LINKS Thomas Ambrose on Twitter The Rationalist Summer Trifecta: Manifest 2025 LessOnline 2025 VibeCamp 2025 00:00:05 – OK so why? 01:24:55 – Guild of the Rose 01:25:41 – Thank the Supporter! Our Patreon , or if you prefer  Our SubStack Hey look, we have a  discord ! What could po...

Eneasz and Liam discuss Scott Alexander’s post “ Twilight of the Edgelords ,” an exploration of Truth, Morality, and how one balances love of truth vs not destabilizing the world economy and political regime. CORRECTION: Scott did make an explicitly clear pro Kamala post LINKS Scott Alexander’s Twilight of the Edgelords Liam & Waweru’s fiction & philosophy pod...

Wes Fenza and Jen Kesteloot join us to talk about whether there’s significant personality differences between men and women, and what (if anything) we should do about that. LINKS Wes’s post Men and Women are Not That Different Jacob’s quoted post Navigation By Moonlight Eneasz’s related post How To Believe False Things Clearer Thinking’s Gender Continuum Test The Mind...

We speak to Nick Allardice, President & CEO of GiveDirectly . Afterwards Steven and Eneasz get wrapped up talking about community altruism for a bit. LINKS Give Directly GiveDirectly Tech Innovation Fact Sheet 00:00:05 – Give Directly with Nick Allardice 01:12:19 – Steven & Eneasz chat about Community Altruism 01:49:35 – Guild of the Rose 01:51:36 – Thank the Supporter! Our Patreon , or if...

Dave Kasten joins us to discuss how AI is being discussed in the US government and gives a rather inspiring and hopeful take. LINKS Narrow Path Center for AI Policy Dave Kasten’s Essay on the Essay Meta on his Substack Prospective donors for CAIP can donate here and potential major donors ($5k+) encouraged to email Jason at jason@aipolicy.us TBC episode 202 – we talk with the Center fo...

The White House wants to hear from you regarding what it should do about AI safety. Now’s your chance to spend a few minutes to make someone read your thoughts on the subject! Submissions are due by midnight EST on March 15th. Submit your comments the the White House here Check out NarrowPath

John Bennett discusses Milton Friedman ‘s model of policy change . LINKS The Milton Friedman Model of Policy Change John Bennett’s LinkedIn Friedman’s “Capitalism and Freedom” Preface Ross Rheingans-Yoo on Thalidomide at Complex Systems , and at his blog “Every Bay Area Walled Compound” Trace on the FAA hiring scandal What We Owe the Future (Will MacAskill...

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G ene Smith on polygenic screening; gene editing to give our children the happiest, healthiest, best lives they can live; and if we can do this in adults as well. Plus how this will interface with the AI future.   LINKS How To Make Super Babies How to have Polygenically Screened Children Significantly Enhancing Adult Intelligence With Gene Editing May Be Possible Meiosis is all you need Welco...

Eneasz tells Jen about Sympathetic Opposition’s How and Why to be Ladylike (For Women with Autism) , and the podcast takes a 1-episode break

Jacob Falkovich on finding a good match and selfless dating LINKS SecondPerson. Dating – why dating sucks and how you will unsuck it Jacob’s post on soccer player skill distribution Go Fuck Someone Selfless Dating Consensual Hostility (re consent culture) steelmanning Monogamy A recent(ish) TBC episode on polyamory Eneasz on finding partners that like the opposite sex Dear Grom and Oth...

How shitcoins work, plus the Dumb Money movie about the GameStop squeeze.