Excess Returns

The 100 Year Thinkers: Long-Term Compounding in a Short-Term World

Business EN ↓ 9 episodes

In a world where most investors think in quarters, The 100 Year Thinkers offers insights from investors who think in decades. Hosted by Matt Ziegler and Bogumil Baranowski and featuring Robert Hagstrom, and Chris Mayer, this monthly roundtable will tackle many of the issues all of us face as investors, but look at them through the lens of investors who operate over very long time frames.  We will cover a wide range of topics ranging from stock selection to portfolio construction to the economy and behavioral finance, but we will do it by focusing on what matters over the long-term.

Author

Excess Returns

Category

Business

Podcast website

podcasters.spotify.com

Latest episode

Jun 26, 2026

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Episodes

Chris Mayer on SpaceX, AI Reckoning, and Why Early Is Overrated 26.06.2026

On this episode of the 100 Year Thinkers, Chris Mayer and Matt Zeigler discuss long-term investing, 100-baggers, AI stocks, SpaceX valuation, founder-led companies, and why the best investments often come with brutal drawdowns. We also cover his new book The Investor's Odyssey, the danger of letting labels like AI do too much work, how to think about TAM and capital allocation, and why patienc...

The Problem With Modern Portfolio Theory | Robert Hagstrom on How Comfort Trumped Returns 29.05.2026

In this episode of The 100-Year Thinkers, Robert Hagstrom explains why modern portfolio theory pulled investors away from business analysis and toward portfolio math. In this episode, Hagstrom, Matt Zeigler and Bogumil Baranowski discuss Markowitz, beta, efficient markets, Warren Buffett, Charlie Munger, business-driven investing, owner earnings, benchmarks, and why thinking like a business owner...

The Last Moat | Chris Mayer and Ian Cassel on the Stock Picking Edge AI Can’t Replicate 04.05.2026

This episode of 100 Year Thinkers brings together Chris Mayer and Ian Cassel for a deep discussion on long-term stock picking, microcap investing, business quality, AI disruption, management teams, and the behavioral skills that separate great investors from great analysts. They explore why the edge in investing may increasingly come from judgment, presence, relationships, patience, and the abilit...

46 Stocks Created Half of All Market Wealth | Chris Mayer and Robert Hagstrom on the Outliers that Break Base Rates 23.03.2026

In this episode of the 100 Year Thinkers, Robert Hagstrom and Chris Mayer explore how investors should think about base rates, extreme outcomes, and the realities of long-term wealth creation in markets. Applying the work of Michael Mauboussin, the conversation challenges conventional ideas like mean reversion and highlights why a small number of companies drive most stock market returns—and what...

This Hasn’t Happened Since 1999 | The 100 Year Thinkers on Why Safe Stocks Have Become Dangerous 21.02.2026

In this episode of the 100 Year Thinkers, Matt Zeigler and Bogumil Baranowski continue their conversation with Robert Hagstrom and Chris Mayer, diving deeper into general semantics and what it means for investors navigating AI enthusiasm, market volatility, benchmark obsession, and the gamification of markets. From Warren Buffett’s cathedral versus casino metaphor to the risks hiding in so-called...

The Labels That Destroy Returns | Chris Mayer and Robert Hagstrom on How Language Misleads Markets 23.01.2026

When Robert Hagstrom and Chris Mayer sit down together, the conversation goes far beyond stock picking. Join them, along with Matt Zeigler and Bogumil Baranowski to explore how investors think, how language shapes decision making, and why many of the debates dominating today’s markets miss the deeper pointDrawing on ideas from general semantics, mental models, and long-term capital compounding, th...

The Wall Street Labels That Trap You: Chris Mayer & Robert Hagstrom on How Language Misleads Markets 15.12.2025

In this episode, Robert Hagstrom , Chris Mayer , Bogumil Baranowski and Matt Zeigler return for a wide-ranging conversation on how great investors really think. Rather than focusing on formulas, factor labels, or short-term market predictions, the discussion explores investing as a discipline grounded in philosophy, language, psychology, and long-term business fundamentals. Drawing on ideas from W...

The Elusive Search for the Perfect Business | Chris Mayer and Robert Hagstrom 13.11.2025

This episode of The 100 Year Thinkers brings together Robert Hagstrom, Chris Mayer, and Bogumil Baranowski for a deep conversation on what makes a great business, why long-term investing is so hard, and how the world’s best investors think about mistakes, management, conviction, and the durability of competitive advantages. We explore perfect businesses, the pain of missed opportunities, the behav...

The 100 Year Thinkers | Chris Mayer and Robert Hagstrom on Finding the Next Great Compounders 13.10.2025

In a world that moves tick by tick and quarter by quarter, The 100-Year Thinkers zooms out to explore what it really means to invest with patience, discipline, and perspective. In this premiere episode, join Matt Zeigler, Bogumil Baranowski, Chris Mayer, and Robert Hagstrom as they discuss market concentration, the dominance of mega-cap stocks, and how investors can think in decades—not days. Toge...

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