by Top Mark Capital

Telltales

Business EN ↓ 286 episodes

An investing podcast + substack for people who want to compound their wealth over the long run and don't mind sailing analogies telltales.substack.com

Author

by Top Mark Capital

Category

Business

Podcast website

telltales.substack.com

Latest episode

Jul 8, 2026

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Episodes

Cashflow Growth & Economic Insights: Navigating Market Complexities 06.12.2023

0:00:00 - Introduction: Overview of the podcast's key economic and financial topics. 0:01:51 - Oil Market Dynamics: Analysis of the complexities in the oil supply and demand. 0:03:56 - U.S. Gas Supply and Demand: Discussion on the U.S. gas industry's current trends and future outlook. 0:06:00 - U.S. Government Financial Health: Insights into the U.S. government's fiscal situation, focusing on reve...

The Next Cashflow King 30.11.2023

Episode Title : "Telltales E2348: The Next Cashflow King'" Release Date: November 29, 2023 Duration: 33:10 Episode Summary : Dive into a riveting discussion in this episode of "Telltales," where we unravel the dynamic world of technology and media giants. We begin with an in-depth analysis of US gas demand and supply, followed by a critical examination of the US government's financial health. The...

OpenAI Drama & Impact on Software & Semiconductor Companies 23.11.2023

Title: OpenAI Drama & Impact on Software & Semiconductor Companies Hosted by: Hunt Lawrence, Jason Wallace, Mike Nicoletti Chapters: [00:00:00] Introduction to Telltales Podcast [00:00:46] Discussion on World Oil Supply/Demand and OPEC Meeting Implications [00:01:58] Analysis of US Gas Demand/Supply Trends [00:03:50] Examination of US Government Revenues and Expenses [00:05:55] Impact of OpenAI Dr...

Oil / Gas / Macroeconomics / Marketplace Businesses / Telecommunications / Artificial Intelligence - Telltales Podcast E2346 15.11.2023

Description: Join Hunt Lawrence, Jason Wallace, and Mike Nicoletti in this insightful episode of the Telltales podcast, where we delve deep into the world of investing, economics, and technology. Get expert opinions on current market trends, investment strategies, and a detailed analysis of various sectors. Chapters: 00:00 Intro and Disclaimer 00:57 Exhibit C: Analysis of World Oil Supply and Dema...

Navigating the Currents of Energy, Health, and GPUs 09.11.2023

Episode 23.45 of the Telltales Podcast delves into the intricate world of market investments, offering listeners a comprehensive analysis across several dynamic sectors. Join us as we dissect the latest trends in oil and gas markets, exploring the geopolitical and economic factors at play. We take a deep dive into natural gas demands, the US fiscal landscape, and the strategic maneuvers of key pla...

Analyzing the Memo: A Deep Dive into Pages 13-18 01.11.2023

In this week’s episode... [00:01:17] Energy Sector : Kickstarting the episode with a discussion on the current trends and future prospects in the energy sector. What does the landscape look like, and what should investors be aware of? [00:06:01] Banking : Analyzing the financial health and performance of JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Morgan Stanley (MS), and Goldman Sachs (GS). What do these banks have in...

Navigating the Markets: Social Media, AI Strategies, Energy 26.10.2023

Episode 23.34 Chapters [00:01:19] Oil, Gas, & Macro: Exhibits A, B & C[00:03:06] Page 5: $CHTR / CMCSA 0.00%↑ [00:06:12] Page 6: $T / $VZ / TMUS 0.00%↑ [00:09:32] Page 7: $MA / $V / PYPL 0.00%↑ [00:11:19] Page 8: $WMT / $TGT / $LOW / $HD / KMX 0.00%↑ [00:12:16] Page 9: $XOM / $CVX / $COP / $OXY / LNG 0.00%↑ [00:14:27] Page 10: $KMI / $EPD / $ET / WES 0.00%↑ [00:15:14] Page 11: $EOG / $MGY / $PR /...

Turmoil in the Middle East / No Speaker & Continuing Resolution / New Chip Export Restrictions / Tesla & ASML Earnings / The Future of US Defense 18.10.2023

In this week’s episode... Telltales Podcast: Episode 23.42 Show Notes EXHIBIT C: WORLD OIL SUPPLY / DEMAND: Delve into the intricacies of world oil supply and demand, especially in the context of recent geopolitical events in Gaza and Iran's production capabilities. Exhibit B: US GAS DEMAND / SUPPLY: A comprehensive look at US natural gas demand and supply, discussing factors influencing prices an...

Gaza, Hamas, and Global Oil Prices: Telltales Episode 23.41 11.10.2023

SHOW NOTES: Gaza, Hamas, and Global Oil Prices: Telltales Episode 23.41 [00:00:57] Introduction Brief overview of Exhibit B & C. Effects of the Hamas-Israel War on global energy prices. [00:01:26] U.S. Oil Inventory Insights Year-over-year inventory analysis. How crude oil prices shifted over the past months. [00:02:54] Middle East Power Dynamics A potential three-way agreement between Israel, Sau...

Navigating Financial Waters: From Google's Dominance to the Fed's Interventions: Telltales Episode 23.40 04.10.2023

This podcast and the information herein are intended for informational purposes only.  The views expressed herein are the author’s alone and do not constitute an offer to sell, or a recommendation to purchase, or a solicitation of an offer to buy, any security, nor a recommendation for any investment product or service. While certain information contained herein has been obtained from sources beli...

Navigating the Economy: Energy, Macro, and How to Find Supercompounders 27.09.2023

[00:40] Exhibit A-C: Oil, Gas, & Macro Hunt discusses the unusual behavior of oil in the market, emphasizing its large surplus capacity. The scenario with natural gas is contrasted, noting its struggle due to the fact that supply continues to outpac demand. The conversation touches the broader fiscal landscape, including the challenges the U.S. government faces regarding deficit and security finan...

Unlocking FCF Growth in Energy and Non-Energy Sectors: Telltales Episode 23.38 20.09.2023

In this week’s episode... [00:35] Energy Markets Overview: Exhibit C & B, Pages 11-12. AI Summary: The chapter opens with a discussion on energy inventories, particularly in the U.S., and the current state of oil production from countries like Saudi Arabia and the UAE. The hosts express skepticism over the current oil rally and suggest that it may be overdone. [04:13] Energy: Where to find FCF gro...

Navigating Markets: From Energy to Tech & Biotech — Telltales Podcast E23.37 14.09.2023

IN THIS EPISODE... [01:30] EXHIBIT C: WORLD OIL SUPPLY / DEMAND [02:30] EXHIBIT B: US GAS DEMAND / SUPPLY [03:00] EXHIBIT A: US. GOV’T REVENUES AND EXPENSES [03:56] PAGE 9: XOM/CVX/COP/OXY/LNG [05:43] Page 10: KMI / EPD / ET / WES [06:57] PAGE 11: EOG / MGY / PR / FANG [08:31] PAGE 12: AR / EQT / CHK / AM [09:59] PAGE 1: AAPL / GOOG / TSLA [19:43] PAGE 15: PFE / MRNA / LNTH / BNTX / VRTX This podc...

2023.36 Tech & Economy Unpacked: Insights into Markets, Energy, and Innovation 07.09.2023

In this week’s episode... [00:01:26] EXHIBIT A: US. GOV’T REVENUES AND EXPENSES - Hunt delves into the U.S. government's legislative process for revenues and expenses, emphasizing the challenges and implications of budget deficits. The focus is on the role of committees and the Congressional Budget Office's numbers for the year. [00:04:55] EXHIBIT B: US GAS DEMAND / SUPPLY - Hunt discusses the bal...

Is Sam Altman an Evil Genius? Telltales Episode 2023.35 30.08.2023

SHOW NOTES [00:01:14] EXHIBIT C: WORLD OIL SUPPLY / DEMAND - This section discusses the dynamics of global oil supply and demand. It delves into various factors affecting the oil market, including geopolitical influences and economic trends. [00:02:18] EXHIBIT B: US GAS DEMAND / SUPPLY - This part focuses on the gas market in the United States, examining the supply and demand aspects. Insights int...

2023.34 A Deep Dive into Energy, AI, Fintech, and Retail: From Microsoft Copilot to Stripe's Future 24.08.2023

This podcast and the information herein are intended for informational purposes only.  The views expressed herein are the author’s alone and do not constitute an offer to sell, or a recommendation to purchase, or a solicitation of an offer to buy, any security, nor a recommendation for any investment product or service. While certain information contained herein has been obtained from sources beli...

2023.33 Bridging the Digital Divide: Innovations in Internet Technology 16.08.2023

This podcast and the information herein are intended for informational purposes only.  The views expressed herein are the author’s alone and do not constitute an offer to sell, or a recommendation to purchase, or a solicitation of an offer to buy, any security, nor a recommendation for any investment product or service. While certain information contained herein has been obtained from sources beli...

2023.32 Unraveling the Fiscal Future: Navigating Uncertain Numbers 09.08.2023

This podcast and the information herein are intended for informational purposes only.  The views expressed herein are the author’s alone and do not constitute an offer to sell, or a recommendation to purchase, or a solicitation of an offer to buy, any security, nor a recommendation for any investment product or service. While certain information contained herein has been obtained from sources beli...

2023.31 Fitch Cuts US Credit Rating & the Hunt for the Next Nvidia 02.08.2023

This podcast and the information herein are intended for informational purposes only.  The views expressed herein are the author’s alone and do not constitute an offer to sell, or a recommendation to purchase, or a solicitation of an offer to buy, any security, nor a recommendation for any investment product or service. While certain information contained herein has been obtained from sources beli...

2023.30 Unraveling the Intricacies of Energy Prices and the Tech Industry 27.07.2023

This podcast and the information herein are intended for informational purposes only.  The views expressed herein are the author’s alone and do not constitute an offer to sell, or a recommendation to purchase, or a solicitation of an offer to buy, any security, nor a recommendation for any investment product or service. While certain information contained herein has been obtained from sources beli...

2023.29 Breaking Down AI Innovations, Energy Trends, and Healthcare Insights 19.07.2023

[00:00:53] Energy News (memo exhibit B & C) [00:05:25] Healthcare News - UNH 0.00 Earnings (memo exhibit A & Page 19) + comp to CVS 0.00 [00:07:56] AI News → MSFT 0.00 Cashflow impact of $30 Office 365 copilot META 0.00 ’s Llama 2, Impact on NVDA 0.00 GOOG 0.00 GOOGL 0.00 SNOW 0.00 AAPL 0.00 This podcast and the information herein are intended for informational purposes only.  The views expressed...

2023.28 Unearthing Value in the Tech Sector: A Deep Dive into AI and Free Cash Flow 12.07.2023

Show Notes Hunt begins the podcast with a discussion on AI's role in software companies and the impact of recent actions by OPEC, Russia, and Saudi Arabia on world oil demand. There is a detailed conversation about exhibits A, B, and C, reflecting on current trends in world oil demand, gas numbers, and the impact of the debt ceiling agreement. Various companies across different sectors are examine...

2023.27 - What makes a really good company? And how much should you pay for one? 05.07.2023

Podcast Chapters [00:00:55] Comparison of Apple, Google, and Tesla (Memo Page 1: $AAPL $GOOG $TSLA)[00:02:23] Evaluating Tesla's Growth Potential[00:03:06] What Makes a Really Good Company? Examining Apple and Alphabet[00:06:27] Comparing Multiples on $TSLA $NVDA with those of Oil & Gas Companies ($XOM, $CVX, $COP, $OXY, $KMI, $EPD, $ET, $WES, $EOG, $MGY, $PR, $FANG) This podcast and the informati...

2023.26 Crude Realities & Tech Titans: A Multidimensional Discourse 28.06.2023

This podcast and the information herein are intended for informational purposes only.  The views expressed herein are the author’s alone and do not constitute an offer to sell, or a recommendation to purchase, or a solicitation of an offer to buy, any security, nor a recommendation for any investment product or service. While certain information contained herein has been obtained from sources beli...

2023.25 Oil Surplus, China Geopolitics, and Valuation of Nvidia, ASML, and Taiwan Semiconductor 21.06.2023

If you are new, welcome! If you haven’t subscribed, join crew by subscribing here: Description: In this episode of the Telltales podcast, the hosts dive into the world of economics, geopolitics, and technology. They discuss the current state of oil supply and demand, the impact of China's economy on commodity consumption, and the US government's revenue and expenses. Additionally, the hosts delve...

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