Technical Intrinsic Value
Technical Intrinsic Value Podcast
A systematic exploration of global market cycles, powered by advanced AI and grounded in the original research of Nicolau Primavera Carvalho. Each episode features a deep-dive debate and dissection of the 'Technical Intrinsic Value' model—bridging the 15-year gap between traditional fundamental data and advanced technical analysis. Our hosts explore the logical foundations of Dow, Rhea, and Elliott theories to strip away market noise and identify the methodical patterns of sustainable wealth building. Whether analyzing the 'Geometry of a Loss' or the 'Intrinsic Divergence' of specific equities...
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Technical Intrinsic Value
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Latest episode
Jun 28, 2026
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Episodes
Why You Should Care About Midterm Elections 28.06.2026 42:05
In this episode of the Technical Intrinsic Value Podcast, we tackle the massive wall of noise surrounding U.S. midterm elections and look at the hard, objective data that Wall Street often ignores. While the media fills the airwaves with polarizing headlines and chaotic predictions, a methodical, “1+1=2” cyclical reality is playing out behind the scenes. The heavy market volatility seen during a m...
Jim Simons: The GOAT of Wall Street 31.05.2026 44:10
In this episode of the Technical Intrinsic Value Podcast, we dive into the mind of the ultimate market codebreaker: Jim Simons. While Wall Street spent decades trying to guess corporate narratives and chase short-term headlines, a team of mathematicians and physicists quietly built the most successful wealth-generating engine in modern financial history. The legendary Medallion Fund didn’t achieve...
The Quarter Trillion Dollar Accounting Illusion 24.05.2026 1:04:22
In this episode, we expose one of the largest corporate engineering feats in modern market history: The Quarter Trillion Dollar Accounting Illusion. Every earnings season, Wall Street blasts headlines featuring eye-popping corporate profitability. But if you dig beneath the surface of almost any major technology or growth enterprise, you find a massive structural divide between the numbers reporte...
The Statistical Lie of the Bell Curve 17.05.2026 39:04
In this episode, we challenge the very foundation of modern risk management: The Statistical Lie of the Bell Curve. For decades, the financial industry has relied on the “Normal Distribution” to predict market behavior. We are told that extreme events are “Black Swans”—so rare they shouldn’t be factored into a standard portfolio. But as disciplined intermediate investors, we know the truth: these...
The End of the “SaaSpocalypse” Era 10.05.2026 48:30
In this episode, we tackle one of the most violent market repricings in recent tech history: The End of the “SaaSpocalypse” Era . Over the last few months, a wave of panic swept Wall Street, erasing hundreds of billions in software-as-a-service (SaaS) valuations. The popular narrative was simple: “Agentic AI is going to kill software, cannibalize per-seat pricing, and render the entire SaaS sector...
The 40% Dividend Returns Secret: Engineering Compounding on Steroids 03.05.2026 49:09
In this episode, we strip away the “yield trap” mentality that plagues the intermediate investor. We move beyond the 3% dividend myth to explore how to engineer 40% inflation-adjusted returns by aligning fundamental payout growth with long-term market cycles. We break down the “Secret” of high-velocity compounding—not as a matter of luck, but as a calculated result of the Technical Intrinsic Value...
The 2026 Energy Supercycle & The Power of Sector Selection 26.04.2026 41:26
In this episode, we move from the structural mechanics of individual stock exits to the broader, more aggressive landscape of sector rotation. We explore why the “old energy” world is currently undergoing a violent transition into a high-yield infrastructure play, and how our hybrid model identifies these shifts before they are priced into the mainstream. Key Discussions in this Episode: * The 202...
Taking Market Cycles to the Next Level - part 2 19.04.2026 39:37
Technical Intrinsic Value Podcast | Episode 003: Taking Market Cycles to the Next Level - part 2 In this episode, we move from the high-level theory of market cycles to the precision of a real-world exit strategy. We explore how understanding the “why” behind market structure allows us to identify the end of a cycle before the rest of the crowd. Key Discussions in this Episode: * The Master Case S...
Taking Market Cycles to the Next Level - part 1 12.04.2026 37:46
Technical Intrinsic Value Podcast | Episode 002: Taking Market Cycles to the Next Level - part 1 In this episode, we move from the high-level theory of market cycles to the precision of a real-world exit strategy. We explore how understanding the "why" behind market structure allows us to identify the end of a cycle before the rest of the crowd. Key Discussions in this Episode: The Architect: A lo...
Why Shorting Is A Mathematical Trap 05.04.2026 37:01
Most investors treat a loss as a failure of strategy. Through the lens of Technical Intrinsic Value, we reveal why a loss is actually a geometric signal of a cycle end. * Oracle : How the “Intrinsic Divergence” predicted the shift. * ORCL’s Last Act : A Technical Analysis of Oracle’s Stock Cycle Finale * AON : AON: The End of a Market Cycle Has Arrived * The Geometry of Loss : A Comprehensive Anal...
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